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Nearly 15 point shift from last night's polls to today's vote, with unaudited Diebold scanners?

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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:21 PM
Original message
Nearly 15 point shift from last night's polls to today's vote, with unaudited Diebold scanners?
Edited on Tue Jan-08-08 10:05 PM by garybeck
Now where did I leave that tinfoil hat? It's probably a little dusty but I feel a sudden urge to find it.

the real crazy thing is that Obama's numbers were going up by the hour and Hillary's were going down.

by the way this new video shows how easily the New Hampshire scanners can be hacked (or rigged):
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiiaBqwqkXs
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gaiilonfong Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:23 PM
Original message
Well get it out I just did n/t
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gaiilonfong Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
1. Well get it out I just did n/t
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tyedyeto Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. Doesn't seem possible.... until you figure out who's......
doing the counting.

Got my tinfoil at the ready.
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99th_Monkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. I'm sure it must be cheering up all those "depressed" Neocons who'd love Hillary
to be the Dem nominee ... someone they KNOW they can "work with" win or lose in the General

check out this story that broke today, about how attached neocons are to having hillary be their Dem nominee of choice
http://www.opednews.com/articles/opedne_steven_l_080108_conservative_right_c.htm
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:20 AM
Response to Reply #3
85. That would explain
why the Dems - particularly Kerry - never seriously addressed the voting issues. Seems like the Dem leaders have always been the least concerned about all the well-known problems.
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Raine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:24 PM
Response to Original message
4. Yeah what the hell is going on here
something doesn't smell right.
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99th_Monkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. You think Obama might be getting a crash course on the evils of e-voting?
i don't know his record on cleaning up elections, but i bet this gets his attention big time.
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #10
22. No, I don't.
he was asked about suspicious results from 04 and poo-poo'd it.

that's one of the reasons I don't want him as our candidate. He won't fight election fraud; he's too naive to believe it's possible.
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99th_Monkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:38 PM
Response to Reply #22
32. Maybe this will be his wake up call, but then again, maybe not.
It will be interesting to see how he deals with this, or IF he sees anything fishy in the wild deviations from the poll numbers.
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:23 AM
Response to Reply #32
86. Forget about it.
The corporations have already picked their candidate, all that's left now is for everyone to play their part.
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ProudDad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #86
123. The corporate capitalist masters
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 12:51 PM by ProudDad
have picked THEIR candidateS...with their money...

and their perfectly-running, well-oiled propaganda/(s)election/consumption machine cranks along...

(http://www.storyofstuff.com/ or http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqZMTY4V7Ts)

It don't matter what part of ObamClintWardCaineOmnyUliani "wins" in November...

Heads they win, tails you lose...
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leftchick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
5. I am sure Obama will demand a recount
Just like Kerry! :eyes:
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dysfunctional press Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:38 PM
Response to Reply #5
51. if he actually were so inclined- that would be an exceedingly BAD idea...
he would lose the respect of A LOT of the electorate, and be seen as a sore loser.
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 06:10 AM
Response to Reply #51
77. How convenient is it that the law requires the loser to demand
the recount? They lose either way, don't they?


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marions ghost Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:59 AM
Response to Reply #77
82. Right
having the integrity of the system depend on the LOSER calling for the recount is ridiculous.
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rudy23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
52. Either Kucinich, or a voters' group should call for closer scrutiny in this
I mean, the exit polling was off by at least a half dozen points.
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emlev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 11:36 AM
Response to Reply #52
110. Done. By Velvet Revolution (see post)
Velvet Revolution Calls on Candidates To Demand Investigation into NH Results

It was posted to Velvet Revolution during the night, and I just recapped it here on DU.
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DesertRat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
6. I heard on CNN that the majority of N.H. Democratic voters
Made up their minds today right before voting. :shrug:
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:48 PM
Response to Reply #6
21. It's a miracle!
Hallelujah!
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shoopnyc Donating Member (500 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
7. I'm a Hillary supporter but...
...the is something else going on here, I get the feeling...
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #7
14. from Democracy for NH:
NH: "First in the nation" (with corporate controlled secret vote counting)

81% of New Hampshire ballots are counted in secret by a private corporation named Diebold Election Systems (now known as "Premier"). The elections run on these machines are programmed by one company, LHS Associates, based in Methuen, MA. We know nothing about the people programming these machines, and we know even less about LHS Associates. We know even less about the secret vote counting software used to tabulate 81% of our ballots. People like to say "but we use paper ballots! They can always be counted by hand!"

But they're not. They're counted by Diebold. Only a candidate can request a hand recount, and most never do so. And a rigged election can easily become a rigged recount, as we learned in Ohio 2004, where two election officials were convicted of rigging their recount. (Is it just a funny coincidence that Diebold spokesman is named Mr. Riggall?)

We need to get the count right on election night. Right now, nobody in New Hampshire, except the programmers at LHS Associates and Diebold Election Systems, knows if we are getting it right or wrong. Our state officials and representatives know this. They learned all about it when computer security specialists Harri Hursti and Bruce Odell testified before the legislative subcommittee on e-voting in September 2007 (Hursti's testimony is shown in this video). Scientific reports about the vulnerabilities and risks with Diebold optical scanners have been available since 2003.

