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Edited on Tue Oct-19-04 10:48 AM by nownow
Voinovich's 'Q Factor' (universal recognition) is too high. They'd have to run Martin Sheen against that old warhorse to find somebody with enough recognition they didn't have to buy to beat him. I don't like it, but it's true -- he was mayor of Cleveland, then governor, and he's been in the senate; his craggy old face has been plastered all over for too long for anybody as young and relatively unseen as Fingerhut to overcome that.
That being said, I don't think much of Voinovich as a senator (though as governor, he was a zero sum game), but he's not as obvious a tool as DeWine. Voinovich relies on plenty of Dem votes because he's willing to dissent from the Gooper line just enough to fake the appearance that he's 'his own man.'
Wow, that UC poll showing Kerry ahead is a real shock -- Kerry was way behind, like eleven to fifteen points, last time I saw a poll from UC. (on edit -- it was eleven, it was the September poll -- glad to see I remembered correctly!) Expect a lot of fraud/intimidation in downtown districts in the 3Cs (Cleveland, Cincinnati and Columbus). Probably Dayton, too. Don't know what the minority populations of other fifty/fifty cities are -- the smaller cities in the NE corner of the state probably weren't worth Gooper money anyway.
Is it wrong to laugh, when I look at the polling methodology and see the African American numbers? 3% Bush*, 95% Kerry, the rest 'undecided.' Only thing that's not funny about it is, that means they'll target minority precincts for their suppression efforts.
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