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ABC/WAPO Obama 54 (+1) - McCain 43 (-1) - Obama up 11!!

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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:58 PM
Original message
ABC/WAPO Obama 54 (+1) - McCain 43 (-1) - Obama up 11!!
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 04:59 PM by HughMoran
If I read the sheet correctly - this is great news.

Link here -> http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/postpoll_110208.html
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:59 PM
Response to Original message
1. SWEEEEEEEEEEEEEEET - This is also 11 points among LV
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 05:00 PM by Harvey Korman
For all voters the lead is 12 points.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:59 PM
Response to Original message
2. It's really going to happen.... 49 hours until first polls close.....


It really is going to happen.
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Dawgs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 04:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. That looks right to me. K&R.
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SuperTrouper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yes, they just posted it. Obama widening his lead. Only PPP is pending, ignore Zogby tonight
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. Zogby wants his final poll to be correct.... I predict Zogby tonight will be O+7
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SuperTrouper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:08 PM
Response to Reply #8
20. Then tonight Drudge will be crying quietly on his pillow
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #20
24. No.... Drudge will hang his hat on IBD....

Whichever poll shows McCain the closest, Drudge hangs on to that.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #24
29. Won't be as satisfying
IBD is a right-wing publication and he will seem too partisan promoting their poll - but he, of course, will anyway!
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:24 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. He already is..... check out the top of drudge right now
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:30 PM
Response to Reply #32
33. Sorry, Drudge is on my forbidden click list
He'll get no click-ins from me - same as Faux & Freak Repubic - ain't gonna go there.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
9. Oh yeah!
I'm doin' a dance now!

(this election is like a superbowl game - the ups and downs are killing me!)
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. You got it right!
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:58 PM
Response to Reply #5
40. Thanks for checking!
I knew from previously trying to snipe the link by changing the date in the link that "it's the 3rd paragraph", but this was my first time posting it directly from the datasheet!
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
6. YOU ARE CORRECT
Their last day in the field was yesterday...

YAHOO
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 07:03 PM
Response to Reply #6
42. This is the final poll for them?
?
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ROh70 Donating Member (340 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
7. Stop it with this unconcern-trolling!!! I want to wallow in my pessimism and distorted anxieties!!
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stray cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:02 PM
Response to Reply #7
11. I just want to win and not be a football player who blows the game by celebrating at the 1 yard line
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Stephist Donating Member (557 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:06 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. Michael Moore God Bless Him
Brought up Democrats acting like Leon Lett in the Super Bowl show boating holding the ball out at the one yard line and having it stripped by Don Beebe. One Thing he forgot to mention...

Leon Lett's team still won that game 52-17 :D
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nyhuskyfan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #18
23. I have a buddy...
Who put $100 into one of those pools to buy a square. He had Dallas with 9 and Buffalo with 7.

Leon Lett cost him $10,000. He hates him to this day.
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sarahdemva Donating Member (265 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
10. awesome!!
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Kingofalldems Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
12. I'm waiting to hear from 5658 or whatever his name is
This could be bad news!!:rofl:
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:03 PM
Response to Original message
13. Yeah...BUT look at the partisan breakdown of the sample...
It's only +6 for Dems (37D/31R). :spray:

So tell naysayers to put that "oversampling Dems" meme back in their dirty pocket. :bounce:



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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. WOOT!!
:woohoo:

The manic-depressive cycle continues.

It's now 10 minutes mania until some troll comes along and kneecaps me!
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ROh70 Donating Member (340 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #13
31. Zogby is waiting in the wings . . .
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cureautismnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
14. Cue Fleetwood Mac.
McSame singing right along:

Landslide -

I took my love, I took it down
Climbed a mountain and I turned around
I saw my reflection in the snow covered hills
till the landslide brought me down

Oh, mirror in the sky
What is love
Can the child within my heart rise above
Can I sail thru the changing ocean tides
Can I handle the seasons of my life

Well, Ive been afraid of changing
cause Ive built my life around you
But time makes you bolder
Children get older
Im getting older too

Oh, take my love, take it down
Climb a mountain and turn around
If you see my reflection in the snow covered hills
Well the landslide will bring it down

If you see my reflection in the snow covered hills
Well maybe the landslide will bring it down

:applause:
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VADem11 Donating Member (783 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:05 PM
Response to Original message
15. Woot
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 05:05 PM by VADem11
And this is among likely voters too! GOTV!
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Northofyou Donating Member (49 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:05 PM
Response to Original message
17. Newbie here wants to know....
Is this poll suppose to be one of the most accurate of them all? Do we have the numbers from that poll in 2004?