We love our state. It takes courage and strength to admit where we are going wrong and to fix it. May our state officials and representatives find that courage and strength soon. Before we lose the other 19% of our votes.

-snip
http://www.democracyfornewhampshire.com/node/view/5307
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Generator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #14
24. The fuckers changed their name!!!!!!!!!
From Diebold because people were getting to know it. May they rot in hell.

"Premier" in making whomever they get paid to place first! Fuckers!
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #24
26. Their stock is tanking and their election division is hurting their "good" name.
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:04 AM
Response to Reply #24
58. just keep calling it Diebold. our scanners still say Diebold on them.
who cares anyway. it's just a name. people know the name diebold so i keep using it. so shoot me.
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Kansas Wyatt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:41 PM
Response to Reply #14
34. James Carville in 2004 was VERY concerned how New Hampshire was going.
He didn't care about anything else, and said New Hampshire would be a indication of how the 2004 election would go.
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #7
48. yeah.. a Hillary supporter who thinks someone rigged the election.
I believe that.. not. Are you unaware of the 17% undecided in the new hamphsire polls? I guess they decided today, didn't they? The exit polls showed her winning and those are the important ones. Other polls are pretty useless, as so many voters have cell phones, not land lines anymore.

The idea that somehow HIllary rigged a damn primary is laughable.
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Tiberius Donating Member (798 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:03 AM
Response to Reply #48
56. What if someone else rigged it?
Just a thought.
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helderheid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:42 PM
Response to Reply #48
121. they all decided for Hillary?
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KaptBunnyPants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 06:47 PM
Response to Reply #48
138. Weren't the exit polls adjusted by the election results?
That would eliminate exit polling as a check on fraud, no?
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Zywiec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
8. I thought the polls only opened today? n/t
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
9. 20 point shift!?
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99th_Monkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. Hillary must have had Tinkerbell sprinkle some stardust on Obama voters as they slept . nt
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:06 PM
Response to Reply #9
29. Changed it to 15. thanks
I read the numbers wrong at first. 15 is pretty realistic because last night Obama was ahead by about 12 points, and his numbers were going up every time they took a poll. Right now it's showing Hillary up by 2.
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:28 PM
Response to Original message
11. I'd love to hear what Democracy for NH has to say about this.
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #11
19. unfortunately
the machines are not audited.

I believe only a recount will allow anyone's eyes to see any actual ballots.

check their website tomorrow (http://www.democracyfornewhampshire.com/) they might have something to say about it but the sad truth is we have no idea if the counting is correct unless someone gets to see the ballots.
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #19
23. NH is small, certainly the folks there will have a feel like we did in Ohio after '04
~80% Op-scan so there will be a paper ballot. we'll see if activists are allowed to audit the vote. With only one race, it should be simple.
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:53 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. It' won't be easy but
they have one of the best groups of election activists in the country there. check their website at democracyfornewhampshire.com

they have to work within the law. they can't just demand to see the ballots.
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:55 PM
Response to Reply #25
27. Nancy is on some of the same list servs that I am.
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avaistheone1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:28 PM
Response to Original message
12. Sheesh, haven't you guys studied what happened in 2000, and 2004 with these voting machines?.
We all should have been more diligent in getting rid of these damn voting machines.

In study after study these machines are not accurate and easily hacked.

How many times does history have to repeat itself before we learn something?

:wtf:
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:44 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. We all should have WHAT??
Excuse me, some people here have spent thousands of tiring hours since then, doing everything we can to get rid of the machines, or at least get some freaking audits on them. I myself didn't know much about them 4 years ago and now I run, Vermonters for Voting Integrity (http://solarbus.org/vtvoters) and the Election Justice Center (http://election.solarbus.org) and I have two newsletters with thousands of subscribers. I opened the Election Justice store with nearly every book and film written about the machines (http://www.solarbus.org/store/election.shtml).

What else would you like us to do? Stand naked in front of the capital building until every last machine has been incinerated?

There really are a lot of people trying to do something and luckily some states like California, New Jersey and Ohio are doing something about it.

You certainly can't blame us folks here at DU for not trying.
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:24 PM
Response to Reply #12
144. Republicans rigged machines to steal elections; there is NO EVIDENCE of Democrats' having done so.
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JMDEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:37 PM
Response to Original message
15. I wonder if the Iranian thing is serving as a smokescreen for this fiasco. nt
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dailykoff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:40 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Iran, Bhutto, Osama
they've been pulling out the stops these last few weeks.
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dailykoff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
18. Let me guess, values voters?
Ground game?
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. either that or
soccer moms

soccer is big in NH. real big. especially in January.
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dailykoff Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #20
28. they like her, they really like her
and they wanted to keep it a surprise.
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AzDar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:34 AM
Response to Reply #28
76. I've seen this movie before...I don't care for the ending .
:puke:
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JMDEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:23 PM
Response to Original message
30. K & R. nt.
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Kurovski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:35 PM
Response to Original message
31. K&R.
We'll never know for sure what the deal was today.
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Le Taz Hot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:38 PM
Response to Original message
33. Flashback to 2004.
Remember how the polls were all going Dean's way and then poof! On election day everything miraculously turned to Kerry? In a thread last week I predicted that "all would be revealed," meaning Hillary would pull off a "miraculous" win. Expect more poll-defying primaries.
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LiberalMandrake Donating Member (52 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:08 AM
Response to Reply #33
57. the candidate playing the role of who is supposed to lose: Dean (vs. Kerry), Kerry (vs. Bush), Obama
the candidate playing the role of who is supposed to lose: Dean (vs. Kerry), Kerry (vs. Bush), Obama (vs. Clinton)
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 10:59 PM
Response to Original message
35. If the vast right wing conspiracy had rigged the election
Romney would have won.
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SaveAmerica Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #35
37. Hasn't McCain been voting just as Bushco wants him to? Hillary and supporters are also surprised
Hillary won.

