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This stupid Bradley crap!

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nygrl224 Donating Member (62 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 11:09 AM
Original message
This stupid Bradley crap!
Im sure everyone is sick of hearing about this. I don't understand why they still insist not to pay attention to polls because of it. If there was a huge "Bradley Effect" wouldn't that mean that he would not have made it through the primary? Now, I didn't follow the primaries, but all I hear is how Obama underperformed in every poll. Is that true?
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Two Sheds Donating Member (419 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 11:11 AM
Response to Original message
1. Be sweet...it's all they got left
They're about to realize that the two gubernatorial elections used to support the BE theory, Bradley's and Wilder's in Virginia's, were a long-ass time ago. This is a different country.
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nygrl224 Donating Member (62 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 11:12 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. From your mouth..
to God's ears!
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 11:13 AM
Response to Original message
3. If there was a Bradley Effect, Harold Ford Jr. would've lost by 8 instead of 3

Final polls in Tennessee in 2006 showed him down by 8.


He lost by 3.
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JPZenger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 11:29 AM
Response to Original message
4. Bradley Effect was caused by a gun control Ballot question
NPR had a good story about the California election that created the term Bradley effect. The people involved said there was sloppy polling, so the pollster created the Bradley effect term to cover up his screwup. It was a ballot question about gun control that caused the loss - because it resulted in unexpectedly high turnout from rural Republican areas of the State. That is similar to what happened to Kerry in Ohio in 2004.
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Captain Hilts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. And is the wall Obama faces in PA, etc. Guns. Not race. It's that simple.
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