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My crystal ball is on the fritz.
Half the time I get the reading that Obama will win in a landslide, with 300+ electoral votes. But then it tells me that McCain is closing in. The repair shop says they can't fix it until Wednesday. (The crystal ball, that is; no doubt the Repubs are giving the college try to fixing the election).
In case the latter reading has the potential to be true (and because it would be great if progressives could, in good conscience, get on the same page), I ask you this: what can you say that just might get Obama the votes of PUMAs and other skeptical progressives?
They've heard the Supreme Court / Roe v. Wade argument ad infinitum, ad nauseum. This isn't the ultimate convincer that some might imagine, as Obama had to be swayed by an aide not to vote for John Roberts, for political "optics" reasons, and he posted on Daily Kos to defend Dems who did. Also, his short-list for his own nominees likely includes Roe-critic Cass Sunstein and other "centrists."
If their eyes and ears are still working, progressives know that John McCain is -- despite his endlessly irritating tagline -- not our friend. (Neither, for that matter, are the media scumbags who manufactured the myth of the moderate maverick, even if some are leaning Democrat this time. They lied to us then, so why trust them now?)
Obama-skeptics who would go so far as to vote for McCain (and that's a subset of the PUMAs) are probably long past convincing.
But there are others who would vote for Obama if they saw reason to believe this: that he can be influenced by the Democratic wing of the Democratic Party. (Endorsements from party regulars are nice and all, but a lot of party regulars haven't exactly distinguished themselves in the 110th Congress, doncha think?)
I believe this is what it comes down to. Since the primary that Obama termed a "death march" ended, they've seen Obama cave on FISA/warrantless wiretapping, become a champion of Hank Paulson's giveaway to his buddies, and promise to expand the Faith-based Initiatives program and to make Colin Powell an advisor.
Whether or not you find these moves great policy or brilliant/appropriate/necessary concessions to garner support from swing voters, it may not charm those who are tempted to vote for a McKinney, a Nader, or a write-in candidate. IIRC, such voters turned out to be pretty important in 2000.
Seriously: do you want to try to win over such voters now?
If so, I ask you this: please share the best evidence you have that Obama will be responsive to progressive voters, and not just "centrist"/corporate influences, once he's in the White House.
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Please rec if you think this is a discussion worth having, that reaching out to the unconvinced part of the liberal base is worth doing as election day draws so near.
I can see the potential for this to turn into a flame fest. Let's not, OK?
I post this because I am a lifelong Dem who knows many such Dems who are struggling with this decision. Maybe it's hard for you to believe that a real Democrat isn't convinced, and maybe it's infuriating to you. But so much has been done to reach out to independent, "Obamacan" voters. Can you spare a little courtesy, thoughtful rhetoric, and substantive information-sharing to dignify -- and maybe even satisfy -- the concerns of loyal Democrats who are searching their souls about Tuesday's vote?
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