Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

"Blood in the water" in Florida property market

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
Home » Discuss » Places » Florida Donate to DU
 
Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 06:48 PM
Original message
"Blood in the water" in Florida property market
Source: Reuters

CAPE CORAL, Florida (Reuters) - Phone books that were delivered but never opened rot away next to empty driveways and overgrown lawns, telltale signs that once-booming southwest Florida is now the center of the U.S. housing storm.

Until two years ago, middle-class retirees vied with property speculators for houses and apartments in Cape Coral, a town near Fort Myers on Florida's sun-drenched Gulf Coast. Now almost every other house on some of its streets has a for-sale sign outside.

With a bloated inventory of unsold homes and a growing number of homeowners forced by mortgage delinquencies to sell -- thanks to the subprime crisis and ensuing credit crunch -- southwest Florida's once warm clime for property has turned stone-cold.

--
"They're saying that we're heading for a recession but I think we're past that," said Setterlund, referring to the housing glut and its effect across much of south Florida. "I think we're headed more into a depression."

Read more: http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSN1230248820070814
Refresh | +1 Recommendations Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
poverlay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 06:51 PM
Response to Original message
1. It's beginning to stink here in Phoenix, AZ too. I think we still have a year or two before things
get really ugly. If only the bigoted, Kyl voting, repigs in Scottsdale realized why their economy was still doing so well, they wouldn't be in such a hurry to seal off the border...
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Chovexani Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
23. Saw a great shirt in downtown Tempe the other day
Said "F*@& Scottsdale" on it.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
poverlay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 07:09 PM
Response to Reply #23
35. Lol. I've got to get one. nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
sarcasmo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 06:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. When your Insurance cost more than your house note it makes it tought to sell a house.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Maggie_May Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 06:59 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Had my house up for over a year
in Michigan can't sell for anything. I had to relocate to Ohio for job reasons. It is hard to sell a home in a nice sub that has homes up for foreclosure or up for auction.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Howardx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. same deal with us
socal instead of michigan otherwise the same.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:31 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. I have a 8 mile drive into town in mid-michigan and on our road I've count 8 houses vacant and
another 12 or so being occupied but up for sale.

This housing market is nowhere near its end and it is starting to look like it is going to turn into a 'banking crisis'.

These next 5 years shall not be 'pretty ones' I fear.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
llmart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #7
18. I'm in a northern suburb of Detroit....
and this is the first time in 15 years I've seen For Lease signs on regular houses that were once very desirable. They can't even lease these suckers let alone sell them.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
amandabeech Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 09:03 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Do you suppose that it might end up being so cheap to live in
a nice neighborhood that Detroit would become a spot to locate back-office operations?

I'm just hoping that something positive will happen to my home state. I'm from a little town near Lake Michigan about half-way up the LP.

Summer home buyers from Chicago are still around and there's a major need for housing for the folks who pick the fruits and vegetables.

However, the downturn is bound to affect the less desireable real estate away from both the Lake and the fields.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Delphinus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #4
17. Similar story here,
in Indiana three years ago. Not looking up.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Double T Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 06:57 PM
Response to Original message
3. And still the denials of our current economic meltdown continue.
Can't fix a SERIOUS PROBLEM till YOU admit there is ONE. idiots.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:39 PM
Response to Reply #3
9. Isn't that the truth. I think the denial thing is so prevalent because so many are
in dire straits and have hopes that 'things will change soon'....

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Double T Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:45 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. 'things will change soon', there going to get a lot worse...........
long before they get ANY better. Unfortunately, many will be ruined or destroyed by the arrogance and fraud of a few.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:02 PM
Response to Original message
5. But prices really don't drop.
I think all of South Florida has gone to hell in a handbasket. I'm in Miami. There are so many houses and condos for sale here it's almost like the Twilight Zone. People can't sell so many are trying to rent. Even when they won't sell or rent, the sellers won't drop the prices... maybe 1,000, maybe 2,000. They'd rather lose money and hold on fast to that dream of flipping the property at prices that are ridiculously high. But it won't happen. Nobody is buying a thing. And, to add insult to injury, builders are still building even more, and providing special offers to go with these new homes: cars, college tuition, etc. Where will it all go?
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. Fact of the matter is, most can't afford to drop the price as there isn't a dimes worth of equity
in these homes and by the time you figure in the real estate agency commission, they are upside down and owe more than the house is worth.

In the end, they will go into foreclosure if the note can't be covered.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #8
15. Oh my God you're right!
That's scary. So these are a whole lot of wanna-be flippers that are about to go bust?!?!

Would it be worthwhile getting out of Florida before the bottom finishes falling out, or will the whole country be affected?
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Purveyor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #15
22. Depends on your situation. If you have a paid for house or a locked
in mortgage that you can afford with a secure job, you are most likely ok.

Regardless, work double-duty to reduce any debt you have.

