HOLY CRAP ... Obama up by 10 points in ... COLORADO

Public Policy Polling:

Obama 52, McCain 42 ... Udall up by 10 also :D

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2008/10/obama-lead-in-colorado-hits-double.html

I hope colorado goes blue this year!!

"... in this climate, Obama should have won by 30 points! The fact that he could only win by 10 proves that Americans see through Barack Obama's false promises."

Steals Election" crap.

guaranteed.

there's an echo in here

"I came. I saw. I concurred."

The numbers paint a picture that shows it nearly impossible for McCain to win the state at this point. Only 6% of voters are undecided, and among those who do have a preference currently only 6% say there's any chance they could change their mind. Obama's lead at this point is such that McCain would have to win virtually every undecided, keep everyone who could change their mind currently supporting him in his camp, and win over almost 100% of current Obama supporters who say they aren't totally committed to him.

:thumbsup:

:woohoo:

I know I've seen that in a couple of other polls too. I think Chuck Todd predicted this earlier. About 2 months ago he said that, especially because of early voting, this election will be decided by October 15. This poll helps to confirm that belief.

...have more McCain-supporters show up at the polls than Obama-backers.

While I don't disregard polls altogether, I would point out that, in a country where, usually, only 50% (at most) go to the polls on Election Day, even a 10% lead means nothing if your opponent can get 60% of their voters to cast ballots, and you can get only 40% of yours.

I'm going to cut, paste and save that. Because at some point, years from now, probably on a completely different topic, I will be in an online argument with someone, where that quote will be most helpful. :rofl:

There is a LOT of ifs and buts in polling. And they tend to present it as if they were not there.

Can we pop the champagne yet? lol ...

Do I have to do my Josh Lyman act on all of you?

WOW!

With numbers like these, I don't know how Sarah dare show her face in 2012.

I would make her aware of this. When she goes on the attack in the way that she's doing, she's raising her own negatives as well for a ticket that has a ghost of a chance at winning.

thing that could have happened to the Obama/Biden ticket. Outside the 20-some percent who still approve of the job Bush is doing, Sarah is radioactive.

Gobama 8)

Colorado has a lot of democratic areas. The I-25 corridor south of Colorado springs is Democratic. Closed steel mills in Pueblo and closed coal mines down to Trinidad. The eastern plains are mostly farmers and ranchers, but they are dying, their kids are moving to the city and the cities are buying the farmland up. They are poor and population declining, still a lot of hispanics are moving in to help on the farms.

The west slope is strongly democratic, lots of yuppies and hippies call places like Glenwood Springs home. Denver has seen a strong influx of Californians and Easterners who long for cheaper housing and open spaces, it has evened out.

Colorado Springs is still the last bastian of Republican Dominance. The Air Force Academy and Fort Carson are Republican strongholds. Plus Dobson's Focus on the Family headquarters is in Springs.


This does not surprise me a bit.

Go BUFFS!

Don't ya know?

I think everyone will be amazed at the number of counties that come in for Obama in CO! We're working like we're 10 behind here.

At least that's my thinking.

And it goes without saying that Denver and Boulder Counties will go dark, dark blue.

El Paso county and the western slope are McCain's only shot - but Jefferson county mailed out 200K mail-in ballots already - so mail-in and live turnout participation is going to amount to an avalanche this year!

What I'm really hoping is that the change we see in Colo Spgs (of a gentler faith and awakening) actually turns El Paso county a solid purple, if not blue.

It'd be nice to hear about ol' James Dobson (that obtuse blowhard) sputtering on Nov 5th!

And they're looking for another space on the eastern side of it, too. I'm totally in awe.

it and over it so often I could probably do it in my sleep.

I get around a bit, but I try to keep my happy ass in the west. When you grew up in a town of 5000 people, going to a shopping mall with 5000 people is a little daunting. I am trying to help out some here with the concerns regarding oil and gas development in Wyoming. Unfortunatley, Wyoming seems beyond help. Weak environmental laws and the heads of the beasts are all pro energy to the exclusion of everything else. I do what I can, which is sometimes no more than whisper something into someone's ear, maybe get an idea going. I won't stay here much longer. Another year or so then I go back to Alaska. She stole my heart a long time ago.

and I'm thrilled to hear that about Udall

least reliable. So take it with a grain of salt.

The way to read these numbers is that Survey USA, for example, has been an average of 1.34 more accurate than an average pollster; this is an outstanding number, and remains something of an outlier. We've also included a couple of new major media pollsters: ABC/Washington Post, which is fairly decent, and CBS/NYT, which is pretty awful. Oh, and the Zogby Interactive polls, which are off-the-charts bad -- considerably worse than Zogby's telephone polls, which are themselves quite poor. Insider Advantage has moved up a little bit; I don't like certain elements of their methodology, but their results have been fairly decent, and they're smart enough to stick to polling in the South, which is a region that they know well. Gallup continues to subsist on name recognition only. Their national polls may be fine, but they aren't doing anyone any favors when they deign to poll state-by-state matchups.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/03/pollster-ratings-updated.html

:hi:

PPP is really having a good year this year.

:)

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/pollster%20ratings

The graphic you posted is from March - this one is the most current and its from May. Time to update your files:)

I googled it...and obviously didn't drill down.

pollsters that don't do that many polls and are limited geographically.

PPP still outpolls most national pollsters

And, hopefully, I am!

:D

and I haven't seen a major outlier from them yet this year (most likely because of the huge samples). The margin of error is small, 2.7%.

The poll also says that Obama has made big gains among Hispanic voters in Colorado (up 15 points in two weeks), and I've seen that trend myself:



:hi:

there.

:wow: *fingers crossed*

:woohoo:

:kick:

:hi:

:kick:

Just added some stuff to my Obama window today! Go COLORADO!!!

great

Bush Lite is just not good enough for the voting public anymore.

polls showing Obama ahead...

AND TWIIINS!



And I LOVE YOU, TOO!

:beer:

(And I won't take no for an answer).

Now, everyone just needs to vote on Nov. 4.

:kick: