http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=676&e=3&u=/usatoday/20040917/ts_usatoday/buoyedbypollsbushshowsnewconfidenceIn the unpredictable world of politics, leads in the polls and candidates' confidence can evaporate in an instant. But President Bush and his campaign advisers are feeling pretty good these days about his chances.
During a bus tour of Minnesota on Thursday, Bush exuded self-assurance. At a roundtable discussion on health care at a sports arena in Blaine, he prowled the stage with the sleeves of his blue shirt rolled up and a grin on his face. At a rally in a baseball stadium in St. Cloud, he told the crowd, "I want to win. And I know we are going to win."
That's not just happy talk. A Gallup Poll released Thursday showed that Bush's confidence might be justified. Among likely voters, he has extended his lead over Sen. John Kerry to 13 percentage points. Bush's support grew despite Kerry's new strategy of aggressively challenging his economic record and the war in Iraq, and despite renewed media focus on Bush's military service during the Vietnam War.
But a Pew Research Center Poll also out Thursday showed that the race is tied. Bush advisers believe he has established a 4- or 5-percentage-point lead nationally.