From TPM-Election Central:
• Colorado: Obama ahead 51%-45%, with a ±3% margin of error. Last week, Obama had a narrower 49%-48% edge.
• Florida: Obama up 52%-45%, outside the ±3% margin of error. Last week, the two candidates were tied at 47% each.
• Missouri: Obama up 50%-47%, within the ±3% margin of error. Three weeks ago, McCain was ahead 51%-46%.
• Ohio: McCain with a 48%-47% edge, with a ±3% margin of error. Last week, McCain was up 47%-46%, pretty much the same as now.
• Virginia: Obama up 50%-48%, within the ±3% margin of error, not all that different from Obama's 50%-47% lead a week ago.
I know there's that one Survey USA poll that has Obama up by 10 points, but keep in mind that Survey USA's methodology is crap -- robocalls that ask respondents to push a button on their phone to express a preference. So Virginia is still close, but still headed in our direction.
A good example of this is their
Minnesota polling compared to others'.
* Obama (D) 55%, McCain (R) 37% - Oct 5 Star Tribune
* Franken (D) 43%, Coleman (R) 34%, Barkley (IP) 18% - Oct 4 Star Trib.
* McCain (R) 47%, Obama (D) 46% - Oct 2 SurveyUSA
* Coleman (R) 43%, Franken (D) 33%, Barkley (IP) 19% - Oct 2 SurveyUSA
* Obama (D) 54%, McCain (R) 43% - Oct 1 CNN