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Gallup -Obama 52% -McPalin 41%

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:02 PM
Original message
Gallup -Obama 52% -McPalin 41%
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 12:04 PM by DemocratSinceBirth
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx


Registered voters (O 52, M41). Likely-Exp (O 52, M 42). Likely-Trad (O 51, M 44).


AWESOME
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Median Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. Edit - nm - Gallup Just Updated
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 12:04 PM by Median Democrat
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:03 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. No-That's Todays...
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maxsolomon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. nope, yesterday was 52-42
mccains's 11 points down. but "races tighten in the last few weeks".
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. Why all of a sudden have they stopped talking about this poll?
CNN and MSNBC completely ignore it. Until at least McCain gains points. lol
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nsd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
4. Registered voters (O 52, M41). Likely-Exp (O 52, M 42). Likely-Trad (O 51, M 44).
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DrToast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I like those big leads on BOTH likely voter models.*
*
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abumbyanyothername Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
19. The thing I like
is O > 50%.

Essentially that is an insurmountable lead.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. AWESOME
All the polls are converging except the Battle Axe Poll...
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Yup-even the "Likely Traditional Model" that has the smallest gap between them
which all of the channels in the MSM use now have Obama up by 7!
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
7. OH NOES! We're DOOOOMED!
He didn't add to his edge among registered and only gained two points on the traditional LV model and only one point on the expanded LV model.

:scared: !
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
10. 7 point LV traditional! That is a huge # right there as turnout will probably
be bigger then in 2004.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. Those LV shifts are crushing!
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Average All The Polls And Its + 9
~
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. I just add 1 point to the Traditional LV
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 12:16 PM by Kurt_and_Hunter
(To be conservative)

So I'll take 8%. That's a huge number.
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Schulzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:08 PM
Response to Original message
13. Wait, that can't be right. Somebody told me today that we are losing! nt
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:09 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. You Mean The Poster That Was High
Just ignore him...
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:13 PM
Response to Original message
15. K&R!
Gallup is my favorite poll right now.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:15 PM
Response to Original message
16. Some of the move in Traditional LV can be Powell related
The Traditional LV model is relatively pug and pug-leaning independent heavy because it gives a lot of weight to 2004 voting behavior.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Good Point
~
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JaneQPublic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
20. Yeah, but when is Obama gonna close the deal?
:sarcasm:
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Sodan Donating Member (802 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:33 PM
Response to Original message
21. How many days in the 50+ ? Rasmussen's 26 straight days.
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Schulzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:36 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. He has been 50+ every day since October 4 with RV . nt
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RedSpartan Donating Member (736 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 12:44 PM
Response to Original message
23. More info, and shameless thread plug:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=102&topic_id=3555890&mesg_id=3555890
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