go along with this??
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/27/AR2009102702844.html?hpid=opinionsbox1Health reform's Chevy tax
By Harold Meyerson
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
With Harry Reid's announcement Monday that he will send a bill containing a "public option" to the Senate floor, the biggest remaining difference between the pending Senate and House versions of health-care legislation may well come down to how to fund this $900 billion reform. On the House side, Speaker Nancy Pelosi has proposed that the lion's share of funding come from a surtax on the wealthiest Americans -- individuals who make more than $500,000 a year or couples who make more than $1 million. Pelosi's surtax would raise an estimated $460 billion, more than half of health reform's projected decennial cost.
The Senate version contains no such surtax. Instead, the bill that emerged from the Finance Committee proposed establishing a tax on the more costly, or "Cadillac," insurance plans that employers provide their workers.
Unfortunately, that excise tax targets a lot of Chevy plans as well.
The Senate's tax would initially apply to all individual policies costing more than $8,000 a year, or $21,000 for a family. Those thresholds are to be indexed to the overall consumer price index (CPI) plus 1 percent. Problem is, medical costs and health insurance premiums increase a good deal more than the overall CPI. Since 2000, they have risen three to four times faster -- which means, more policies will be subject to the tax with each passing year. The congressional Joint Committee on Taxation has calculated that in 2013, when the reforms kick in, the tax will apply to 19 percent of individual plans and 14 percent of family plans, but that by 2019 it will sock 34 percent of individual plans and 31 percent of family plans.
Last time I looked, a third of American motorists were not driving Cadillacs.
Defenders of the Senate proposal point out that employers are not likely to keep buying the more expensive plans if this tax kicks in -- they'll opt for cheaper plans. Those cheaper plans, this argument goes, may require employees to cover more costs out of pocket, but employees will be better able to do that, at least part of the time, because money that had been paying for their plans would now go to them as higher wages. The rest of the time, they'll just be more careful consumers. And since workers will pay more taxes on their higher wages, the government's revenue to pay for the expansion of health care will be undiminished.
But will workers actually get higher wages to cover their new costs? This is an assumption beloved by economists. "There are a few things economists believe in our souls so strongly that we have a hard time actually explaining them," MIT economist Jon Gruber told The Post's Ezra Klein last week. "One is that free trade is good, and another is that health-care costs come out of wages." ....................