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The Daily Fix: A Compilation of Today's Polls and Where Things Stand - 10/6/08

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:35 PM
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The Daily Fix: A Compilation of Today's Polls and Where Things Stand - 10/6/08
Still going strong, doing this everyday. We have logged a lot of polls today, both national and state. So lets go to big board!

National Polls

Kos/R2K: Obama 52(unchanged), McCain 40(unchanged)
Rasmussen: Obama 52(+1), McCain 44(unchanged)
Gallup: Obama 50(unchanged), McCain 42(-1)
GWU: Obama 50(+1), McCain 43(-3)
Hotline: Obama 47(-1), McCain 41(unchanged)
CBS News: Obama 48(-2), 45(+4)
NBC/WSJ: Obama 49(+1), McCain 43(-3)
CNN/ORC: Obama 53(+2), McCain 45(-2)
Democracy Corps: Obama 49, McCain 46

Pollster Average Obama 50.3, McCain 42.6....Pollster doesnt include the CBS News or the NBC Poll yet

RCP Average: Obama 49.8(+.5), McCain 43.6(+.2)

State Polls

Virginia
SUSA: Obama 53(+2), McCain 43(-2)
Suffolk: Obama 51, McCain 39
Rasmussen: Obama 50(unchanged), McCain 48(+1)
VA looks like its moving more and more towards Obama each and every day. The Fox Rasmussen polls always seem to closer than they are, and I wouldnt be surprised if this was the case again.
RCP Average: Obama 49.9, McCain 45.1

New Mexico
Alb Journal: Obama 45, McCain 40
Obama has a decent lead here, and this is one of the more likely red states to go blue this time around
RCP Average: Obama 49.8, McCain 42.5

Georgia
R2K: McCain 50, Obama 43
While Obama may not win here, the Democratic Challenger here is within the MOE against Chambliss here for the Senate race based on two polls now.
RCP Average: McCain 51.5, Obama 43.5

New Hampshire
SUSA: Obama 53, McCain 40
Second poll to confirm a big lead for Obama here, backing up the St. Anselm poll which had Obama up 12.
In the Senate race, Shaheen is up 8 points here.
RCP Average: Obama 49.8, McCain 41.8

North Carolina
PPP: Obama 50(+3), McCain 44(-1)
This is another poll to show Obama up and up outside the MOE. Also, Kay Hagan is leading Liddy Dole now by 9 in this state.
RCP Average: Obama 47.8, McCain 46.3

Ohio
Rasmussen: McCain 48(unchanged), Obama 47(unchanged)
ABC/WaPo: Obama 51, McCain 45
This seems to be more Rasmussen bullshit, but thats just me, while the ABC Poll seems in line
RCP Average: Obama 48.7, McCain 45.2

Florida
Rasmussen: Obama 52(+5), McCain 45(-2)
Obama really has taken hold of this state in quite an amazing way.
RCP Average: Obama 49.3, McCain 45.3

Missouri
Rasmussen: Obama 50, McCain 47
Missouri is as close as they get with Obama taking a very very slight lead in the last two polls
RCP Average: Obama 47.8, McCain 47.5

Colorado
Rasmussen: Obama 51(+2), McCain 45(-3)
This seems more in line where we would expect Colorado to be as of now
RCP Average: Obama 48, McCain 44

Here is how the map looks right now with no change at all. Missouri still remains a tossup in my book. I'm probably going to move NH into the safe Obama state Column tomorrow, and Minnesota is probably there as well, though I'm gonna hold off on them.




http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:39 PM
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1. K&R - What wonderful news !! VIRGINIA !!!! WOooo-Hoooo!
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Tribetime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:40 PM
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2. I could look at that map and numbers all night
and yes Ohio isn't close to rasmussen
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Mark E. Smith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:42 PM
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3. Appreciate your hard work
Thanks!
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elkston Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:42 PM
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4. ...and Florida. Man, are we really pulling away there?
If we win FL, its over! I love it. So many paths to 270.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. To see the Rasmussen numbers today really made me excited about Florida
Its all about the economy there.
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hogwyld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:44 PM
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6. Now that's a beautiful map! K&R
And as always, thanks for your efforts! Now, lets work on getting Indiana to go blue!
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Blondiegrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:48 PM
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7. Fantastic! I'm wondering what his chances are of poaching Indiana.
I'm greedy. All I want is more, more, more blue states. :evilgrin:
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:50 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. We havent seen as many polls out of Indiana yet, and I wouldnt be surprised if he was up there.
Just right now, from what Ive seen, he is down probably 1-3 points.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 08:02 PM
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9. I forgot to Include the Muhlenberg poll which has Obama up 49(-1), 38(-1) in PA today.
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