Shock and Awe: Today's Rasmussen- B 49.3%, K 44.7%

npincus

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:15 PM
Original message

Shock and Awe: Today's Rasmussen- B 49.3%, K 44.7%

Bush UP 2.0 from yesterday, and Kerry DOWN 1.3????

What the fuck? Is this the CBS memo controversy effect? An abberation?

I AM alarmed. Those debates can't come soon enough. I believe Kerry can win this- don't know why so many Amercians have their head up their ass.

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Nicholas D Wolfwood

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:15 PM
Response to Original message

1. Please see this post and do what it says:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=822283&mesg_id=822317

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Dems Will Win

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:17 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. These Republican polls like Zogby and Rasmussen pose as accurate

so when we get close they go south on Kerry and set the stage for * to steal, steal, steal.

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Jacek-t

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #4

9. Republican polls like Rasmussen?

Interesting. Just a few days ago, when Rasmussen was showing Bush up by only 1% against duble digit lead in other polls he was praised by many on this forum as the only reliable pollster. But when he shows Bush increasing his lead he is filthy Republican.

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rockymountaindem

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Thu Sep-16-04 02:37 PM
Response to Reply #9

18. I didn't see any of that.

In fact, he's been pretty roundly criticized around here for being a Republican ever since I joined this board.

The only reason he generates so much interest is because he's the only pollster who comes out with a new poll every day.

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michigandem2

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:16 PM
Response to Original message

2. they don't...from now till debates...STOP LOOKING AT THESE DAMN THINGS!

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chimpymustgo

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:16 PM
Response to Original message

3. Stop. It. Now.

take deep breaths. or something.

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WI_DEM

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:17 PM
Response to Original message

5. one negative day in a tracking poll is not a trend

It has to last more than a few days. So calm down.

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swag

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:17 PM
Response to Original message

6. Harris, Economist, et al show race a dead heat

with Kerry trending upward.

Take a chill pill.

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SaveElmer

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:30 PM
Response to Original message

7. No trend yet...calm down

One day's events can cause a spike for one guy or the other. Same thing happened a couple of days ago when Kerry spiked up one day. Wait and see if it holds up.

Bush is STILL below 50%

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npincus

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:33 PM
Response to Original message

8. sorry you-all, I just had a panic attack

when I saw those numbers, but you all are right- and usually I say the kind of stuff you've said to me. I think I need to eat lunch. Anyway, on a happy note, just read a fantatic new Kerry item:

"President Bush is "living in a fantasy world of spin," failing to tell U.S. troops or the American people the truth about the situation in Iraq Democratic challenger John Kerry told National Guard veterans Thursday."

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=536&ncid=536&e=1&u=/ap/20040916/ap_on_el_pr/kerry

I feel better now.

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kerry-is-my-prez

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:54 PM
Response to Reply #8

12. Don't worry I had one of those last week....

after listening to CNN all day I turned into a basket case and was ready to pack my bags and move to the Netherlands....

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Cha

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:59 PM
Response to Reply #12

14. Isn't that just a tad Masochistic?

"listening to cnn all day"? I guess you were on reconnaissance?

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Teaser

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:48 PM
Response to Original message

10. Get out of politics.

Edited on Thu Sep-16-04 01:49 PM by Teaser

If fluctuations in polls alarm you, then get out of politics. If this bothers you, you have no business following it, and you don't have the constitution for it.

I believe you do have the toughness required, though. So buck up. Look the numbers in the eye, know they'll be worse tomorrow, and better again next week sometime.

Statistics is the study of fluctuations, folks. Fluctuations happen, and for *no reason*. Attributing reason to them is foolish, magical thinking.

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Mr Blond

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Thu Sep-16-04 02:25 PM
Response to Reply #10

15. Great post!

You get it.

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Teaser

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Thu Sep-16-04 02:37 PM
Response to Reply #15

17. Why do I gotta be Mr. Pink?

Great handle.

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Nederland

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:51 PM
Response to Original message

11. At this rate

There won't be any debates. Why would Bush feel he has to risk it?

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depakid

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Thu Sep-16-04 01:55 PM
Response to Original message

13. speaks to the reliability (or lack thereof)

in his results.

Don't trouble yourself with Rasmussen's shoddy polling. If you must, then at least look at his track record... which is about the poorest of all of the cheap media polls.

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CityDem

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Thu Sep-16-04 02:36 PM
Response to Original message

16. Gallup is not going to look good for JFK today either

The only poll that counts is on nov 2nd. While I get a kick out the horse race poll numbers, I don't take them seriously.

By the way, the Gallup poll coming out today is not supposed to be kind to JFK. For those with weak knees or weak hearts, you may want to go on a long walk this afternoon.

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Cush

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Thu Sep-16-04 02:39 PM
Response to Original message

19. as long as Bush remains under 50%...

I'm not going to worry

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