FL-Sen: Crist Cruising; Meek Over Brown

Mason Dixon (PDF) for Ron Sachs Communications (6/24-26, registered voters, no trendlines):

Charlie Crist (R): 51
Marco Rubio (R): 23
Undecided: 26
Kendrick Meek (D): 27
Corrine Brown (D): 12
Undecided: 61
(MoE: ±6%)


Charlie Crist (R): 48
Kendrick Meek (D): 26
Undecided: 26
Charlie Crist (R): 55
Corrine Brown (D): 24
Undecided: 21
(MoE: ±4%)

Not really sure what to say about these numbers, given how similar they are to those from other pollsters. Taegan Goddard notes: "Among Republican voters who recognize both candidates, Crist barely edges Rubio, 33% to 31%." That's good news for Rubio, though the margin of error among this tiny sub-sample (which can't number more than about 150, given the internals) would be at least 8%. Still, Florida's late primary is over a year away, giving Rubio plenty of time.

Here's some food for thought: Would Charlie Crist have a better chance at winning this Senate seat if he ran as an independent - or switched to the Democrats?

http://swingstateproject.com/diary/5196/flsen-crist-cruising-meek-over-brown

think it matters. Voting for Rubio would be a "go Jeb" vote, and no way do we want him or any other Bush's back in Florida politics.

I like him in the House and Crist will be unbeatable next fall.

One of my absolute favorite members of the House.