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80% of UNLIKELY voters go to OBAMA!!

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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:09 PM
Original message
80% of UNLIKELY voters go to OBAMA!!
get that? The pollsters are dealing with "probabilities" when they show "likely voters". Normally that works.

BUT NOT in a MOVEMENT campaign. Not with the GARGANTUAN get out the vote effort of Obama.

The tsunami of new voters will wash the GOP away and it will be ugly.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:10 PM
Response to Original message
1. Oh, please!
:kick:
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. I think you're going to be pleasantly surprised
it is so awesome to watch this.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Isn't it? There's a retired gentleman right across the street from me.
In all the elections we've worked here, I've never seen a single sign from him that he is into it at all. He doesn't like me to ring his doorbell with a political pitch so, when we meet, we talk about other things.

His was the first Obama sign that went up on this block. :)
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:19 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. yes but he isn't undecided

I think that we are going to be surprised but because McCain and undecideds are not going to show up in full numbers, while the Obama voters couldn't be stopped by marauding vampires.
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:21 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. exactly. many LIKELY voters (typically older and Republican)
may not even bother. ESPECIALLY out west whent they see how bad things are going for McCain back east.

Which is why it is so great much of the Atlantic Coast is either solidly ahead for Obama or too close to call.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. But isn't he an unlikely voter? I think this is the first time he'll be voting
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 04:50 PM by sfexpat2000
in the six years we've been neighbors. Maybe I'm not understanding the category. :crazy:
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. you understood correctly. UNLIKELY not the same as UNDECIDED
any person who just registered this year and has never voted before is DEFINITELY "unlikely" according to most pollsters who weight their raw data.
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RetroLounge Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 09:56 PM
Response to Reply #4
17. Obama Pals around with marauding vampires?
Oh Noes!!!!!111111111

:scared:

:rofl:

RL
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OnceUponTimeOnTheNet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:23 PM
Response to Original message
6. I was at a costume ball last night, and my impression
was that undecideds are going to go with the flow, meaning, give up and just go ahead and vote for Obama. Talked to one guy voting for Obama, his wife was undecided, but she tells me she will probably vote for Obama. Who doesn't want to be on the Winning team?

Tsunami? perhaps. Coat tails? certainly.

(Hey, I just got a phone call from Obama, my first.)
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:06 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. I think so. Undecideds will go with "leader" or stay home
very few will be motivated enough to go vote for a scatterbrained candidate with an unclear message.
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:11 PM
Response to Original message
10. That's What CO Papers Say
about "unaffiliated" here. Gawd I hate talking to those people - whiny, undecided on much more than the election, rude, they think they are "special" for being indecisive.
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:13 PM
Response to Original message
11. ****ATTENTION**** I am talking the "UNLIKELY" voters
different from undecideds.
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Mike 03 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:14 PM
Response to Original message
12. The Passion Factor
People who are inclined to vote for Obama would cross Mt. Everest to vote for him, and that's simply not true of people who would vote for McClown.
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:39 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. you are right. MOTIVATION
I've never seen such enthusiasm about canvassing, phone banking, etc. etc. since Clinton or before. This is a great sign.
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OnceUponTimeOnTheNet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 08:33 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. McCain voters may find themselves standing for hours in line on Tues to vote.
This amuses me. They will be the ones that look like they are sucking on Lemon drops.
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PretzelWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 09:52 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. lol. YUP. it will look like this in line
:) :) :) :) :) :) :mad: :) :) :) :) :) :) :mad: :) :) :) :) :) :) :mad:
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OnceUponTimeOnTheNet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 09:55 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. lol! true, so very true.
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