WV Poll: McCain 49% Obama 47% - Democratic Underground

McDiggy

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:02 PM
Original message

WV Poll: McCain 49% Obama 47%

http://sundaygazettemail.com/News/200810150377

Within the MOE of 4%...statistical dead heat. Hmmm....

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goclark

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:03 PM
Response to Original message

1. Is Obama up or down from before?

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occe

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:04 PM
Response to Reply #1

2. He's down. He was up by 8% last week. n/t

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Drunken Irishman

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:05 PM
Response to Reply #2

3. No way!

Do you know how polling works? You can't take one poll and then another entirely different one and say he's down.

Unless this poll was done by ARG, Obama is probably up there from their last poll.

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occe

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:09 PM
Response to Reply #3

6. Oh, okay

I don't remember most poll names. I am sure the ARG poll was VERY generous when Obama was up by 8%. Obama being down or tied with McCain is more accurate and doesn't give us false hope.

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Drunken Irishman

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #6

13. I think Obama is either 1 or 2 points ahead of 1 or 2 points behind.

ARG always has f'd up polls.

This poll actually makes me feel better, because he's doing extremely well there.

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melody

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:22 PM
Response to Reply #6

18. Sorry to pop your false hopes

But McCain is going to get steamrolled in West Virginia ... and everywhere else, too.

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occe

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #18

20. Well,

I've been boldly predicting all along Obama will snag WV, and I hope I am right.

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Connie_Corleone

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:07 PM
Response to Reply #2

5. There you go again. That was a completely different poll by ARG.

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Occam Bandage

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:10 PM
Response to Reply #2

8. You are the most consistently uninformed person in polling threads here,

and yet perhaps the most prolific.

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MadBadger

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #8

12. That really isnt fair to Tropics_dude, who would live and die by Zogby

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Occam Bandage

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #12

17. Yeah, I'm just talking about active posters.

Edited on Wed Oct-15-08 01:18 PM by Occam Bandage

Back during the primaries, there were plenty of self-styled experts spouting nonsense left and right.

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thewiseguy

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:24 PM
Response to Reply #12

19. ...

I had completely forgotten about that dude. Those were the days...:rofl:

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Every Man A King

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:15 PM
Response to Reply #8

15. hey he's learnin nt

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Celebrandil

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:10 PM
Response to Reply #2

9. I agree with the drunkard

According to 538's ranking of pollsters InAdv (-2%) has traditionally been a bit more successful than ARG (8%). So... it's really impossible to tell.

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Orlandodem

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:07 PM
Response to Original message

4. Obama should make a campaign stop there. It would freak out

the McCain camp and perhaps force them to go as well. It would also get a ton of press as Obama would be going to a state that has recently been solidly con.

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FreeState

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:09 PM
Response to Original message

7. Insider Advantage is not the best of pollers (currently 14th most accurate LOL)

Edited on Wed Oct-15-08 01:10 PM by FreeState

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Occam Bandage

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:11 PM
Response to Original message

10. That's two suspect organizations showing him contending in WV. Maybe there's something to it.

Edited on Wed Oct-15-08 01:11 PM by Occam Bandage

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FreeState

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #10

11. Wasn't there a Biden quote yesterday in Ohio saying something about WV? (edit found it)

Edited on Wed Oct-15-08 01:15 PM by FreeState

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=7452785

“Which way is West-By-God-Virginia?” Biden asked the crowd Ohio University Eastern Campus, about 10 miles west of that state's border with Ohio. “I want to send a message to West Virginia -- we’re going to win in West Virginia! … We’re going to shock the living devil out of y’all!"

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Occam Bandage

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:15 PM
Response to Reply #11

14. He promised to win it.

Of course, they say such things all the time; McCain would promise to win New York if someone asked.

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FreeState

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Wed Oct-15-08 01:16 PM
Response to Reply #14

16. True - however I think the internals must be good for him to say that n/t

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