This is what I've been saying all along - - CNN Columnist Mark Shields

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/09/20/prediction.rules/index.html

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Turn-Out

Yes, this is a hardy perennial of a story. But 2004 has all the markings of being unique.

This is a Big-Issue election. War and Peace. Economic anxiety with an ever-widening income gap between the best-off and almost everybody else. Voters see big differences between the parties and the presidential nominees. Both parties and scores of interest groups have committed unprecedented human and financial resources to registering and turning out their supporters.

One of the smartest Republican professionals I know in Ohio confided that he feared the GOP "needs a 5-point lead in the polls heading into Election Day" to counter what he sees as "the Democrats' intensity" and organizational commitment in the Buckeye state.

There it is, a map for interested voters. Please stay tuned.

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Once again, polls don't matter because they can't account for voter turn out. THIS IS THE BIGGEST REASON TO BE OPTIMISTIC FOR THE ELECTIONS!! We're going to win folks, but not if we sit around moping over every poll!

And it doesn't matter to them if it's a made up 5 points or not, that's what these "polls" are all about.

Making sure those votes are counted are also key.

otherwise it's incorrect.

Signed,

Annoying Grammar Guy

If we turn out our base, it doesn't matter what the Republicans do. It doesn't matter how many lies they tell or phony polls they concoct. If the Democratic base turns out in force, this election is over and Bush goes back to Crawford to write his memoirs (the Crayola edition).

In 1992, it was the economy, stupid.

In 2004, it's turnout, stupid.