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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:34 PM
Response to Reply #35
46. Stop making sense.. (they won't like it on these conspiracy threads!). n/t
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Donailin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #35
49. no . .they want guliani
vs. hillary and then gulliani will win. just heard commenter on cnn say "i dont think any poll is worth looking at bbecause they're always wrong" and note that the pollsters got te repub race correct.
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:29 AM
Response to Reply #35
88. It's not right wing
It's the corporate wing. Look at who the corporations have picked as their nominee. Corporations do not vote on "values", so right vs left doesn't bother them. And then, since when is being a warmonger a left-wing thing?
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:42 AM
Response to Reply #35
100. Funny, Romney was the only Republican that did
much better in the diebold counties then he did in the hand counted counties. He lost to McCain by about 15% in hand count areas but only by about 2 in diebold counties.

That might make some sense. Diebold is in urban areas and large towns, hand counts are the smaller towns and rural areas. Mitt might have more city people appeal and McCain have rural appeal.

However...seems Obama would have more urban/large town appeal too. But that is where he lost. He won the rural/small town vote. http://ronrox.com/paulstats.php?party=DEMOCRATS
In my state that is where he would be likeliest to do the worst. I'd think that was true for most states.
He only beat Hillary by about 4% in those hand count smaller areas but that just seems backwards to me. Logically he should have done more poorly in those areas.
Him loosing Diebold, winning hand counts under these conditions...that doesn't sit right.
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L.A.dweller Donating Member (477 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:08 PM
Response to Reply #35
132. McCain will do just fine
for the vast right wing
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rudy23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:00 PM
Response to Original message
36. I wonder if any voters' groups can challenge this election based on the exit polls
If this were any deciding election in the world, the results would be challenged based on the poll numbers. Are the primaries just not important enough to where we could just let it slide?

I know it would hurt a candidate to call for a challenge, but it's not about them, it's about the voters. Now if polling shows tomorrow that there really was an overnight shift, that's one thing. But I'm not buying this until I see something credulous that explains the shift.
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:01 AM
Response to Reply #36
55.  The exit polls had it too close to call
About how it turned out. So the conspiracy theory needs a different reason than they used last time.
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #55
89. No, too close to call is exactly
how you want it if you mean to rig the result. This is what happened in 2000 and 2004, after all. If a candidate is leading by a significant percentage, you can't flip the vote without raising suspicion. But 2-3% is the margin of error, keeps you safe.
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #55
140. The raw data at 5:30 that night showed Obama
with a "substantial lead" that matched the earlier polls.

Matthews just revealed he was shown it just before the polls closed and it looked like a huge Obama lead.

The weighted exit polls that get release always match the results, that is standard and open.
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:45 PM
Response to Reply #140
148. At 8:00 PM sharp
ABC announced that exit polling showed the race to close to call.
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #148
151. That was the weighted poll, not raw data
They couldn't make any comments off raw data and it was suppose to be seen by very few.
Matthews is just a blabbermouth trying to prove his point that people lied to the exit pollers.
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 06:14 AM
Response to Reply #36
78. No one BUT a candidate can call for a recount in NH. .
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 06:15 AM by annabanana
So.. in this case... not a single New Hampshire resident can do anything about it.
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Horse with no Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
38. And Edwards numbers were static at 17
They didn't move.
How strange is that?
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bdamomma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:34 AM
Response to Reply #38
90. very strange.
and it was like that for a while.
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Bright Eyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
39. "It's not who votes that counts. It's who counts the votes."
Edited on Tue Jan-08-08 11:16 PM by Bright Eyes
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JMDEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:17 PM
Response to Original message
40. Stolen stolen stolen
I am an EDWARDS suppporter. I don't give much of a rat's ass about Hillary or Obama. But this election was so BLATANTLY STOLEN that it wrenches my gut.

HOW BLIND CAN WE BE????????????????

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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:33 PM
Response to Reply #40
45. Sour grapes sour grapes sour grapes. n/t
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mod mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:36 PM
Response to Reply #45
47. Yeah and Gore didn't win, neither did Kerry and there's been no politization of the DoJ
a swing like that is just a fluke-right?

:sarcasm:
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tom_paine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #45
99. How can it be sour grapes when the person's candidate is not involved?
No one is saying that Edwards got shafted or that he should have won.

How is it sour grapes, then, to infer that skepticism is necessary considering non-transparent privatized "voting" which suddenly (and coincidentally, I'm sure) produces these massive "Dewey vs. Truman" upsets pretty regularly now.

But I'm sure it's just a coincidence this started happening once our voting went privatized and therfore "dark" to the public, our representatives, our law enforcement, and our inspectors.

