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Obama And The Public Option - Setting The Record Straight

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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 08:06 AM
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Obama And The Public Option - Setting The Record Straight

Obama And The Public Option - Setting The Record Straight

by ShadowSD

Lately, I've been hearing a lot of bad analysis. A small but growing contingent of people here are trying to dispute the usefulness of the public option. Another, somewhat larger group is just certain the White House has been changing its position over and over, floating "trial balloons", and losing its nerve - basically being willing to accept any interpretation of the administration's position the AP, NYT, WP, or Politico tells them.

Both trends are alarming, because we as a community in the last month have really stepped up in being especially constructive when it comes to pressuring Congress, deflecting astroturf town hall disruptions, and rewarding those representatives who reflect the will of the people; unfortunately, at the same time, we as a community have in the last week also been emersed in a counterforce of cognitive dissonance so overwhelming that it threatens to derail our efforts.

So here are (hopefully) some facts that we can all agree on:

  1. The Congressional Budget Office analysis of the public option shows a $150 billion savings and a $6 billion surplus; a public option does not have to pay insurance industry executive salaries, and thus would inherently be able to offer a lower price to the consumer while forcing private insurance companies to do the same, yet will not run private insurance out of business but rather increase their customer base according to the CBO.

  2. Obama's position all year has been that he prefers a public option but would accept any alternative that accomplishes the same results of expanded coverage, portability, lower costs, and budget neutrality.

  3. If such an alternative to a public option that meets all those conditions were actually to emerge, then - guess what - we should all be open to it, too.

  4. However, no alternative to a public option that has been shown to bring down costs to the consumer has yet been provided. The only suggestion thus far, co-ops, have historically failed in every case at bringing down private insurance costs; the burden of proof is thus on the proponents of co-ops to provide clear and convincing evidence that this trend won't be repeated, and thus far, they have offered zilch.

  5. With a failure to explain how to lower consumer costs to make insurance affordable, reform is just an additional yearly multibilliondollar subsidy to insurance companies for leaving an expanding number Americans uninsured and without access to life-saving treatments.

  6. The insurance companies, through signals by many of their Republican spokespeople, now mysteriously seem willing to drop the ability to deny coverage based on pre-existing condition all of a sudden, which - even considering a bigger consumer base for insurance companies under a universal mandate - is still a big sacrifice; the only logical reason they would give in so easily on something that they fought tooth and nail to protect for decades is to close ranks around even bigger prize, which appears to be avoiding the public option at all costs, and if that's where they're drawing their final line in the sand, it suggests that they have concluded that it is the one thing in health care reform that can really change the system and actually force them to bring down their costs.

  7. Soundbites dominate the news; soundbites are also inherantly flawed because they are destined to omit something important unless the topic is incredibly simple, which policy never is

  8. Most media outlets are owned by corporations that are against the public option

  9. The potential for misinformation and misdirection between those last two factors is thus very high, and any representations of the Obama administration's position in soundbite form should be highly suspect, especially those that seem custom made to wreak havoc among the President's supporters, since they are in the interest of the writer/publication and directly against the interests of the administration allegedly being quoted; however, such soundbites are not treated with adequate skepticism in many diaries - or any skepticism at all - but taken as gospel, eagerly jumped on to reaffirm and reassure pre-existing theories.

  10. This trend of partial soundbite analysis (putting credence in soundbites that focus on one part of an Obama administration statement when the policy itself has been the same all along), a trend which had been emerging here all year in the health care debate, got markedly worse last Sunday when the MSM decided to follow suit, misreading a statement by Kathleen Sebelius; while it may have been somewhat helpful that "is the public option dead?" headlines forced the administration to clarify its preference for the public option as well as the continued consistency of its position, we have followed the MSM into what has now become an echo chamber of delusion to retroactively justify its own mistaken sense of reality. Everyone - in the MSM and here - is now sure there was a "trial balloon" that the White House was trying to float and is trying to guess at the motive, even though there is ZERO EVIDENCE that was what Obama was trying to do. While I am generally always one to argue for the President's ability to conceive complex strategies (11 dimensional chess as it is often mocked by critics), in this case, that simply isn't what happened here; there is no sign there was a trial balloon, whether as an intentional effort to fire up the left or to see how bad it would be, but rather that this is just the media echo chamber stroking itself, and - more alarmingly - us playing far too big a part.
more

What's amazing is how many people criticize the MSM, and then turn right around and buy into their BS. You have people all too ready to put their trust in media reports that Obama's own words.










