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PPP 10/20/08 - Obama, Hagan expand NC leads (Obama 51-44 +7!) (Hagan 49-42 +7!)

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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 09:51 AM
Original message
PPP 10/20/08 - Obama, Hagan expand NC leads (Obama 51-44 +7!) (Hagan 49-42 +7!)
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 09:53 AM by HughMoran
I appologize if this was posted yesterday, I didn't see it if it was. I like good news :D

Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama is now out to his largest lead yet in a PPP survey of
North Carolina, polling at 51% in the state compared to 44% for John McCain. Last
week Obama’s advantage was 49-46.

Independent voters continue to move toward Obama in droves. He now has a 51-33 lead
with them. He’s also now up to receiving 82% of the Democratic vote. Staying over the
80% threshold there would almost certainly ensure a victory in North Carolina.

McCain now leads among white voters just 55-39, an edge that’s not nearly enough given
Obama’s 92-6 lead with black voters. George W. Bush won about two thirds of the white
vote against both John Kerry and Al Gore in North Carolina.

“A lot of folks thought North Carolina might revert right back to the Republican column
after John McCain started really contesting here, but Barack Obama is holding strong,”
said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Assuming that the black vote is
pretty much fixed McCain needs to add about ten points to his lead among white voters in
the next two weeks if he’s going to win the state.”

In North Carolina’s US Senate race challenger Kay Hagan continues to lead incumbent
Elizabeth Dole, as she has now in PPP’s last seven surveys of the race. Hagan’s
advantage is now up to 49-42. Hagan is annihilating Dole among suburban voters, 56-38.
She’s also shoring up her support with the key Democratic constituency of black voters,
with whom she is now ahead 84-7, and improvement from 78-12 a week ago.

PPP will release numbers for Governor and select Council of State races tomorrow.
PPP surveyed 1,200 likely voters on October 18th and 19th. The survey’s margin of error
is +/-2.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce
additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
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Blondiegrrl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
1. Yahoo!
:bounce:
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BootinUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
2. astounding.
I'm astounded.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 10:29 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. I was shocked I hadn't seen this posted here
...am I missing something? :shrug:
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Spritz57 Donating Member (354 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
3. Outstanding!!!
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 11:04 AM
Response to Original message
5. kick
...the good news!
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. why is Indiana more important than NC?
weird?
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
7. the more the early vote, the more his campaigning will
be in vain.

I bet this was the poll I answered. We'll see if they have the Council of State offices the same as my questions.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
8. Perdue lead grows!!

Raleigh, N.C. – The race to be North Carolina’s next Governor remains close, but Bev
Perdue has expanded her lead over Pat McCrory to 48-44. Libertarian Michael Munger
is receiving 4%.
Perdue has made gains in several key areas. Among voters under 30 she now leads 55-
33, a margin similar to that enjoyed by Barack Obama and Kay Hagan. Other recent PPP
surveys had shown her lagging the rest of the Democratic ticket with that demographic.
Democrats who had been undecided for Governor are also moving in Perdue’s direction,
with her share of the vote within her own party increasing from 74 to 78. Finally, she has
evened the race among independent voters after trailing with them in previous surveys.
“The race for Governor could certainly still go either way but the momentum is in Bev
Perdue’s direction right now,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.
“Her standing has improved by seven points over the last three weeks, with what was a
three point deficit erased now a four point lead.”

& from R2000

NC-Gov: PERDUE (D) is ahead
by kos
Sat Oct 18, 2008 at 09:35:19 PM EDT

In today's R2K North Carolina poll, I originally announced that Republican Pat McCrory had the lead in the open governor's race against Democrat Bev Perdue. The names were accidentally flipped. So great news -- the results actually look like this:

Perdue (D) 48 (42)
McCrory (R) 43 (47)
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. Perdue (D) NC - 4-5 point lead for governor on NC!
Let's get some straight ticket voting going in NC!!
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kwolf68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
9. Good news

Funny, that poster JBTO26 isn't nowhere to be seen on these type of threads.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 01:01 PM
Response to Original message
11. Kick it next to the new NC +3 poll!!
NC is looking ok at this point.
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musicblind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
12. Told yall so
:-P
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