By the way, great numbers for Obama... I am not posting too much in fear of being called a concerned troll. Even if I am not an American citizen, I am a nervous wreck going into the final strech... I got that disease they were talking about on CNN... :-)

Make the World proud!!!
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. Here is its ranking according to accuracy in the primaries
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:19 PM
Response to Reply #22
27. Only Ras & R2000 better for national polls
Of course, those rating will change after the election, so there's a bit of a chicken/egg thing going on here...
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Northofyou Donating Member (49 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #22
28. Thanks!
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Proud Liberal Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:07 PM
Response to Original message
19. Is this a pretty reliable poll (historically speaking)?
It sounds Grrreeaaaat if it is!!! :wow:

And too think of how we were all starting to slip into a state of pessimism bordering on paranoia all day long.

I wonder if the corporate whore media has ever investigated the negative effects of watching too much of their coverage?
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nickn777 Donating Member (249 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:32 PM
Response to Reply #19
34. THe ABC/WApo tracker was DEAD ON in 2004. n/t
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VADem11 Donating Member (783 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 06:22 PM
Response to Reply #34
41. Pretty much
They were only off by 2 on Bush's percentage and nailed Kerry's.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/charting.html
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azmouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:08 PM
Response to Original message
21. This is soooo gonna happen!!
GObama!
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Schulzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
25. Their party ID breakdown is even less favorable for us then Pew's.
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 05:20 PM by Schulzz
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op. Dem. Rep. Lean
11/1/08 LV 37 31 29 2 * 13 11 8
10/31/08 LV 38 28 29 3 1 12 13 8
10/30/08 LV 37 28 31 3 1 13 13 8


Pew used 38 Dem 28 Rep 28 Ind in their final poll.


I say "even" not because I think ABC's is unfavorable for us, but because I'm suprised that we get better results with ABC's breakdown.
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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:18 PM
Response to Original message
26. K & R!
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
30. I *LOVE* the internals of this poll.... check this out
Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 05:23 PM by scheming daemons
For comparison's sake, Kerry and Gore were only +3 on the economy vs Bush in 2004 and 2000.
Kerry and Gore were both BEHIND Bush substantially in "unexpected crisis" and "taxes" in 2004 and 200.




6. (ASKED OF LIKELY VOTERS) Regardless of who you may support, who do you trust more to handle  - (Obama) or (McCain)? 
11/1/08 - Summary Table*

                                           Both    Neither     No
                         Obama   McCain   (vol.)   (vol.)    opinion
a. The economy            55       40        1        3         1
b. An unexpected major
   crisis                 51       45        1        1         1
c. Taxes                  52       41        1        3         3
*Half sample for items b-c.



Obama supporters MUCH more enthusiastic about their vote.... which means... much more likely to tolerate long lines.



7. (ASKED OF LIKELY LEANED OBAMA/MCCAIN SUPPORTERS) Thinking about his candidacy for president so far, how enthusiastic are you about (NAME) - very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
11/1/08 - Summary Table - Among Likely Leaned Obama/McCain Supporters

            --- Enthusiastic --   ---- Not enthusiastic ----     No
	    NET   Very   Fairly   NET   Not too   Not at all   opinion
a. Obama    96     67      29      4        3          1          *
b. McCain   89     41      47     11        8          2          1
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stoge18 Donating Member (328 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:33 PM
Response to Original message
35. HughMoran strikes again!
Is it too late for me to start a duplicate thread? :)

This is fantastic news! What more can we say about this....
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:35 PM
Response to Reply #35
36. It's the shot of adrenaline we've been waiting for all day
whilst listening to the negativity bringers most of the day...
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:35 PM
Response to Original message
37. Obama on track to be first Dem to win with more than 50% since 1976
Obama on track to be first Dem to win with more than 50% since 1976
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #37
39. Looking good - could be a good day!
So, can we vote now??

I'm wearing out!
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 05:42 PM
Response to Original message
38. Yee Haaaaaaaw! You betcha!
;)
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-02-08 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
43. TIGHTENING!!!TIGHTENING!!!
:rofl:
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