No debt and paid for homestead is todays "Rolls Royce"....
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
sarcasmo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-16-07 02:22 PM
Response to Reply #22
40. I agree no debt is the answer.
If you owe no one you have no worries.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
jody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:51 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. Interesting point "builders are still building even more". Homeowners paid more for new homes than
they were worth.

Now builders can offer a new home at a lower price than people are willing to sell an older home. That will continue until market forces cause the price of older homes to be less than that of new homes.

Homeowners are definitely going to lose money. The question is how much, 5% or 10% or more?

Homeowners can't declare bankruptcy because Bush made it impossible for working people to use that process.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:03 PM
Response to Reply #13
16. So what will happen, since people can't declare bankruptcy?? nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
jody Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 10:20 PM
Response to Reply #16
26. I also would like to know. I assume they will have to eventually pay off their debt. Hopefully some
DUer will answer that question.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Wiley50 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 11:43 PM
Response to Reply #26
29. I went through this in 2002
With me, it was a health issue and a wife whose job was outsourced.

If you remember in 2002, a lot of 401k's became 201k's. And I was trying to sell retirement property

I had back surgery that ended my career in 2000
We had just refinanced to get money to build a 1200 sq ft addition
but my wife had a great job and I was supposed to get better after the operation.

The wife lost her job and went back to work at half the money.
I couldn't work, but I did try. I ended up filing disability.
The contractor dragged the job out over a year

So even though I had a net $100000 gain in equity.
Our credit rating had gone in the toilet and we couldn't get a refi

And, in 2002, we couldn't find a buyer.

The mortgage company tried to work with us for six months
but we couldn't come up with enough to satisfy them

Then, they filed for foreclosure
and had to put legal notice of a sheriffs sale in the paper

Three days before it was to be sold, we filed Chapter 7 Bankruptcy

So, No, you don't have to pay off the debt.

In that situation, you commit financial suicide

BTW, three years later my now ex-wife bought another home
but was forced to take a adjustable rate mortgage to do it

That sucker if fixing to re-set this year.

My home is paid for
It's a 28 foot sailboat
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #29
36. Look what happened to this woman

First, thank you so much for explaining what happened to you. Thank goodness you're okay now.

Too much bad stuff happens to Americans when they get health issues.

Here's an article from MSNBC today about a woman who went through very bad things when she became ill:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20201807/
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
pitohui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 12:20 AM
Response to Reply #16
31. people can declare bankruptcy, that was a false statement
you can't default on student loans but otherwise, yeah, you can declare bankruptcy

people exaggerate but it's unhelpful when they do

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 08:29 PM
Response to Reply #31
37. True, you can declare bankruptcy, but it's now considerably more difficult for people to declare it
The law was changed fairly recently, no? However, bankruptcy was only made difficult for people, not for corporations. Corporations can still declare bankruptcy as they always did.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
David__77 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 10:07 PM
Response to Reply #5
25. There will be many short sales.
As was pointed out, they owe too much to cut prices without bank approval. As they begin to default, that approval will be forthcoming.

In 2002 I sold a condo for 100,000. It appreciated to about 190,000 over the next three years, but that didn't last long. It wouldn't sell for 130,000, which I presume they owed on it from borrowing against the inflated equity, and then there was a short sale for 115,000. Banks are going to eat it one way or the other.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
terisan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:40 PM
Response to Original message
10. Time to be nicer to Europeans and others from nations with strong currencies.
I understand the foreigners with money to visit and invest are no longer heading to US despite our worthless dollars and cheap labor......fearing perhaps getting disappeared or becoming unwell and having to rely on US Healthcare system.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 07:41 PM
Response to Original message
11. A friend of mine (GOP) went deeply into the FL re market
he's taken a major hit equity-wise. He can't afford to sell it - just has to keep hoping he doesn't ned to liquidate during the Bush depression
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
wordpix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 08:49 AM
Response to Reply #11
41. good, I guess this repug won't be throwing too much capaign cash around
:evilgrin:
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
ngant17 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
14. This is Florida's "perfect storm"
About three years ago we bought our house in Central Fla. for $75k, although it was appraised a little more than that and our sellers were not motivated by greed for the sale. It was a sale based on a normal interest in relocation out of state. And it was not an 'investment property' for us either. We had to find a place to live or we would have faced homelessness.

Less than 2 years later, we could get appraisals of the same for almost twice the original sale. Go figure! A house that was not really repaired or improved in any substantial way during that time.

What's the point of selling if we can't afford to buy a similar house with the same financial obligations?

Basically, housing doubled and inceased in value while real wages and employment was reduced and average income declined at almost the same rate. Factoring in cost-of-living, gasoline prices, ect.

