OH-Sen: Dem Numbers Slip Against Portman

Quinnipiac University (6/26-7/1, registered voters, 4/28-5/4 in parens):

Lee Fisher (D): 37 (42)
Rob Portman (R): 33 (31)
Undecided: 26 (26)

Lee Fisher (D): 36
Tom Ganley (R): 30
Undecided: 31

Jennifer Brunner (D): 35 (40)
Rob Portman (R): 34 (32)
Undecided: 29 (27)

Jennifer Brunner (D): 25
Tom Ganley (R): 31
Undecided: 31
(MoE: ±2.8%)

While they don't show nearly as big a decline as they did with their Ohio gubernatorial numbers, Quinnipiac also has Democrats slipping in the Senate race. I'm prepared to believe that Democratic fortunes are really heading southward, but I do have to wonder if Q is overstating things. In May, they had Obama's job approval at 62-31 in the Buckeye State. Now he's at 49-44. Did his numbers really collapse so dramatically here, despite only a slight downtick nationwide? Perhaps, but I'd like to see confirmation elsewhere.

Anyhow, Quinnipiac has also started testing Tom Ganley's name - he's the wealthy car dealer who recently made his entrace into the race official. Portman has a 33-10 lead on Ganley in the primary. On the Dem side, Lee Fisher's lead over Jennifer Brunner has shrunk to 24-21 (from 31-26), with a lot more folks undecided than previously. With the primary still ages away, I don't think we can read a lot into these numbers.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/5235/ohsen-dem-numbers-slip-against-portman

The guy who runs those horrible car dealership commercials with all the kids singing "The Ganley Man can" to the tune of "The Candy Man"? :scared: Heaven protect us.

critical as to how favorable our elections. We needed Brunner and Strickland, so I hope we can hold on.