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My prediction: The Narrative this week will be about how McCain is losing big.

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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:24 PM
Original message
My prediction: The Narrative this week will be about how McCain is losing big.
They will discuss how the polls are not moving in McCain's direction and discuss the probable Obama victory.

Now some here will say this is a bad thing. I disagree. It's going to piss the McCain campaign off royally. They need to keep up the perception this is a close race or their supporters aren't going to get the vote out. They'll stay home because they won't see any need if their candidate is going to lose.

Don't be surprised if the focus then turns to down ticket races. But I'm guessing by mid-week (Wednesday or Thursday), the media will be focusing on the impending Obama landslide.
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bkinsd Donating Member (175 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. I hope you are right! The image of McCain as a loser needs
to be imprinted in the mind of the voters
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melody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
2. Precisely -- well said n/t
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azmouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. My opinion: All but the most delusional McCain supporters know he going to lose.
Should be an interesting week ahead.
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
4. I want the polls to tighten so that the voters won't be complacent
and think that Obama doesn't need their vote cause he's gonna win.


Tighten, meaning, maybe a point or two but nothing more.
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azmouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I don't see Obama voters getting complacent. Just the opposite.
I think we all want to be part of something special... a colossal victory for Obama!
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:36 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I don't think that'll be a problem.
Most people WANT to vote for Obama. They're going to get out there regardless of what the polls say and the number of those who don't vote will be canceled out by McCain supporters who stay home.

Think back to 1984. That October, everyone knew Reagan was going to win, as he held a decent lead (about where Obama is now). But no on expected him to carry nearly every state. That happened because Mondale voters gave up. They knew Mondale was going to lose and they didn't bother to vote.

If the polls show Obama winning by 5-7 points, I would not be surprised if on election night, he wins by double digits.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:38 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Can you name *one* person who won't vote because of complacency?
Gawd when will that idiotic meme stop?
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. I'm not pushing it but you don't know my neighbors

that I have and the number of times I have to remind them.

If I scare them into not taking things for granted then so much the better.
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ChimpersMcSmirkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 07:03 PM
Response to Reply #9
25. Yeah, no kidding...
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SmokingJacket Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #4
23. Not me; I want the widest margin possible
I think the McCain voters are at least as likely to not bother voting with a wide margin as Obama supporter are to be complacent.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
7. Careful! Don't go out on that limb *too* far!
:rofl:
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:47 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. Quiet, you.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:37 PM
Response to Original message
8. And I think it will motivate the right to get to the polls
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:48 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Why?
Why will it motivate them to know their candidate is going to lose? I've never heard of people being MORE motivated when it looks like their guy is going to lose.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:48 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Because anything that happens is good for republicans, to many DUers.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 06:42 PM
Response to Reply #12
20. Gee how nice
That's not what I said and I think you know that.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 06:41 PM
Response to Reply #11
19. Because they live in a state of denial.
They will be convinced the polls are wrong and McCain has a chance to pull out a slim win. Remember, we may disagree with them but they do manage to get people out to vote.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 06:50 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. It didn't help in 2006.
It won't help now.

The closer the race, the bigger chance they think they have of winning.
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GarbagemanLB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:53 PM
Response to Reply #8
16. What narrative do you think will motivate conservatives more: a neck and neck race, or a potential
Obama landslide?


I'll take the latter narrative.
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Higher Standard Donating Member (499 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:51 PM
Response to Original message
13. The narrative will shift to a pre-election "surprise"
We'll hear far less about what McCain can do to overcome his voter deficit and far more about what external event might intercede to shift the momentum to McCain. I think it's going to be readily clear that the polls are not tightening the way the pundits have been pushing and they'll realize that McCain has no time left to save his campaign without outside help.
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NHDEMFORLIFE Donating Member (153 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:52 PM
Response to Original message
14. You are dead on
Consider, for instance, the parts of the country where the weather will be bad on Election Day. If a GOPer looks out the window and sees rain, wind and cold, they might just say the hell with it, my vote won't matter anyway.
The Obama vote, on the other hand, will probably walk through a monsoon to cast their vote.
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endthewar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 03:58 PM
Response to Original message
17. Also, it'll be Palin vs. McCain as the week goes on
whereas the Dems will have the Bill Clinton/Obama photo op to dominate the news cycle on Wednesday and Thursday.
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JBoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #17
24. I agree. The media is loving and will continue to love the talk of behind the scenes backstabbing.
I'm liking it too.
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kestrel91316 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:02 PM
Response to Original message
18. I dunno, I'm still hearing about how the gap is narrowing and Obama's lead
is slipping and the race is tightening...........

The MSM will NEVER acknowledge this landslide, even after the fact. They will call it a close call even if he tops 300 EV. Just you watch.
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proud2BlibKansan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 06:53 PM
Response to Reply #18
22. And they will accuse the Dems of cheating
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 07:05 PM
Response to Original message
26. Probably not until Wednesday
Monday and Tuseday they'll watch the polls for any sign of real tightening.

Then they'll move into the "what went wrong with McCain's campaign" narrative.
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