There is a housing crisis brewing, it's probably unsolveable for the same reason that our bridges are crumbling and the national infrastructure is decaying. We have created a war-economy but without war rationing, which only serves to bolster a few narrow sectors of the economy (i.e., Pentagon, military-industrial complex) at the expense of the civilian peace-time economy (i.e. building and operating hospitals, schools, roads, and yes, affordable housing).
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
NotGivingUp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:36 PM
Response to Original message
19. Very depressing. n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Kelvin Mace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 08:52 PM
Response to Original message
20. Love this quote:
While business is slow for Grimes and other real estate agents, it has been booming lately for Jonas Elliott, a so-called "short sell" specialist at Southwest Florida Home Buyer Services in Fort Myers.

Elliott specializes in buying properties from banks or other lenders that are at a risk of foreclosure, usually at a large discount, and then "flipping" them at a profit.

"In this particular county I have about five years of good business," Elliott said.


It is always nice to know that in time of plague, grave robbers do a brisk business.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 12:27 PM
Response to Reply #20
46. For Those Of Us Who Own Here... We Get Letters And Offers ALL THE TIME...
It's people like him who prey upon others and older people! The lady who comes down here from NJ for the winter just called me and told me she got an offer from someone to buy her place! I told her to tell him to take a hike! The offer was a joke! But some who aren't savvy enough will fall for this stuff and that's why the RICH GET RICHER!

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Mendocino Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 10:05 PM
Response to Original message
24. My parents have been trying to sell
for a year and half in Ft Myers. Two bedroom villa, backs up to woods, gated community, golf, pool, tennis and of course shuffleboard. Anybody interested?
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
wordpix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 08:50 AM
Response to Reply #24
42. how much are they asking? I love the sw coast but overdevelopment has ruined it
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #42
47. I've Got Five Acres For Sale! Very Nice Community In North Port...
have been trying to sell for over a year now! But it ain't cheap and I can wait for a while to see if things change again.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
ellaydubya Donating Member (301 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 10:45 PM
Response to Original message
27. The bankruptcy of the USA
The Bushies have bankrupted this country. That was their intention and we have let them get away with it. It truly makes me sick. The deficit, our schools, our infrastructure, health care, etc.- all down the tubes. When will the madness stop and how do we do it???
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 08:32 PM
Response to Reply #27
38. I'm with you 100%! nt
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
wordpix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 08:51 AM
Response to Reply #27
43. we''re screwed with the $8.5 trillion deficit. Our grandchildren will get us out of it, tho
Thanks, BushCo. :puke:
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
casaloma Donating Member (17 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 11:33 PM
Response to Original message
28. No one can pay these prices
We just got back from Lincoln City, a popular Oregon beach town, and there were for sale signs all over the town. As one of the above posters said, however, the prices aren't substantially dropping. Very modest beachfront house: 1.5 million. The houses that aren't for sale are for rent. We live in Olympia, WA, and the market is dead here, too. Thank God my kids moved a year ago; they wouldn't be able to sell their house now.
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Sarah Ibarruri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 08:34 PM
Response to Reply #28
39. That's the thing! The prices aren't dropping, even tho the market is flooded w/houses & condos
And here's the thing.... buyers know the market is inflated, and nobody is buying. How long can these high prices remain, and the market get more and more flooded with unsold and new homes? A year? Two years?
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
wordpix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 08:52 AM
Response to Reply #39
44. buyers should just make an offer and see if it sticks
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
lovuian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-14-07 11:59 PM
Response to Original message
30. Insurance companies aren't insuring the houses either
the words out Florida is going under water

Global Warming
who wants to sign a 30 year mortgage with thoughts of the ocean reclaiming your land
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 06:24 AM
Response to Original message
32. Strangely enough, houses in "the Blue Zone" are still worth a lot of money (NT).
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
DU GrovelBot  Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 06:24 AM
Response to Original message
33. ## PLEASE DONATE TO DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND! ##
==================
GROVELBOT.EXE v4.0
==================



This week is our third quarter 2007 fund drive. Democratic
Underground is a completely independent website. We depend on donations
from our members to cover our costs. Thank you so much for your support.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
cobalt1999 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-15-07 07:04 AM
Response to Original message
34. Florida has always had a volatile housing market
Probably more than any other state. There are a large percentage of 2nd homes here (with owners in other states), it's always a speculators favorite (going back to the 1920's), and the population growth has been enormous the last few decades.

I live in Florida and, frankly, my house and other properties are still over-valued. The prices were run up artificially well beyond what they are worth and they still need to adjust back to 2004 levels.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-22-07 12:23 PM
Response to Reply #34
45. I Agree With You... Very Volatile... But Still I Would Like To Sell My
extra 5-acres in North Port! I can wait though, but when it was "hot" there my friend sold her place in FOUR hours and moved to NC! I couldn't get my husband to agree to sell back then, so now we sit and wait AGAIN!

But insurance costs on my home are really outrageous, thankfully I don't have to insure the acreage! The taxes were pretty high though!
Printer Friendly | Permalink | Reply | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sat May 04th 2024, 03:27 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Places » Florida Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC