FL-Sen: Crist Walloping Rubio

Quinnipiac (6/2-7, registered voters, 4/6-13 in parens):

Kendrick Meek (D): 18 (16)
Corrine Brown (D): 12 (NA)
Ron Klein (D): 8 (8)
Don't Know: 57 (53)
Charlie Crist (R): 54 (54)
Marco Rubio (R): 23 (8)
Don't Know: 21 (25)
(MoE: ±4.5%)

Not much new here to see from Quinnipiac, in their bi-monthly poll of the Florida senate primary fields, despite a lot of happenings (most notably, of course, the idea of Charlie Crist getting into the Senate race was still kind of a hazy daydream in April). As we saw in the recent Strategic Vision poll, Marco Rubio has consolidated most of the anti-Crist voters who were dispersed among Vern Buchanan, Allen Bense, and other non-candidates... but he's still in a deep hole. Crist also has 62/28 approval.

On the Democratic side, the potential entry of Rep. Corrine Brown (who's now exploring the race, despite the fact that Meek has a huge head-start in fundraising and endorsements) doesn't seem to eat into Rep. Kendrick Meek's support. Oddly, Brown's presence seems to increase the number of undecideds, although that's probably due to the disappearance of Tampa mayor Pam Iorio (who was at 16% in April). (This poll also contains Rep. Ron Klein, who has made it clear he won't be running.)

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/5097/flsen-crist-walloping-rubio

But it looks like it'll be Crist's.

The high side is that the FL race is merely filling the seat left vacated by Mel Martinez's retirement. Even if Crist wins, the Democrats aren't losing anything.

I think there are 18 Democratic seats up and 18 Republican in 2010. I don't expect the make-up of the Senate to change much next year.

But had Crist lost in the primary, this would've easily gone Democratic.

Oh well. No loss.