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So far Zogby has called every state accurately...(hint: Kerry wins!)

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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:15 PM
Original message
So far Zogby has called every state accurately...(hint: Kerry wins!)
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 09:28 PM by truthpusher
and he said it would be 311 vs. 213 in Kerry's favor...

link: http://www.zogby.com/

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The Jacobin Donating Member (820 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks!
There is too much gloom around here! I'm waiting for the party! :party:
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #1
40. California to Kerry as predicted.
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:02 PM
Response to Reply #40
41. Zogby model is still good!
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:04 PM
Response to Reply #41
42. Washington to Kerry as predicted - Still good!!
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:09 PM
Response to Reply #42
43. Colorado to Bush (CBS) - still within model - Bush plus 9
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #43
56. CBS - Arizona to Kerry - still within model!!
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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:33 PM
Response to Reply #43
57. Colorado rejects Bush
NEWSFLASH!
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:07 AM
Response to Reply #57
59. Zogby called Florida for Kerry by .1% - still possible.
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:12 AM
Response to Reply #59
60. Oregon to Kerry - Model is still holding.
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curse10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:18 PM
Response to Original message
2. I like that stat
:D
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Bush-bin-Lyin Donating Member (73 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:18 PM
Response to Original message
3. That is just what I needed!!!
WAKE UP FLORIDA!!!
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TransitJohn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yep.
Thanks for the positive vibes. :kick: :kick: :kick: :kick:
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BamaLefty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:22 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. LETS GO FL!
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Politicub Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
6. I was wondering about that
Thanks for the reality check
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curse10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
7. Let's keep this thread kicked for the naysayers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Woooo hoooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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scottxyz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:25 PM
Response to Original message
8. Per Zogby-5pm-ET, Kerry only needs FL or OH or CO to win
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curse10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Man, I wish I was still registered in Colorado
:grr:
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Tellurian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
9. Great!
However, the Rovian jackals always have an Ace in the Hole.
Will it be the "provisional" ballots that save the Bush dictatorship?

Newscasters have compared them to the hanging chads...
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
10. kick!
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Diana52 Donating Member (162 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
12. Yes!
I printed that out, and have been keeping track. Right on Target thus far.
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Chimpeach Donating Member (71 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
13. And don't forget the pigskin prediction!
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cheezus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
14. yes, and only safe states have been called.
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:45 PM
Response to Original message
15. Just checked - still the same - zogby calling it.
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spooky3 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:47 PM
Response to Original message
16. CBS: "No 'turnovers' and no surprises so far."
Turnovers are states that the opposite party won in 2000.
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mconvente Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:49 PM
Response to Original message
17. Ohio!!
Down to 40,000 lead for Chimp with only 22% in. I feel we are gonna carry it!
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Longhorn79 Donating Member (222 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. Do you know how the precincts report geographically in OH?
East to West or what? Is it just random?
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Ksec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #18
25. random. Dem counties are slow to report. Its lookin good in Ohio
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AngryOldDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #25
33. One county, though, is a big disappointment
Bush is leading handily in Clark County, northeast of Dayton. Clark County has been hit hard economically...thought was Kerry would have no problem up there. I know I for one was counting on a huge Montgomery County-Clark County corridor for Kerry to swing SW Ohio his way.

Report on Dayton station just now said Clark has 91% of ballots at the B of E. Some, however, have been bent while in transit -- and if I heard right, they have to be re-created or something before they are counted. God, I HOPE I misunderstood that.

WKRC out of Cincinnati is reporting that the current Ohio numbers DO NOT include NE Ohio (Cuyahoga, etc.)

The good news is Kerry is walking over Bush in Montgomery County, considered key in the state as well as the nation -- by a 60/40 margin.
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milburn Donating Member (42 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:15 PM
Response to Reply #33
48. John Kerry will win
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ProgressiveDave Donating Member (64 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:51 PM
Response to Original message
19. Zogby gives Kerry FL, PA, MI, WI, & OH
boo-yah!
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Ohio rules Donating Member (283 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:18 PM
Response to Reply #19
29. where is the link?
I can't find it !!!

