VA-Gov: Deeds Leads First Post-Primary Poll

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/5102/vagov-deeds-leads-first-postprimary-poll

Rasmussen (6/10, likely voters, 4/15 in parens):

Creigh Deeds (D): 47 (30)
Bob McDonnell (R): 41 (45)
Some other candidate: 2 (5)
Not sure: 10 (20)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
That was fast! Hot off his surprisingly strong victory in Tuesday's Democratic primary, state Senator Creigh Deeds seems to have gotten quite a post-primary bounce, pulling into a 6-point lead against AG Bob McDonnell. This is the first poll I can find where Deeds led McDonnell in a head-to-head matchup (although if you go back to December, Rasmussen found them tied at 39 apiece), and a huge improvement from the 45-30 gap in April... not coincidentally at a time in the primary when Deeds seemed to be lagging, tortoise-like, and Terry McAuliffe was sprinting ahead, hare-like.

The question is how long this will last. Obviously, there's a lot of media visibility for Deeds right now and good buzz as well (as seen in his 59/27 favorables), thanks to his dominant statewide performance and also thanks to T-Mac's quick and effusive endorsement. This may settle back into a tied race during the summer doldrums... or, given that Deeds seems to have already made strong inroads among NoVa voters even while doing what he was expected to do (put the rural parts of the state into play), maybe this will be the new normal. (Discussion already underway in DCCyclone's diary, which also contains a little more information about the crosstabs.)

I'm sure if things really start tightening up, we can count on President Obama to make a stop or two to rev up the Democratic base and GOTV!

Remember, Kaine is a good friend of the President and was the first Governor to endorse him. I'm sure Kaine doesn't want to the end cap of his governorship to be returning the State House to the Republicans!