A video poker machine gets inspected twice a year for computer glitches, how come that's not "proprietary software" that isn't permitted to be inspected?
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helderheid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:08 PM
Response to Reply #99
114. Well said n/t
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Laurab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #45
153. It's not sour grapes - it's common sense to me.
I don't mind that Hillary won, really - what I do mind is that all the polling, including Hillary's own, was so very wrong. Hillary would have had nothing to do with rigging anything. The machines are repuke owned and have proprietary software. The repukes would only be interested in who was easiest to beat, IMO, OR they might prefer Hillary.

When even the winner is so surprised by the outcome, it makes me wonder. When Edward's and Richardson's numbers didn't change at all just about the entire time, it makes me wonder. When Hillary was never once in 2nd place, it make me wonder. I watched the returns coming in in Iowa, and there was constant shifting, up until Obama grabbed the lead - then there was constant shifting between 2nd and 3rd place the entire time.

I, for one would feel SO much better if Diebold had nothing to do with it. I HONESTLY don't mind that Hillary won, although I prefer Obama. The point is, something smells fishy. Is this going to be happening all the way along, through the primaries and to the election? THAT's the part that worries me.

I congratulate Hillary's supporters on her win - I just wish I could feel better about it, and that in NO WAY reflects on Hillary. It's Diebold I have a problem with.

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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:23 PM
Response to Reply #40
143. So you're saying there are criminal Democratic elements hacking computers?
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Kurovski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:28 PM
Response to Original message
41. Kick. (nt)
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Whisp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:31 PM
Response to Original message
42. I smell the waft of big fat gellatinous rotting fish too.
garybeck, I read downthread that you are very involved in election and voting system issues and have to say Thank You So Much for all your hard work.

This must break your heart, I'm so sorry.

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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
43. oh yes! Hillary's supporters have access to the County property...
I've seen this moranic rant posted here all night by others. Yeah, they rigged a primary.. do you even see how idiotic and paranoid that sounds?
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:54 PM
Response to Reply #43
54. You obviously don't understand our voting system. Maybe you should
do a little research before you make a fool out of yourself.

the fact is that anyone at Diebold or LHS could have rigged the election with little effort.

Don't mess with me. I know what I'm talking about. I've been researching this for years and I have the testimony of the experts behind me.

Only the ill-informed can say it's idiotic and paranoid.
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:58 PM
Response to Reply #54
137. Just because something COULD have been done (giving benefit of the doubt) doesn't =
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 04:59 PM by WinkyDink
WAS done.

Skepticism works both ways.
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:33 PM
Response to Original message
44. Oh and the poll I saw today has Hillary nationally ahead by 9 points.
But that's a conspiracy as well. Oh, and there were 17% of undecideds in New Hampshire until today...
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Laura PourMeADrink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:38 PM
Response to Original message
50. Don't forget the polls were Right for Repukes ! And last minute deciders split !!!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/...

Average McCain Poll Lead - Night before election: 3.6 Pts
Actual at this moment: McCain leading Romney by 5
VARIANCE: 1.4%

Average Obama Poll Lead - Night before election: 8.3 Pts
Actual at this moment: Clinton leading by 2
VARIANCE: 11.3 %

The kicker: I heard Wolf say that the people that made up their mind TODAY split between Obama and Hillary.

This scenario is almost EXACTLY what happened in Florida in 04. Kerry led by 3 and lost by 6 - Variance of 9 %. But with last minute deciders going to Kerry.

Now, before you say poor sport - I would be the first to say congratulations when it's fair and
square. But this stinks too high heaven. And most everyone here, if they didn't have any
vested interest would say the same damn thing.

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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-08-08 11:54 PM
Response to Original message
53. I smell a rat too.
Hillary's the ideal candidate for the GOP to run against, so it's not too hard to figure out why they'd want her to win the nomination.

She's so far right she can barely be considered a Democrat, meaning the GOP can lean further right to capture the votes of the fundies, neo-cons and 23-percenters, while the left has no choice but to hold their noses and vote for her. She's very polarizing. I've lost count of how many people have told me "I don't like Bush, but I'll vote Republican if Hillary's the Democratic candidate." Many people - independent/moderate, liberal, and conservative alike absolutely hate her. Her personality rubs people the wrong way. She's the most easily swiftboated.

She'll get ripped apart by the GOP if she gets the nomination, and even if she does win the general election, she's been bought and paid for by the corporatists. The war in Iraq will continue, health care will continue to get worse, and everyone who isn't in the top 0.5% of incomes will continue to get screwed.

Hillary must be stopped at all costs.
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2rth2pwr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:19 AM
Response to Original message
59. Rove left the White House right before all these races got heated up. nt
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:26 AM
Response to Original message
60. This smells to heaven.
I'm not going to post this to thirty five threads, just here and just once. I don't believe it.
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Kucinich4America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:39 AM
Response to Original message
61. It's time to grab a baseball bat
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 01:40 AM by Kucinich4America
and smash every last fucking one of these machines.

They can't rig the election if their theft mechanism is broken. And in this case "they" can mean whomever you think it means.

If the Delusional Lackey Cowards continue to ignore this issue (because they obviously benefit from the outcome), then we can't expect our so-called elected representatives to take care of this problem.