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NYC_SKP Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 08:58 AM
Response to Original message
1. Wow...perfect. #4 and #8 and your own closing, ProSense...
"What's amazing is how many people criticize the MSM, and then turn right around and buy into their BS. You have people all too ready to put their trust in media reports that Obama's own words."

I'm amazed at how many INSIST, for example, that Obama's phrase at the Colorado Town Hall, "...whether we have it or not..." represented a shift in his position.

Also, I'm discouraged by the willingness of people to take at face value a HuffPost article without links to sources as gospel.

Thanks for posting this cogent analysis.

Recommended.

:patriot:
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chimpymustgo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 09:07 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Would be nice if President Obama would STRONGLY SUPPORT IT (again).
This pussyfooting around is ridiculous - so much good will, squandered.
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Vincardog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 10:01 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. +1 Would be nice if President Obama would STRONGLY SUPPORT IT (again).
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 11:14 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. "good will, squandered"?
By supporting it?

This is the problem this OP addresses: Maybe the "pussyfooting" around is by people who want Obama to distinguish between supporting the public option and "STRONGLY" supporting it. And if he doesn't the spend all their time whining about semantics instead of actually doing more to drum up support.

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JamesA1102 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 10:43 AM
Response to Original message
4. Great article K&R nt
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Agree n/t
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kick
:kick:
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johnaries Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
8. K&R. thanks for posting this!
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Phx_Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-21-09 01:49 PM
Response to Original message
9. Excellent post. I completely agree with this section . . .
Edited on Fri Aug-21-09 01:54 PM by Phx_Dem
Fighting Bill in a talkingpoints memo comment (h/t to aimzzz)

Well gee, why not think for a minute what the White House has stockpiled here? Can it be any more obvious that this is a "don't shoot til you see the whites of their eyes" strategy?

They have compiled hours of incriminating video tape to run as needed in the 2010 elections, from all the Republican "luminaries", spewing obstructionist and traitorous rancor. They have ugly footage of angry, ignorant "ordinary citizens" spewing hate, racism and obvious falsehoods, and carrying assault rifles to boot. They have gone WAY out of the way to float every possible concession, knowing that the Republicans wouldn't budge and would take the bait. They now have a clear field to do Health Care reform with a Public Option and with all of the ingredients that will give it the best chance to succeed.

And this has been done, in part, to provide cover for Max Baucus, Ben Nelson and their ilk in the Senate so that they can help us reach 60 votes to deny the filibuster and then vote as needed on a final bill that contains a public option. If their votes are needed to reach the majority, Blue Dogs have the cover of having fought the good fight to slow this down, which will help them in their conservative states. (Read Kevin Sack's piece in the NY Times from a couple of days ago about Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas to better understand why this is such an important component of the strategy.)

Remember when Rahm Emmanuel scolded activists a few weeks ago about running ads against Ben Nelson and other Blue Dogs? It was because the strategy was long since in operation: any Obama operation excels at counting and does their homework. They had to figure out a way to solve the Democratic votes in both the House and the Senate, and create a mechanism for centrists and Blue Dogs to get on board. And boy, the Republicans have fallen for this, hook, line and sinker. Charles Grassley, for one, could be reading from scripts written by David Plouffe and David Axelrod--perfect campaign fodder for 2010.

Do you think Obama and his crew got to where they are by being emotional and reactive? No, they outsmart people by always taking the long view. I suspected this is what they've been up to, and for me it was confirmed earlier this week by the big grin on Howard Dean's face when he made the rounds of morning and evening shows to insist that everything's on track, and again last night by the serene Mona Lisa smile on the face of Linda Douglass as she calmly endured Ed Schultz's interrogating rant. :smoke:

This is Obama's way of doing business. I think his record speaks for itself.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/8/21/770063/-Obama-And-The-Public-OptionSetting-The-Record-Straight

After health care is passed with a public option, Keith Olbermann and Rachel Maddow will forever been gone from my viewing schedule. At that point, they will have, once again, proved that they have no fucking idea what they're talking about and serve as nothing but whiners who freak out over every little thing instead of trying to intelligently disect possible strategic scenarios. They have no faith in the man they helped elect. Simply put, they don't get it.
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