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New Kentucky Senate Poll: McConnell: 46% (-4) Lunsford: 42% (+5)

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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 03:51 PM
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New Kentucky Senate Poll: McConnell: 46% (-4) Lunsford: 42% (+5)
Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/15-16. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/15-17 results)

McConnell (R) 46 (50)
Lunsford (D) 42 (37)



Stunning. That's a 9-point swing in a month, with McConnell now falling well below the magical 50 percent mark.

Lunsford's gains come among Democrats (12-point gain) and independents (10-point gain). 12 percent of Democrats remain undecided, which isn't surprising given that 1) it's a southern state with a significant number of Dixiecrats, and 2) Lunsford has been a historically terrible Democrat. He seems to have learned from his mistakes, however, bending over backwards to try and reassure skittish Democratic constituencies.

Also note the large number of undecided African Americans -- still more evidence of the "reverse Bradley" effect we're seeing in Southern states. In short, black respondents seem skittish about telling pollsters their electoral choices. We can safely assume they'll slot in with the Democratic ticket at an over-90 percent rate. In this case, that could mean an extra two points for Lunsford.

www.dailykos.com
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ibegurpard Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 03:53 PM
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1. God, I'd love to see that scumbag gone
eom
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CLANG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 03:58 PM
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2. Evidence of the shape-shifting lizard from outer space
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DCBob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 04:01 PM
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3. Holy crap! McConnell could go down!
Big.
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Fire1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 04:10 PM
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4. KEEP IT UP, KENTUCKIANA!!!!!!
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 06:24 PM
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5. Along with an Obama win on Nov. 4th it would do my heart good to see
McConnell go down in flames in Kentucky.

McConnell is an impediment to forward progress in the 111th Congress and should not be allowed to be a part of it.
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Iwillnevergiveup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 06:34 PM
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6. Yeah, I've been watching this race, too
The way he purses his mouth when he speaks should disqualify him from any public office. The ultimate, despicable right wing tool. Just Gawd-awful. And another McC to boot.

Now I'd like to tell you how I really feel.:evilgrin:
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vaberella Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-19-08 06:36 PM
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7. Should we do for Lunsford what we did for the Tink-Man?! n/t
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