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Edited on Wed Oct-27-04 04:42 PM by Gman
and 12 percent undecided, according to a UTSA study (probably Richard Gambetta). Most of the undecideds are hispanic female who, according the report, are unlikely to vote. This according to a news report I heard on KTSA 550 AM at the 2:00 news break. I looked for a report on mysa.com and at utsa.edu but found nothing.
Looking back on the Secretary of State website at the 2000 election, the final count for Bexar county was Gore 45% Bush 52% and Nader 2%. If the UTSA poll is considered accurate (I don't know the margin of error or internals) Bush is 7% behind his 2000 final Bexar County tally. If true that most of the undecideds are hispanic female, and they can be brought out to vote Bexar County is very much in play this year. Regardless of whether or not Bush takes Bexar County, this is fantastic news for the down ballot candidates and especially so for the close State Representative races like Liebowitz-Mercer.
I'm trying to get a hold of Gambetta out at UTSA for the details.
Could be the first time we take Bexar County for the Democratic Presidential nominee in many, many years.
p.s. My prediction for Texas this year is still Bush takes 52% +/- 1%. Bush took Texas in 2000 59% to Gore's 38%.
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