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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:07 PM
Original message
Happy, Happy, Joy, Joy...


Strong Dem (260)
Weak Dem (57)
Barely Dem (58)
Exactly tied (6)
Barely GOP (15)
Weak GOP (8)
Strong GOP (134)

:bounce::woohoo::bounce:

:hi:

Oh... Link: http://www.electoral-vote.com/

And...

Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html

:woohoo:

:bounce:

:hi:

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life_long_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. GA barely GOP. How will Tucker Bounds explain this shift?
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Gregorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:10 PM
Response to Original message
2. WOW! And there is no Bradley effect.
Pardon me, but I have to YABBA DABBA DOO!
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Me Too !!!


:hi:
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Gregorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:17 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Wilma says-
If you take half of all weak Dem, barely Dem, and all tied, and all GOP, Obama still wins. But that's a very blind way of doing it.

Right about now McCain is locked out in the cold, calling out for WILMA!!
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undergroundpanther Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #5
14. I hope the saber tooth cat
Gets him...
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Gregorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. I love your butter cat.
Every time I see that I smile.

Poor republicans. My hope is that Obama will show them what good really is. Kind of the Pied Piper. Showing by example. It's a dream. I can only imagine what it would be like to see Rush Limbaugh having turned liberal. OK, now I'm really dreaming. :)
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The Wielding Truth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:11 PM
Response to Original message
3. We need one more senate seat. Everyone has to vote!!!
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:17 PM
Response to Reply #3
7. You Are Exactly Correct !!! - And...
The west coasties, plus Hawaii and Alaska, need to GOTV no matter what they're seeing on the tubes election night!

DOES NOT MATTER if it looks like a win\landslide early on...

We NEED EVERYBODY to vote in EVERY TIME ZONE !!!

:kick:
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The Wielding Truth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 11:29 PM
Response to Reply #7
18. Will you new post this?
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BrklynLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:17 PM
Response to Original message
6. I like the way the country looks when the map is done proportionally
Edited on Sat Oct-25-08 10:24 PM by BrklynLiberal
by electoral votes. This way those BIG states geographically are shown as small as they should be based on their population...
Latest version...



http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Carto/Oct25-c.html
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:19 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. I Like That Too !!!
:yourock:

:hi:
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BrklynLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:21 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. It really is a more accurate picture of how the country's voting...
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Smuckies Donating Member (600 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:18 PM
Response to Original message
8. How nice it is to
See Indiana, Ohio and Virginia blue. We will snag them on Election Day, but I expect Ohio to go down to the last minute.
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:19 PM
Response to Original message
9. Come with me, my love, to the sea, the sea of (blue)
I want to tell you, how much, I love you.

:loveya:
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seaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:23 PM
Response to Original message
12. relief!
I remember looking at an earlier map and was left with the horrified impression of a bleeding red country
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Patiod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
13. A blue map, a Penn State win, and the Phils are ahead
I want to hold onto this moment for a little while....
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SheilaT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 11:01 PM
Response to Original message
15. And I honestly think that some states that still
are supposed to be red may well surprise us on November 4th.

I've posted this story before, but it bears repeating.

I'm in New Mexico now, but only moved here three months ago. From Kansas. And in Kansas I took part in the 2004 caucus there. Statewide, some 1300 Democrats participated. Of the 150 or so at my caucus location, only one was under 40. That was Amy and she was 38. This year, in 2008, Kansas held its caucus on Super Tuesday. The weather was miserable across the state. In many places, including the Kansas City area where I lived, people stood outside in snow, sleet, and freezing rain, for as long as three hours to get a chance to caucus -- in woefully small venues -- for their candidates. Hundreds, even thousands gave up and went home, or never even found a parking space in the first place. At my caucus location 1800 people showed up, and altogether across the state 130,000 people -- many of them first time voters caucused. I'd say about 20 percent of the crowd were voters under age 25. And a few days later, on Saturday, the Republicans held there caucuses. By then the bad weather was gone, it was mild and pleasant across the state. And in Kansas, Republican Kansas, all of 20,000 Republicans took part.

130,000 Democrats vs. 20,000 Republicans. And the high numbers of young voters.

I think Kansas could surprise us. I hope so. If nothing else, I think the final tally will be much closer than anyone suspects at this point.
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FatDave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #15
21. The youth are pretty much completely unrepresented iin polls.
No landlines and no prior voting history (which goes into the determination of "likely voter"). I hope to hell they turn out this time. It seems like they will. There were a lot of 17 and 18-year-olds at my caucus (rural Iowa), and I can't imagine them caucusing then not voting.

At any rate, if you know any first-time voters, please do your part to get them to the polls.
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SheilaT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 11:16 AM
Response to Reply #21
23. My 21 year old son is a student
at the University of Tulsa, and when I spoke to him last week he said he'd registered there, rather than vote by absentee ballot in Kansas, because he wants the experience of going to the polls on election day. He realizes that his vote for Obama may not count for much, given Oklahoma seems even redder than Kansas, but he is very much looking forward to election day.
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Blue Belle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 01:00 PM
Response to Reply #15
25. Arizona may turn blue too...
I read on Huffington Post this morning that Obama is only 4 points behind in that state and there has been a dramatic democrat swing in the past few weeks.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/26/could-mccain-lose-his-hom_n_137913.html
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rosesaylavee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-25-08 11:06 PM
Response to Original message
16. Exactly!


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FatDave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 01:12 AM
Response to Original message
19. Does anybody remember how Bill Clinton was polling around this time in 1992?
I know it's not an apples to apples comparison, what with Perot in the mix, but I'm trying to get a sense of comparison here. Anybody remember?
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 01:13 AM
Response to Reply #19
20. Clinton was ahead 6-7.
I can't find the link, but that's about what it was.
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FatDave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 02:12 AM
Response to Reply #20
22. Thank you Zynx.
That sounds about right to me, but it's been so long and my mind is so...what's the word...? Yeah, that.
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Psst_Im_Not_Here Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 12:45 PM
Response to Original message
24. Still can't get over Indiana! n/t
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