1) “Polls” that show Obama ahead tell a different story when internals are studied.
Actually, most of the internals are undercounting the Demographics that are Obama's strongest. They are underestimating the youth turnout and the AA turnout... by large margins.2) Hillary and Bill don’t want Obama to win, since she wants to run again in 2012
Whether they want them to win or not is immaterial. Their public actions have been favorable to Obama for the most part ... especially Hillary's.3) “Hussein” being Obama’s middle name is still news to most people.
"Hussein" being Obama's middle name is known to the overwhelming majority of American voters. Also... the percentage of voters that believe Obama is a muslim continues to shrink as more and more people pay attention to the race.4) A picture of Obama dressed as a Muslim (there are at least three) is still worth 1000 words (3000 in this case). Man your email station! Post bills!
People have already seen them. The people who would be affected by those pictures are already voting for McCain.5) The PUMAs who know the hows and whys of Hillary getting cheated, will vote Palin, and will pull others. Check out
http://www.hillaryclintonforum.net/discussion/showthrea... and
http://democrats-against-obama.org There are VERY few "PUMAs". The number of Hillary supporters voting for McCain is equalled by the number of moderate Republicans that are disgusted by Bush and who will either not vote, vote third party, or vote for Obama.6) “Bitter ... ”, will vote McCain
"Bitter" already IS voting for McCain. They are accounted for in the polls.7) The Palins ARE America and the conservative base. America and the conservative base will vote accordingly.
The "conservative base" is small and shrinking. 25-30% of the electorate tops. These people were ALWAYS going to vote for McCain - with or without Palin.8) The NRA has “8 figures” of ads to unload in “swing” states
The people who could be swayed by NRA ads are ALREADY in McCain's camp.9) At one point, Obama was only 5 points up in New York! New York!
Obama is up by nearly 20% in New York. "at one point" McCain was ahead in Michigan too... and now he's pulled out of the state. "at one point" is one of the most meaningless terms ever.10) The Democrats were talking about Democratic consultants freaking out over Obama mis-managing his campaign before they settled into poll alteration.
Obama's campaign is a model for proper campaign management. Books will be written about how well this campaign has been run.11) The Enemedia is already spreading the meme that if Obama loses, it “is racism”. They see the tea leaves ...
No... if Obama loses, it's theft. Racism is already figured into the polls. The only thing that can beat Obama now is Diebold.12) The Media was calling the election for Kerry ELECTION MORNING in 2004, and Carter and Reagan polled evenly on election day! Also,
http://www.InTrade.com had Kerry as an 80/20 favorite on election morning 2004. SOMEONE is trying to buffalo us!
At no point in the final 3 weeks of the 2004 race was Kerry ahead in any of the tracking polls. Obama has a substantial lead in all of the tracking polls. Obama is outpolling where Kerry was by 8-10 points across the board.13) McCain has only started to play the Ayers and ACORN cards. McCain has not yet played the Jeremiah Wright, Tony Rezko, Odinga, ... more at
http://www.barackbook.com The "Ayers card" has hurt McCain in the polls...badly. Jeremiah Wright is OLD, TIRED news that the electorate has already accounted for in their poll answers. Rezko has been tried several times, and it doesn't stick. The Odinga thing is false... and even the false story that is being perpetrated is not very damaging.14) Plenty of white Democratic voters are unimpressed with Obama, and will not vote for him. Democrats can’t energize their base!
Democrats are showing up 20 to 30 points higher than Republicans in the "enthusiasm" factor in polls. The "white Democrats" who won't vote for Obama are already in McCain's corner in the polls.15) Obama has only 60% of the Jewish vote, compared to the 75% Kerry got.
That's old info. Obama's support in the Jewish community is skyrocketing over the past 3 weeks. Thank you, Sarah Palin and your bible-thumping nuttiness.16) The Christian base that re-elected Bush in 2004, knows Sarah is more than a Sunday Christian, and is praying for her.
If prayers worked, the GOP wouldn't be in this predicament in the first place.17) McCain opened 50 offices in California. It’s in play! It should be the bluest of the blue, and it is not.
If McCain opened 50 offices in CA, it is the single-most wasteful campaign spending in electoral history. Obama will win CA by more than 15%.18) Google “Bradley Effect”. Obama is getting poll votes he’ll never get on election day.
The Bradley Effect is a myth. Final polls in TN in 2006 had Harold Ford Jr down by 8% to Bob Corker. Ford only lost by 3%.... in one of the most racist states in the union. There is no such thing as the "Bradley Effect"... and there hasn't been anything even CLOSE to one in 3 decades. The old racists are dying off. Voters under 50 years old don't "see" race anymore. With each passing year, the percentage of the population that is racist is shrinking considerably.19) Operation Chaos resulted in an overlarge quantity of Democrat registrations that will never ever vote Democratic.
Only in about 5 or 6 states. And the effect of "Operation Chaos" was negligible at best.20) Polls are meant by the liberal media, to SHAPE public opinion, not report it.
Scott Rasmussen in a born-again Christian evangelical. He is VERY Republican. John Zogby is a self-admitted Republican. The Fox News poll has Obama up 7 points. Try again.