Vandalism? Yeah, well so was the Boston Tea Party. If you have a better solution, I'm all ears.
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emlev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:50 AM
Response to Original message
62. BRAD BLOG's on the case!
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kster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 02:17 AM
Response to Original message
63. Thats the problem having Paper Ballots, and not counting ALL of them
by hand, there will always be doubt about our elections.

There is absolutely no reason that people should NOT be able to Count ALL the Ballots by Hand at the precinct, no reason whatsoever.

:)
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CyberPieHole Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 02:27 AM
Response to Original message
64. Sour grapes much...


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Binka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 02:50 PM
Response to Reply #64
129. Shut Your Pie Hole n/t
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 02:53 PM by Binka
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:43 AM
Response to Original message
65. Certain polls had Obama up by as little as 5%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/new_hampshire-primary.html

Cherrypicking numbers just makes this ridiculous crybaby theory look more ridiculous.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:53 AM
Response to Reply #65
68. One poll at that link and you picked the narrowest one.
You are cherrypicking, not the OP.

I'll go with the ridiculous crybaby theory that has been historically right and before most people got it, thanks.
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:02 AM
Response to Reply #68
70. Why not the narrowest one? The OP chose the broadest one.
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 05:03 AM by Harvey Korman
There have been election upsets before voting machines, you realize that right? I'm sure you also realize that polling during a soft "bounce" is notoriously unreliable.

I also notice the OP doesn't mention exit polling. Oh, but I forgot, CNN was in on it. :eyes:
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:03 AM
Response to Reply #70
71. Use The Google and search adjusted exit polls. n/t
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HCE SuiGeneris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:04 AM
Response to Reply #70
72. Harvey. Why is your profile hidden?
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:05 AM
Response to Reply #72
74. It's not hidden.
What are you talking about?
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LostinVA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:11 PM
Response to Reply #72
133. WTF? I hope you'll not calling him out as a TROLL
HarveyKorman is a long time DUer, a Progressive, and a strong supporter of GLBT and ALL OTHER civil rights. For shame.

His profile isn't disabled.

Sheesh.
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #65
92. Right, so now
so Diebold is a reliable party now when it comes to vote counting, right? And all the research that shows how easily a single person can rig an election count for sh*t now because Hillary won, right? Right?
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 11:53 AM
Response to Reply #92
111. There is no fucking EVIDENCE of tampering
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 11:55 AM by Harvey Korman
This is not 2000 and 2004.

Show me counties where there are overvotes that number in the thousands, and I might believe you. Show me counties that were projected to go overwhelmingly for one candidate and inexplicably flipped, and I might believe you.

None of that happened here. The counties that were expected to go for Obama (mainly western NH), he overwhelmingly won. Clinton won largely due to rebounding support from women and in cities in southern NH where she was strong BEFORE IOWA. Whether or not you think the exit poll numbers were adjusted, the demographic breakdown reflects this and the result is explainable by events that took place on or before election day.

The question you should be asking is why polls showed such a dramatic shift in support in just a day or two in a state that Clinton was winning. The fact is, NOBODY would be asking this question if it was Clinton who was up in the polls and Obama came from behind to win it. They'd be celebrating the upset and talking about how the pundits were wrong and the people had spoken.

People are trying to disguise a partisan squabble as concern about election fraud. It cheapens the effort to expose the actual fraud that occurred in 2000 and 2004 and may occur again in 2008.
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Joe Chi Minh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 02:24 PM
Response to Reply #111
127. If Hillary wins they won't need to engage in fraud this November.
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 02:27 PM by KCabotDullesMarxIII
Indeed, against her, it would be foolish. She's their best shot. The formal Republicans would require too much fraud to win, even for them.

These are the crucial elections. That's why corporatists like you are happy to accept that there was fraud in 2000 and 2004 and to invoke the presidential election as the one significantly imperilled by Republican fraud.
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 03:26 PM
Response to Reply #127
130. Corporatists like me
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 03:27 PM by Harvey Korman
You don't know thing 1 about me so STFU, thanks.

Continue to be in denial if you can't reconcile your worldview with reality.
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Joe Chi Minh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 01:32 PM
Response to Reply #130
158. As the mocking caller replied to Savage, when he said that he didn't
know him, didn't know anything about him, "I know what you say!"

However, I shall graciously forbear from continuing my mockery of you with his addendum.
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 04:42 PM
Response to Reply #158
161. Perhaps you've been listening to Savage too long.
Edited on Thu Jan-10-08 04:56 PM by Harvey Korman
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Joe Chi Minh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #161
162. Quite difficult from the UK.
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 07:27 PM
Response to Reply #162
163. Right.
Edited on Thu Jan-10-08 07:29 PM by Harvey Korman
While you're sitting in the UK, condescending to me from behind a computer screen, I'm an attorney who has attended hearings organized by NYVV at the NYC Board of Elections in order to keep DRE voting machines OUT of my state.

I appreciate the problem with unverified voting. I really do. What I don't appreciate is a bunch of partisans turning "fraud!" into a rallying cry because a Democrat they don't like won a single state primary when an analysis of the results city by city shows no such fraud took place. In fact, the only fraud I can discern is the king-making effort by the media pre-NH, which clearly the electorate didn't care for.
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vickitulsa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #111
152. HK, I've seen you around here for a long time,
and you seem like a pretty reasonable and intelligent guy. My one big question to fellow Dems on this whole issue is, why would HRC supporters be against those wanting a recount or a real investigation?

