Poll shows open race for governor

In hypothetical general election matchups, the poll showed Democrats Mike Blouin, the former state economic development director; and Chet Culver, Iowa's secretary of state, performed better against the two Republican candidates than the other Democrats running in the June 6 primary.
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But in hypothetical matchups, support for Blouin and Culver was barely distinguishable from that for GOP candidates Jim Nussle, a Manchester congressman, and Bob Vander Plaats, a Sioux City business consultant.

In a matchup with Nussle, Culver received 43 percent, compared with Nussle's 42.3 percent. Matched with Vander Plaats, Culver received 41.1 percent to the Republican's 42.1 percent.

Blouin got 41.5 percent against Nussle, compared with 41.1 percent for the eight-term congressman. Vander Plaats narrowly edged Blouin in their matchup, 41.1 percent to 40.2 percent. The poll had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.

Other Democrats, including state Rep. Ed Fallon, Secretary of Agriculture Patty Judge and Sioux City engineer Sal Mohamed, lagged behind the GOP candidates in head-to-head matchups.

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http://desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20051109/NEWS09/511090358/1056

No real changes from the poll we say a month ago. :shrug:

So in their hypothetical polling VanderPutz wins both? I know they are both within the margin of error..but still. That is a little disturbing.

I sure hate polls.

"The online survey was conducted Oct. 25-31 and included responses from 584 registered Iowa voters - 199 Democrats, 210 Republicans and 175 unaffiliated - who were also registered as respondents in Zogby's company's database."

This is the make up of those polled. I wonder how true these numbers are to actual. In my home county it isn't an even split between the parties. Also this is of registered voters not likely voters.

We can't overlook the legislature. We need to promote our candidates in the real world come next fall. Covering all the local forums. I know this group will, but there are many party officials who overlook the internet as a political tool. I look at it because it is cheap to reach a large audience.

check out ...no nussle blog

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

as iffy statistically. Any self selected sample (as Zogby's is since you have to sign up to take part in polling) is breaking a basic rule of statistical sampling and opening up the poll to bias.

Wonder how much of the farm vote he's got sewn up? I don't know if I'll ever see the day here when an unabashed Liberal can run for Guv. Culver does cut an imposing figure. Met him at DSM a couple weeks ago. Nice guy.