2012 Election: Sarah Palin Crushed by Barack Obama
Sarah Palin's Popularity in Republican Party Could Be Problematic for a Win in 2012
By Saul Relative
AP
A new poll shows how dismal the Republicans could have it in 2012, especially if they insist on nominating Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as their presidential candidate. Public Policy Polling has found that if Sarah Palin were the Republican Party candidate in 2012, President Obama could expect to win the election by 20% of the vote.
Considering that Senator Barack Obama became President Barack Obama by only 7% of the popular vote over Senator John McCain (with Sarah Palin in the supporting role), the Republican camp might want to rethink its current direction. Why? Because this is not the story many polls taken among the party faithful have shown. But that is the problem one runs afoul of when conducting a survey or poll within an homogeneous group. How do the Republicans shape up when polling amongst themselves?
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On November 8, just after the loss to Barack Obama and several rounds of infighting between Sarah Palin and John McCain staffers, Republicans were much more certain of who they wanted in 2012. A Rasmussen Reports Poll revealed that 64% of Republican voters wanted Sarah Palin as the GOP's next presidential pick. But things have cooled down a bit since then. Among the party faithful at the 2009 Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), Mitt Romney came out on top in a straw poll. Sarah Palin tied for third with Ron Paul with 13% of the vote, a full 7% behind frontrunner Mitt Romney. Louisiana governor and Republican rebuttal sacrifice Bobby Jindal finished second, only a point ahead of Palin.
But does Sarah Palin really have a chance against President Obama, who will be running as an incumbent in 2012? It depends on the President and how successful his policies are in the next three and a half years. If the President pulls the economy out of its tailspin and does not get involved in too much political turmoil, which would include foreign policy fiascos, he will be difficult to beat in 2012. Whoever the Republicans decide to run with will become nothing more than a sacrificial goat to the political process, not something any presidential hopeful would like to have on their resume. However, given the nearly 50-50 split in elections in the past two decades (no election was won by more than 8.5% of the popular vote, which means, if the vote swings in the other direction by a few percentage points and an electoral shift, the election is decided for the other candidate), the President only has to slip up just enough to fall in a couple key states and he could lose in 2012.
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http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/1580746/2012_election_sarah_palin_crushed_by.html