I need to throw it in somebodys freepin face !!
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TankLV Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:39 PM
Original message
My sister just called - Dayton - polls are PACKED.
Edited on Tue Nov-02-04 10:40 PM by TankLV
Dayton area polls to stay open past midnite.

So far look encouraging for Kerry.

7{30pm PST
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AngryOldDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
44. Where in Dayton is this?
Local media here is not reporting this.
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AngryOldDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:12 PM
Response to Reply #29
45. Try this
I printed it out because so far, Zogby is right on. I just need to know when Bush will rack up his last Red state.

http://www.zogby.com/
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ProgressiveDave Donating Member (64 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-03-04 12:13 AM
Response to Reply #29
61. in the original post.
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bigpathpaul Donating Member (623 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:53 PM
Response to Original message
20. I like this Zogby fellow. :) n/t
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abburdlen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
21. kick!
Set away from your computers and television if necessary- but relax for a moment folks.
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curse10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 09:56 PM
Response to Original message
22. kick!!!!
:kick:
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:10 PM
Response to Original message
23. Zogby model is still good!
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:12 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Arkansas to * as predicted
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ChavezSpeakstheTruth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:14 PM
Response to Original message
26. That's what my eye is on!!!
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:16 PM
Response to Original message
27. Missouri to * as predicted
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Ohio rules Donating Member (283 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:16 PM
Response to Original message
28. 213 - 184 ( current )
means * will only get 29 more votes !!!
is this scientifically accurate and 100% correct ??

I don't think so!
Kerry only need 160 to get over the 270 needed.
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xequals Donating Member (327 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
30. Princeton Professor Sam Wang also projects Kerry will win with 311
Posted final prediction last night. He does a meta-analysis of all state polls. Smart guy and well respected.

http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html
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Andromeda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
31. He's right!
Absolutely right on! My figures have Kerry with 313 EV but who's quibbling!
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Soopercali Donating Member (257 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:25 PM
Response to Original message
32. So far, so good.
Kick!
:kick:
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BlueScreen Donating Member (144 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:35 PM
Response to Reply #32
34. Is this still true? (nt)
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:55 PM
Response to Reply #34
39. all true...Kick!
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scottxyz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:39 PM
Response to Original message
35. Per Zogby, Bush needs ALL THREE of FL / OH / CO to win!
And I doubt Bush can get all three of these states.

Per Zogby, Kerry only needs ONE out of FL or OH or CO to win!

The math is here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=203&topic_id=2239

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Wapsie B Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:39 PM
Response to Original message
36. Think I'll stay glued to this thread.
It seems the most rational and level-headed one on DU tonight. C'mon 311
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:45 PM
Response to Original message
37. kick
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truthpusher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 10:52 PM
Response to Original message
38. Pennsylvania for Kerry as predicted!!
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Kellis Donating Member (663 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #38
46. Go Dems!!!
Its looking really good for Kerry right now!

:thumbsup: :hi: :dem: :headbang:
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bliss_eternal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:16 PM
Response to Reply #38
49. kick...
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slinkerwink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
47. we lost NM though
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Media_Lies_Daily Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:16 PM
Response to Reply #47
50. It hasn't been called yet, has it?
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Supply Side Jesus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:19 PM
Response to Reply #47
51. nm lost??? not yet.
we'll see if the cities come through.
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Hoffnung Donating Member (196 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:21 PM
Response to Reply #51
53. 52% * 47% Kerry - 44% Reporting per C-SPAN
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Supply Side Jesus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:34 PM
Response to Reply #53
58. bernillio county (Albuquerque) hasn't come in yet.
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AspenRose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:20 PM
Response to Reply #47
52. NM: B 52%, K 47%, Nader 1%, 31% of precincts reporting
plus 6-7K provisional ballots that haven't been counted yet and won't for a day or two.
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maryallen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:23 PM
Response to Reply #47
54. NM -- too close to call ...
On NBC.
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Stargleamer Donating Member (636 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 11:24 PM
Response to Original message
55. Even if Zogby is wrong about Florida and N.M.....
if he is right about the other states (esp. Ohio) we still get at least 279 E.V. If we get Colorado, this goes up by 9.
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