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ABC/WaPo Poll: Obama 52(-1), McCain 45(+1)

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:02 PM
Original message
ABC/WaPo Poll: Obama 52(-1), McCain 45(+1)
Waiting for the rest of the numbers
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
1. Just think if we had Big Media beating the Ashley drum 24/7
like they would be if some Dem had faked a sexual assault for political points.
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #1
29. and the NYTimes saying Obama's Inauguration Speech is already written (not true)
the person they said had written it actually wrote it last spring as part of a book and it had nothing to do with Obama (he was working for Clinton at the time).

and Obama writes his own big speeches.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. Thats not good news. Wasn't he up 11?
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. No, he was up 9 yesterday...its okay...everything will be alright.
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #3
13. he was up 11....
last week in this poll....
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. Your Concern is noted.
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:12 PM
Response to Reply #15
17. i never said I was concerned....
do you see that in my post? Someone asked a questions about Obama's previous lead and I answered the question....
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. You respond to me who said he was up 9 yesterday
But but but he was up 11 last week...sky is falling blah blah blah
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. wow you are like McCain...
putting words in my mouth...I never said the sky is falling...actually Obama is doing great...
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:23 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. We were talking about yesterday. Can't read?
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:28 PM
Response to Reply #25
30. no...
someone asked if he was up by 11 and I responded that he was up by 11 but that was last week...
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. No, he was up by 9 and this is within the MOE.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. That's within the range of normal sampling variance.
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Higher Standard Donating Member (499 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
6. Looks like a standard weekend hiccup for McCain
His numbers are always better on the weekend than on weekdays. This just fits that pattern.
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EastTennesseeDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
7. The uncomfortable trend
Are a couple polls moving slightly away from us because people are actually stupid enough to believe his bold-faced, white hot, baseless lies he's been telling out of desperation?
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:07 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I dont see a trend anywhere.
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EastTennesseeDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. The graph shows it over the last 4 days
Edited on Sun Oct-26-08 04:10 PM by EastTennesseeDem
And just for the record, I'm feeling safe right now. No negativity from me regarding where Barack is. It's just the impossible prospect of McCain's bullshit working. It would feel worse for me than voter fraud if people bought it.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:10 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. This is one of many polls.
Hotline shows no trend, neither does Rasmussen or Gallup.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:12 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Correct
The polls seem to be coalescing around a eight point lead or so...
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EastTennesseeDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:13 PM
Response to Reply #14
18. Next time I need a hug, I'm coming to you
Thanks, I'm feeling better now.
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #12
26. AGREE 100%
If McCain would win the presidency on lies and more lies (and the media not doing it's job in calling him out) it would hurt very much...alot like in 2000 and 2004, maybe worse!
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:30 PM
Response to Reply #7
31. you make a good point....
but I really do not think at this point in time in the campaign anything will actually help McCain win...he may get closer but cannot win this thing....
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Two Sheds Donating Member (419 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
9. what is the movable number for?
Only 3% undecided there. If Obama got 1% of that to get to 53% (which is about the limit of my optimism), that would be a PV and EC blowout.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Possiby 11% could leave the candidate they've chosen or are undecided?
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NRaleighLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
10. Don't worry - combo of noise, plus the fact that it is a BIG lead.
Even landslide elections have been pretty tight on popular vote...it is all about the EV/States! Keep the faith!
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sarahdemva Donating Member (265 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:13 PM
Response to Original message
19. if we play prevent defense
we lose. we must not allow mccain to attack continuously.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. Are we playing prevent?
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sarahdemva Donating Member (265 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #21
27. i dont think we are
but we better play like we are 10 points behind. we must laser beam in on the economy.
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:32 PM
Response to Reply #21
32. I don't think so...
but I do think Obama will hit the economy extremely hard this week....especially in his 30 minute address to the nation on wed night.
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NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:14 PM
Response to Original message
22. Just noise-Nothing has happened to explain higher numbers for McCain...
I don't think the Sarah Palin wardrobe shit or the B-Hoax helped him, don't think their stepped up negativity is working either.

:patriot:
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fugop Donating Member (901 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #22
33. Off the trail
Obama was off the trail on Friday, and then the weekend rolled in. OUt of sight, out of mind, and all that. I'm happier than ever that he has this big address on Wednesday night. Basically, the window of opportunity for McCain to grab the spotlight is Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday will be an automatic change of topic due to Obama's unprecedented speech. Hopefully, that gets him to the weekend. Then it's off to the races!
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:19 PM
Response to Original message
23. Weekend effect. Look at the graph last weekend, same thing.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:26 PM
Response to Reply #23
28. Why Would That Be If Every Group Is Weighted?
I also suspect the number of voters who identified as Democrats dropped a bit...
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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-26-08 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #28
34. Not really sure, but pollsters were trying to figure this out during the primary season, it was
noticeable that during the weekend Obama’s’ numbers would drop slightly (2,3 , even 4 points). Some tried to explain it by saying that Obama's demographics are less likely to be at home during the weekends.
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