I think the media will flip out when they see the results of the TX caucuses.

They've already called the state for Hillary, which I think is a mistake.

But none of them have any idea what we have ALL been through tonight with the caucuses.

This is the most amazing moment in TX political history! The virtual avalanche happened EVERYWHERE.

I can't wait until these caucus results start pouring in.

I asked in the primary forum but it got lost.

be in until the Tx. state convention in June. The media and many others DO NOT begin to understand this.

a part of the caucus process, which tells me there is something very wrong about caucuses, super delegates and all else that is not one person, one vote. This is the most disappointing primary season for all of us in that it has revealed inconsistencies, confusion and distrust. The entire Democratic Primary season needs to be revamped. We have 2 major states, Fla and Mich, that have been excluded in addition to all the other tripe that has gone down. It seems evident to me that caucuses exclude all but the caucusees.

...isn't it still true that the caucus results only make up one-third of the delegate count for Texas? Isn't it also true that according to CNN, almost 40% of the caucus vote counted, Hillary only trails by 4%?

I'm not even paying attention to the results coming out of the precincts because they can only be interpreted in very broad terms. We'll have a clearer picture sometime on March 29 when all the delegates elected on March 4 once again get to stand in line for a hour or two at their county conventions and elect the delegations that go to state. And the real results won't be known until June 6, when we see how all of THOSE delegates sign in at the state convention.

I'm not implying that nothing can be inferred from last night's results, only that extrapolating those numbers to nation delegates does have some margin of error.

Is it fair to say that final delegate count and the winner of Texas is in doubt, but the it will almost certainly be a pretty close score between Hillary and Obama in Texas?

Senator obama may net more delegates from Texas than Senator Clinton.

:kick:

Sonia

As of now, CNN is reporting 37% of precincts reporting and a 52/48% split favoring Obama. If that split holds true until the end of the tallying, then Obama should get 35 more delegates and Clinton will get 32. Since Clinton is 4 delegates ahead from the primary, she'll end up only one delegate ahead in the end.

Of course, if we have yet to hear from many Obama-heavy precincts, Obama might get more than 35 and come out a delegate or two ahead of Clinton. All in all, much ado about nothing. I expected Obama to do better in the caucuses than the returns are showing, but this is a pretty hollow victory for Clinton, considering the lead she had just weeks ago.

So, I guess the Donkey has seen its shadow and we'll have several weeks more of primary hell. Is this good or bad? Will we regret the ultimate choice? I'm sick of speculating, frankly.

You can see the latest CNN data here: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#TX

Creeping in like mold might be better.

:eyes:

The DUers in the Hillary camp are working overtime to keep the positive spin going... she barely squeaked by when she needed blow-outs in order to make up her delegate deficit, but you'd think it was a unanimous vote if you took GD: P as proof.

Apparently, Barak Obama might be up 5 delegates more than Hillary Clinton once the dust settles.

http://www.star-telegram.com/226/story/514458.html

I told them to hold their horses... I told them that if you aren't from Texas and didn't go to the caucus that you might be surprised with the caucus results....

My little precinct was heavily pro-Obama by a margin of 7 to 1. We only had 8 delegates to go to the county convention... but if that gives any indication to the statistics on caucus attendees, it is completely possible that he would make up the deficit and surpass if with caucus delegates....

My honest opinion is that Obama voters in Texas are more of the type to commit completely and go to caucus whereas a lto of Hillary supporters don't. I give credit for my precinct to the Obama Precinct Chair, he made sure to meet people and convinced a lot of us to show up.

I TOLD THEM.

:dem:


Sonia