I mean, it seems to me that HRC's smart move -- one that would reassure many of us tremendously -- would be to show complete willingness, even eagerness, to have the hand count done. If it turns out that she won fair and square, her position is strengthened hugely and she'd win a lot of respect from everyone for that and for her openness AND a desire to determine that we're seeing fair elections in our primaries.

If it turns out that there was skulduggery going on -- especially using the machines -- then we would have the evidence we need to make certain the e-voting system is corrected before the GE.

I just cannot see the downside for HRC, her campaign and her supporters to pushing for a hand count to allay all suspicions. Whereas when some -- not you, necessarily, but certainly some -- of her supporters are hurling the nasty term "sour grapes" and other invective at those of us who have reasonable questions about this primary's "amazing" results only serves to further divide Dems.

Further dividing Dems, from what I've seen on DU in recent weeks, might be devastating to our chances of ever uniting and pulling together enough after bitter primaries to put our Dem nominee into the White House next January.

What does it make HRC's side look like if they cry, "No, no! DON'T hand count the votes!"?


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Joe Chi Minh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 01:36 PM
Response to Reply #111
159. Hey, dumbo. White-collar fraud is proved on the basis of circumstantial
evidence. Shredders, etc, just won't hack it. Savvy? Capisce? No need for a smoking gun. Non-transparent elections are inherently fraudulent. It is incumbent on the government to prove the integrity of the vote count.
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Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 04:40 PM
Response to Reply #159
160. People like you give material to those who caricature lefties.
Be gone, you drone.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:51 AM
Response to Original message
66. The creepiest part is listening to the anchors throw themselves
into the spin.
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 06:27 AM
Response to Reply #66
79. Like watching a synchrnized swimming
Right into the deep end with perfect precision.

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SmellsLikeDeanSpirit Donating Member (471 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:51 AM
Response to Original message
67. I can understand the polls being off by a few a points.
But not an 15 swing in 24 hours. When has that ever happened? The chances of something fishy not happening seem slim at this point.
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HCE SuiGeneris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:59 AM
Response to Original message
69. Can you say "We're fucked?"
There is more than a little something wrong here.
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:04 AM
Response to Reply #69
73. Can you say "President McCain"?
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:13 AM
Response to Reply #69
94. The "something wrong" was
when no serious Dem leaders raised the issue of possible vote rigging, not in all the years since 2000. That was my main problem with Kerry in 2004. But then being a sore loser is the worst dishonor ever, so that explained all, didn't it.
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 05:14 AM
Response to Original message
75. Or the polls after Iowa were bunk, and it was a fake comeback
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Perry Logan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:05 AM
Response to Original message
80. This would have more credibility if the Obamites had mentioned it BEFORE the primary.
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 07:06 AM by Perry Logan
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Usrename Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:42 PM
Response to Reply #80
125. How about Jan 5th - and I'm not a big Obama fan.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=3958198&mesg_id=3960443

And yes, just hours ago I heard Morning Joe talking with someone who claims that he was expecting this result.

Please try to keep up with the times we are in.

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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:13 AM
Response to Original message
81. Good thing there aren't any paper ballots that can be checked...
DO you really think if the Obama campaign thought there was something fishy with the result they wouldn't have said something?
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moodforaday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:16 AM
Response to Reply #81
96. Absolutely
They would not. Just like Kerry never did. Just like HRC never did, unless my memory is wrong. Everybody knows electronic voting is totally hackable, and the people who care the least have always been the leading Dem candidates - in 2004 and now.

Doesn't that give anyone pause?
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:06 AM
Response to Original message
83. If anything swayed the vote inappropriately toward Hillary,
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 08:07 AM by Vinca
it was the ability of Republicans to vote for the Democratic candidates in the primary. They want to run against her in the general. I'm not saying her votes weren't on the up and up, but it's happened before.
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Snarkturian Clone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:10 AM
Response to Original message
84. I said this in another thread but
Why bother bickering over candidates, knocking on doors, and working on the campaigns of candidates if you believe Diebold will be choosing anyway? It would save us a lot of arguing and hurt feelings.

I don't want to believe this Diebold stuff because I want to be able to hope that a dem gets elected. If you're telling me the vote is going to be rigged no matter what, why bother coming to this site and to bicker over who would be the best choice?
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NobleCynic Donating Member (991 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:20 PM
Response to Reply #84
142. Because without people actually out there
Voting, organizing, and knocking on doors, there is no context against with which to illustrate that the fraud actually exists.
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Skinner ADMIN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:25 AM
Response to Original message
87. ** THE EXIT POLLS WERE ACCURATE **
Phone polling is not accurate. Exit polls are a much better indicator of what will happen, and they were right.

Explanation is here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x2639218
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #87
93. It's ALL guesswork
And the reason I should trust the CNN exit polls is ?? CNN has a long track record of keeping the truth from me.

