CBS/NYT Poll shows that Dems Hypermotivated/ Repugnants demoralized

At least I THINK that's what it shows. Because look at how the numbers are affected by the likely voter filter. The pool of registered voters is 37% democrat, 31% repugnant, and 32% Indies. But the pool of likely voters is 41% dem, 28% repugnant, and 31% indie. (but I'm not sure I'm interpreting this right because I'm taking % of weighted rather than % of "effective" likely voters)

If I've got that right then as long as our side stays hypermotivated and their side stays demoralized, then we win by a large margin. For sure, I can't see anything that could possibly dampen the enthusiasm on our side. Don't know about their side.

Could some stats rat tell me whether I'm interpreting this correctly?



UNWEIGHTED WEIGHTED
Total Respondents 1152
Total Registered voters 1046 1010
Registered voters – Republicans 326 287
Registered voters – Democrats 391 411
Registered voters – Independents 329 312

*Effective Likely Voters 771

*Every registered voter is included in the likely voter model, and is assigned a probability of voting, which is used to calculate the likely voter results. The sum of these probabilities is the effective number of likely voters.

because they can't wait to make that historic vote. One woman said "I've waited 56 years to vote for a qualified african american..."