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Has anyone saved PRELIMINARY COUNTY RESULTS for Ohio?

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Woody Box Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 09:25 AM
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Has anyone saved PRELIMINARY COUNTY RESULTS for Ohio?

Or Florida (the two most important, others are important, too)?

It's possible to prove vote fraud by statistical means if we can establish a timeline of the preliminary results!

Those of you who are good in math, statistics and probability theory will better understand what I mean.

I think Ohio votes were counted to 70% when I went to CNN's Ohio County page. Kerry was trailing by more than 100000 votes, but he had to expect at least 100000 votes from Cayahoga alone which was counted 50%.

I forecasted the other countys, too, to establish the final outcome for Ohio. For instance, when a county voted 25000:15000 in favor of Bush with 80% votes counted, you'ld expect another 6000 votes for Bush and 4000 for Kerry. This is statistical standard procedure. There is, of course, a statistical deviation, but it has its strong limits.

I forecasted the votes for every Ohio county, and the result was that Kerry could expect 150000 votes and Bush 60000. This would have yielded a close race.

But it didn't happen like that. Quite to the contrary, Bush's edge was growing despite Kerry'S Cayanoga wins.

At this point, I smelled something fishy. Bush's wins were extremely improbable. Have you seen the results in the smaller Ohio Counties? Bush 76: Kerry 23 and something like that? Do you think these results are right?

http://us.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/P/00/county.000.html

Is anyone in contact with the Kerry campaign? Get a good statistician or mathematician, and get PRELIMINARY COUNTY RESULTS! And then DO THE MATH!

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