The bottom line and undeniable fact is that the votes were counted in secret. We just don't know, one way or the other. We can speculate about phone polls, exit polls, trusting CNN or not... That is why we're supposed to have observable vote counts, like it says in the Constitution.
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Junkdrawer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #93
95. I agree. n/t
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Enrique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 11:10 AM
Response to Reply #93
108. but you cite polls in your OP
why do you find those polls worthy of credit, but then dismiss the exit polls?
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #108
112. I didn't say that.
look - the prepolling was not just one source. Hillary, obama, the media, all had their own polls and they ALL showed Obama with a double digit lead, which was inreasing up to the election.

the exit poll as I understand is just one.

so there is an argument to trust the prepolling more, but I'm not even saying that.

I'm just saying there is suspicious results, reason to question, and NO reason to believe what Diebold is telling us because they counted the votes in secret.
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Usrename Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:52 PM
Response to Reply #87
126. I guess I'll ask you the same question I asked OTOH.
Do you have any idea why they couldn't make a projection? If, like you say, the exit polls were accurate?

There is a three percent spread and they couldn't make any projection until over half the votes were in.

Why do you think that is?

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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:37 PM
Response to Reply #87
136. After what I saw in 2004, I'm supposed to believe exit polls? n/t
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:10 PM
Response to Reply #87
139. Matthews revealed exit poll raw data for 5:30pm
showing Obama with a substantial lead that did match the earlier polls.

Of course the weighted polls fit the results, that is what they do and they say so.
They say it is only to reveal trends.
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Patiod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:44 AM
Response to Original message
91. I think people act differently when they get in the booth
Particularly around someone as politically charged as Hillary Clinton. I think a lot of people, women especially, don't want to deal with the sneers and vitriol that is unleashed by the Clinton Haters, and don't vocalize, or even acknowledge their support. I've seen people's reaction when someone says they support Hillary Clinton -- the Dems roll their eyes ("she such a Corporatist" "She's the DLC candidate") and the Republicans start frothing at the mouth ('nuff said).

But once they get in that voting booth, the temptation to pull the lever for a woman can become overwhelming. Plus there aren't any Haters around to spit poison at them.

I do market research for a living, and I think we generally get good data, but there's a phenomenon where people follow social norms, which we have to fight all the time (one of the reasons I really don't like focus groups, even though I moderate them)

//I'm saying this as someone who has been a knee-jerk Hillary Disliker up until about now, because I've though all along she was being foisted on us.
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BigDDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:16 AM
Response to Original message
97. Diebold rigged the primary!
So who really won?
Let me guess....Kucinich? :rofl:
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:25 AM
Response to Reply #97
98. The fact is we just don't know
when the votes are counted in secret, we just don't know.

making fun of someone for questioning the results when there are valid reasons for doing so is not helpful.


since you obviously don't understand the voting system, let me give you something to think about.

would you like it if your election was counted by a private company who took all the ballots into their company headquarters, closed the door, and later announced the results without allowing anyone to verify what they did?

I guess you would like that?

and you would laugh at people who don't?

Because, that is exactly what we have right now.
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1776Forever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:51 AM
Response to Reply #98
102. Keep it honest for God's Sake! Haven't we seen enough??? Remember 2000?????????
Thank you! We all must be vigilant!:grouphug: :yourock:
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:27 PM
Response to Reply #102
145. Have you posted this concern before now?
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BigDDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #98
105. I'm very curious....
what is your gut feeling? Who "really" won?
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 11:08 AM
Response to Reply #105
107. Media types were saying last night that the Obama events
were overflowing and the Clinton events were dead. In fact, the talking heads spent hours last night trying to come up with a narrative that fits the result.
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:08 PM
Response to Reply #105
113. My gut feeling doesn't matter
what matters is that our votes are counted in secret and we have no reason to believe the results.

the constitution calls for observable elections and we do not have that.

That's what matters.


as for my gut feeling, I think Obama won NH if the votes were counted properly.
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BigDDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:16 PM
Response to Reply #113
118. It's funny, I dont remember reading anything yesterday
warning us about this.
Did I miss it?
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Enrique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:46 AM
Response to Original message
101. what do you mean "unaudited?"
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:13 PM
Response to Reply #101
116. Unuaudited means
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 12:23 PM by garybeck
Here is how the election works in NH, and many other places.

1) people fill out a ballot on paper
2) they insert the ballot into a Diebold scanner
3) secret software inside the scanner tallies their vote

it is literally as if we just gave all the paper ballots to Diebold and they took them home overnight and announced who the winner is without allowing anyone to verify.

no one ever sees or counts any of the paper ballots.
no one ever checks the accuracy of the machines.

look at it this way - if someone at Diebold wanted to rig the election and put something in the software code to flip some of the votes, there is literally NO WAY to even find out if they did such a thing.

An AUDIT is when we take SOME of the ballots by a random sample, hand count them, and check them against the scanner/machine count. Of course, the more you hand count, the greater your confidence level.

But with NO AUDIT, there could be a glitch, bug, fraud, anything, and no one would ever know. The actual vote counts could be completely wrong and we would never know.

