PA: Obama 52, McCain 45 (Muhlenberg-10/28-11/1)

insurmountable for McDip

for the past week Obama has been either at 52 or 53, as long as he stays above 50 he is right on target

~

:)

McCain is gaining support, but Obama is not losing any. If he holds with at least 51%, he wins.

the undecided idiots come back to McLame. Kerry won this state by what, 2 points? Obama will probably win it by 5 to 7.

People do know that the undecideds have to decide at some point - even if every single one goes to McCain, it's still a 4 point win!

Obama's support is not going anywhere so McLame still won't win this state.

When was the Phillies parade? Wonder if that affected Philly numbers at all.

but not stealing supporters from Obama. He is not going to win that way. He's going to max out at 45 or 46 percent, just as he's been doing nationally.

Sen. Joe Biden and Jill Biden will return to Pennsylvania to hold a public rally on Monday night in South Philadelphia.

The rally will be held at Marconi Plaza on South Broad Street & Bigler Street. Doors open at 8:30p.m. This event is free and open to the public. Tickets are not required.

And I'll be the first to admit that I get over-concerned by poll numbers. This Muhlenberg poll has tightened a bit, but it was likely always an outlier to some degree anyhow. Obama is still holding VERY steady with 52%. There's no reason in the world to think that PA would buck the national trends that show Obama with a comfortable lead. The volunteers in and around Pittsburgh are very, very encouraged, and Philly will do what Philly always does. The middle of the state will likely be red, but is sparesely populated.

For anybody who needs some comfort, you can seek it over at the PPP blog -- they'll have some decent PA numbers out later today or tonight:

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2008/11/chill-out.html