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Hopeless Romantic Donating Member (495 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-31-10 06:03 PM
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Blair: I knew Brown would be a disaster
World exclusive: As he publishes memoir, ex-PM urges party not to shift to the left

Tony Blair came to the view that Gordon Brown would be a disaster as prime minister and that Labour could not win the 2010 general election, he reveals in his long awaited memoirs.

"It was never going to work," Blair writes of Brown's three years in No 10, arguing that the former chancellor had "zero emotional intelligence" and fatally abandoned the New Labour formula.

Blair's memoir contains a passionate defence of the war in Iraq and of New Labour's public service and welfare reform plans, which the former prime minister believes his successor abandoned.

Although he refuses directly to endorse any candidate for the Labour leadership, he also makes a number of comments which are likely to be interpreted as criticism of Ed Miliband, vying with his brother David in a contest which reaches a climax as party members receive their ballot papers on Wednesday.

In the book and in his only pre-publication interview, Blair reveals that:

• Brown personally threatened to bring him down over the loans for honours scandal in 2006, before offering to stay his hand in return for the abandonment of Lord Turner's plans to reform pensions.

• He feels intense "anguish" over the lives lost in the Iraq war and failed to "guess the nightmare that unfolded".

• He believes Labour was wrong to ban fox hunting and pass the freedom of information act which is "not practical" for good government.

Blair nails his policy colours to the mast in his memoir by launching a sustained attack on the belief that the financial crisis means that voters want the return of the state as a major economic player. In remarks that will be seen as an implied attack on Ed Miliband and Ed Balls, Blair says voters will not elect a party which fails to offer a credible attack on the deficit.

In the interview, the former prime minister says "I adore the Labour party" but warns Labour that if its attack on the Conservative-Lib Dem coalition "defaults to a 'Tory cutters and Lib Dem collaborators' mantra", then it will win some short-term popularity but not be elected to government.

Speaking to the Guardian before he left for White House talks on the Middle East peace process, Blair said that his 700-page memoir showed New Labour would in time come to be seen as a "great reforming government" in which Brown played a very significant positive part. But his book reveals numerous occasions on which the struggle between the two new Labour titans sapped the strength and direction of the government, leading Blair to delay his handover to his chancellor.

"It is easy to say now, in the light of his tenture as prime minister, that I should have stopped it," Blair writes. But he would have been wrong to have sacked Brown as chancellor or to have campaigned against him becoming Labour leader. "At his best, his intellect and energy were vast and beneficial to the country," Blair writes.

However Blair confirms in his interview with the Guardian that he believed Brown would be a "disaster" as prime minister unless he committed himself to the New Labour path laid out by his predecessor. "Labour won when it was New Labour," Blair writes in his memoir. "It lost because it stopped being New Labour."

The fresh focus on the long-running battle between Blair and Brown, which dates back to just after the 1992 election, Blair's account confirms, is likely to dismay many in the Labour party as the contest for the leadership gets underway. Yet Blair insists in his book and his Guardian interview that the argument is not about personalities but about policies.

On Iraq, Blair offers no change of heart but gives his most detailed defence yet of the policy of overthrowing Saddam Hussein in 2003. He writes emotionally of his anguish at not having anticipated "the nightmare that unfolded" after the initial success of toppling Saddam and says he is devoting "a large part of the life left to me" to Middle East peace and interfaith reconciliation with the Muslim world.

He mounts a strong defence of the continuing war in Afghanistan and says that he would "not take a risk" of allowing Iran to acquire nuclear capability. However in his book Blair reveals that he "hesitated" before backing the renewal of Britain's Trident nuclear weapons in 2006.

Blair's outspoken remarks about the financial crisis and the aftermath of the British general election of 2010 in his book's postscript are likely to have a wide party political impact, especially his caution about any embrace of the view that "the state is back".

"The problem, I would say error, was in buying a package which combined deficit spending, heavy regulation, identifying banks as the malfeasants and jettisoning the reinvention of government in favour of the rehabilitation of government. The public understands the difference between the state being forced to intervene to stabilise the market and government back in fashion as a major actor in the economy."

Britain has got what it wanted in May 2010, Blair claims – "a Tory version of a centrist government." A Labour-Lib Dem coalition was "never on" he argues. "2010 was one we were never going to win.". Labour faces a danger of drift to the left, Blair warns. If it allows that to happen, it will lose even more conclusively in 2015.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2010/aug/31/tony-blair-gordon-brown-disaster
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non sociopath skin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 04:20 AM
Response to Original message
1. Guardian, please note. I, for one, so not want this Odious Stinky Poo Man ....
... spoiling my breakfast and contaminating my computer with his whinging self-justification and control freakery from beyond the political grave.

Nasty little blairses! WE HATES IT, my precioussss ....

The Skin
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LeftishBrit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 05:51 AM
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2. 'I knew he'd fail - because I made SURE that he would!'
Tony sowed the wind and Gordon reaped the whirlwind.

Tony seems disappointed that the Tories didn't win outright - better a Tory government than a left-wing one, or one run by his rival Gordon, as far as Tony is concerned.

Having Dave can make me have sentimental memories of Tony - until I'm brought face to face with Tony's nasty nature. Tony started a lot of what Dave is continuing.
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LeftishBrit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 06:01 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. But of course there'll always be the odd left-wing nut who finds Tony just a bit too right-wing...
Edited on Wed Sep-01-10 06:16 AM by LeftishBrit
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T_i_B Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 06:43 AM
Response to Original message
4. Trust us, we think you’re both arseholes, says public
http://newsarse.com/2010/09/01/trust-us-we-think-youre-both-arseholes-says-public/

As Tony Blair began a personal attack on Gordon Brown in his serialised memoir, the nation was quick to point out that, in fact, everyone actually thinks they are both complete arseholes.

Speaking to anyone bored enough to listen, Blair said that Brown could be “maddening” and had “zero” emotional intelligence, a subject in which he himself has an A* at GCSE level. He told reporters, “I was considerably better at faking emotional intelligence, and simpletons would regularly believe that what I was saying came from the heart, rather than from a finely-honed script designed to fool simpletons into believing it came from the heart.”

The final word has gone to the public, who have moved swiftly to remind the two men that any public feud will only serve to make them appear bigger arseholes that we already know them to be.

One former Labour voter said, “How about they settle this like real men? In the ring, with swords, and a battle to the death? The winner gets the honour, and an instant painless death at the hands of anyone who served in Iraq.”

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Jeneral2885 Donating Member (598 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 09:19 AM
Response to Original message
5. Adds more fire to a falling labour
It doesnt matter which Miliband gets the job; Blair has stoked a fire that Mandelson started.
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non sociopath skin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 02:24 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. That would assume that Blair and Mandelson's word ...
... still carries weight with the electorate.

I see little evidence of that.

The Skin
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EmilyKent Donating Member (753 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-01-10 11:50 AM
Response to Original message
6. Blair turns my stomach.
Now if he'd only just STAY gone!
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craigmatic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-10 10:16 PM
Response to Original message
8. Labour should go back to the left without the left labour is just in it for the power.
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BolivarianHero Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-20-10 11:07 PM
Response to Original message
9. Blair has a point for once...
Sarah Palin wouldn't become Presidential material if Bush were to refer to her potential privacy as "a disaster".
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