That's where we are today. No audits. No verification. Secret vote counting. No reason for confidence in results. No observation of vote counting. No democracy.

by the way several states have audits, including California and New Jersey. NH has none.
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Enrique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 01:12 PM
Response to Reply #116
124. why can't the paper ballots be counted in a recount?
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:35 PM
Response to Reply #124
135. they can, but there is no recount! that's the point:
the paper is there, in case of a recount.

but that is meaningless unless there is a recount!

recounts are very rare, there will not likely be a recount in NH, so the fact that the paper is there is pretty insignificant.

so...

the audit is something that takes place at every election. it samples some of the ballots randomly to check that the machines counted correctly. it is necessary, to have any confidence in election results. many independent studies of the machines have concluded this, I can point you to the studies if you would like.
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vickitulsa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #135
154. Wouldn't such an audit also take less time and be less costly
than an old-fashioned "recount" or a hand count of every paper ballot?

This makes the most sense to me of all the options, this audit option. It would certainly seem to be the best first step to take!

What makes me feel even more suspicious about what happened last night is that when I keep saying "recount," I have to remind myself that there never really was a "count" in the first place! -- EXCEPT by the machine software, and that alone, right? For at least 80% of the state, as I understand it.

THAT is NOT a proper "count" by any definition!

I find myself wondering, do businesses which depend on certain software to do "counting" tasks for them, in cases where the outcome, the total, the final numbers that result are VERY important to them -- do they rely on one and only one calculation by one brand of software? Knowing they will be making critical future decisions for their company based on that result?

And this comparison doesn't even deal with the idea that such a business would let such a number be tallied for them in secret and by some other entity! Such an idea as that would be unthinkable, surely!

Yet it seems that's what we're doing here in our unverified e-voting systems; and it just seems so crazy on the face of it, I can hardly believe this is being permitted in this country.

We the People have so much riding on these elections, on ALL our elections, every one of them. We simply MUST have a way to observe that proper counting is done. Period.


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Enrique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jan-10-08 06:17 AM
Response to Reply #135
157. well then that has nothing to do with Diebold
or with what kind of voting machine is being used.
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librechik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:52 AM
Response to Original message
103. Don't worry--Tweety will figure out how Hillary stole the election!
he is definitely on the case now!
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earth mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 10:54 AM
Response to Original message
104. I've had my hat on since Iowa.
:grr:



:tinfoilhat:

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moondust Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 11:01 AM
Response to Original message
106. A possible explanation.
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 11:08 AM by Xap
Some NH independents may have thought Obama had it locked up by a wide margin so they figured it was safe to switch over and vote for McCain in order to stop Romney.
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helderheid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:10 PM
Response to Reply #106
115. Except wouldn't we have seen a spike in McCain's numbers? The only numbers that switched
dramatically were between Obama and Clinton.
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moondust Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:42 PM
Response to Reply #115
122. Maybe.
Edited on Wed Jan-09-08 12:47 PM by Xap
Although I did hear on the morning of the primary that McCain/Romney was tightening up. Perhaps the extra independent votes from Obama prevented that from being much closer. ??

(The theory in my post above I have subsquently found out is *approximately* Zogby's take on why the polls were so far off.)
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JackRiddler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 11:27 AM
Response to Original message
109. You know it almost doesn't matter that if it was a fix...
Just how is it possible that these machines and especially these particular models are still being used after the HBO documentary established that they can be used for perfect fraud without leaving any clues?

For that reason this is worth a K&R, for whatever good it does.
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garybeck Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #109
117. well unfortunately HBO
doesn't get to decide election policy or reform. they just make movies. you and I are supposed to do something about it.
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creeksneakers2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
119. What happened to the "bussed them in" conspiracy theories
this time? Rush says it but I expected more bus theories on the Internet.
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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
120. K*R What's wrong with asking questions? Your's are very good.
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Twist_U_Up Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 02:36 PM
Response to Original message
128. Sheeple have been expertly conditioned not to question anything
to believe as the herd does. Unfortunately too many Americans are letting someone else do their thinking for them.
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bonito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:01 PM
Response to Original message
131. K&R n/t
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sam kane Donating Member (326 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #131
134. Edison/Mitofsky did the exit poll that was fixed to match the 2000 "results."
1) Why should we believe them today? The fact that the exit polls matched the official results means nothing in this context.

2) I don't think that the Clinton campaign had anything to do with the Diebold machines, but still don't trust the company that promised to win Ohio for Bush.
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WinkyDink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:28 PM
Response to Reply #134
146. E-M poll:
Edison/Mitofsky was hired to do more than just not cause others to make mistakes. They were hired to restore confidence to the whole election projection game after Voter News Service botched the job in 2000 in Florida. VNS's goofs resulted in the networks calling the state for Gore, withdrawing the call, calling Bush the winner hours later, and then withdrawing that call.
http://www.slate.com/id/2109310
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jbnow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:17 PM
Response to Original message
141. Hardball revealed that raw data from exit poll
from 5:30 election night showed Obama with a "substantial lead" that did match the earlier polls.
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Kurovski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
147. Kick. (nt)
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upi402 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
149. Diebold is now named Premier
no?
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MasonJar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
150. So are you suggesting that someone fixed the outcome for Clinton? Why?
The PUGs are the ones who fix elections to beat the dems. How many elections has Diebold fixed for dems? I can count them on "NO" fingers.
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bonito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #150
155. This
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ileus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:36 PM
Response to Original message
156. Yeah GW is a Hillary fan too....50 states in 2008.
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