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POST NUMBER 10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 07:44 AM
Original message
POST NUMBER 10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION
Edited on Thu Nov-25-04 08:38 AM by TruthIsAll
TRUTHISALL POST NUMBER 10,000: THE 2004 ELECTION COLLECTION

It's mostly in chronological order.

I hope this doesn't spoil your Thanksgiving dinner.
But the election was a turkey.

Prologue: My Nov 1 Election Model Projection
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/

1
MEDIA WHORES, ANSWER THESE QUESTIONS - IF YOU DARE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=2613929#2616921

2
Part I: To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x22581

3
Part II: To believe that Bush won the election, you must also believe...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1358806

4
PRELIMINARY ELECTION FRAUD PROBABILITY ANALYSIS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x24095

5
Based on the Battleground Exit Polls, the probability was 99.99% that Kerry would get over 50% of the vote. He ended up with 48.87%.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x29275

6
REVERSE the media SPIN: Kerry's 2-Party% vs. Bush - Exit Polls vs. Actual Vote
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x31588

7
Exit Polls vs. Actual Vote: Who do you believe-CNN or your lying eyes?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x26387

8
1 out of 667! THE ODDS THAT KERRY WOULD LOSE OHIO AND FLORIDA
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x27862

9
MY PROBABILITY ANALYSIS VINDICATED BY AN MIT MATH PROFESSOR
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x32899

10
Remember this thread? Zogby called it for Kerry on Election Day!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x37012

11
The Florida Optical Scam Machines stole it for Bush
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x53847

12
Lousy exit polls? They look pretty good to me...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x46879

13
WHAT'S THE MATTER WITH OHIO AND FLORIDA?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x48696

14
187 MILLION TO ONE: My calculation of the odds that Bush voting percent would deviate from the Exit Polls BEYOND THE MOE IN HIS FAVOR in 7 out of 18 Battleground states.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x38892

15
250 MILLION TO ONE: PROFESSOR FREEMAN’S CALCULATION OF THE ODDS THAT DEVIATIONS IN THE VOTES FROM THE EXIT POLLS WERE NOT DUE TO CHANCE.
http://www.dakotatechnics.com/downloads/Steve_Freeman.z...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

16
Scoop: 47 State Exit Poll Analysis Confirms Swing Anomaly
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x38567

17
RANDI RHODES, flip the media SPIN: Kerry vs. Bush- Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=2645318

18
Let's clear up misinformation about Polling Margin of Error
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1366744

19
If you believe the pre-hacked 4PM EXIT POLLS were right, the ELECTION MODEL calculates that KERRY WON with 311 EV and 50.6% of the VOTE
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1363177

20
The Exit Polls MATCHED pre-election polls to within 1/7th of ONE percent
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1366062

21
TAKE THE TIA ELECTION FRAUD QUIZ
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=1349792

22
Must Read from the Zogby site: "I Smell a Rat"
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1354144

23
Morin or Moron? The Orwellian WP strikes again.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1367123

24
Two years ago, I calculated the odds of GOP fraud in the 2002 Senate races
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1361034

25
GRAPH OF 49 STATES: EXIT VS. ACTUAL DEVIATIONS (38 TO BUSH)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1355535

26
Election Day 9PM. Exit Polls predict a Kerry win. Strategery time.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1356087

27
All States: Average deviation between pre-election and exit polls: 0.18%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x62078

28
Battleground: Average deviation between pre-election and exit polls: 0.48%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x62880

29
KERRY'S 2-PARTY% RED SHIFT TO BUSH: THE STATE PROBABILITIES
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x67748

30
RED SHIFT STATE PROBABILITIES: EXIT POLLS TO ACTUALS
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x67560

31
ASSUME WE FLIP A COIN 50 TIMES...
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x68331

32
ONE graph: Pre-election State Polls vs. Exit Polls vs. Actuals
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x75423



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sce56 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 08:02 AM
Response to Original message
1. CONGRATULATIONS ON YOUR 1O^3 POST, Keep up the good work
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 08:28 PM
Response to Reply #1
17. HERE IS AN UPDATE OF RECENT THREADS

ONE IN 4.5 BILLION? IT'S ACTUALLY MUCH, MUCH WORSE THAN THAT.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x86863


15 QUESTIONS FOR THOSE WHO WOULD DISPARAGE EXIT POLLING
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x88478


WTF? A Repuke just explained to me why the Exit Polls were biased for Kerry
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=203x90686
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 08:26 AM
Response to Original message
2. Great work... great job.... great postings - CONGRATS! :-)
:toast:

:party:

:toast:

:-)
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wellstone dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 08:51 AM
Response to Original message
3. Thank you for post 10,000
and the many that came before.
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WyLoochka Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 09:00 AM
Response to Original message
4. Love 'ya, TIA
Your 10,000 contributions have done so much to help clarify what the hell has been going down, and the means that have been used to steal our country right out from under us.

Your unflagging number crunching and info-link collecting is invaluable.

Thank you, thank you, thank you.

Truth is, indeed, ALL.

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Straight Shooter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 10:52 AM
Response to Original message
5. Congratulations! But Number 8 is wrong.
It should read:
1 out of 666! THE ODDS THAT KERRY WOULD LOSE OHIO AND FLORIDA

If you know what I mean :evilgrin:
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milkyway Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 12:40 PM
Response to Original message
6. You have been a busy man and have earned a day off. Congratulations!
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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
7. Won't ruin my dinner! Last year's picture from Baghdad of the fake turkey
carrying the pretend platter of food immunized me against most revolting things.

Happy T-Day and congrats to you, TIA.

:hi:
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YellowDoginthehouse Donating Member (406 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:16 PM
Response to Original message
8. How do you know when it hits 10,000?n/t
n/t
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glitch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. Awesome! Thanks for it all, nt
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anamandujano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 02:54 PM
Response to Original message
10. Sending you a virtual tofu turkey and 1/2 doz soy nutmeg muffins.
Just kidding, sending the real (virtual) stuff, unless, of course, you're a vegetarian.

(How many commas can you put in one sentence before an English teacher starts calling you out? I think I'm getting close.)
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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-25-04 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
11. Giving thanks by kicking.
:kick:
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mom cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-27-04 12:48 PM
Response to Original message
12. Great work, as usual!
What a perfect post for your 10,000 mark!

:dem::toast::smoke::headbang::bounce::bounce::yourock::bounce::bounce::headbang::smoke::toast::kick:

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bleever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-27-04 06:34 PM
Response to Original message
13. Just needs a little kick.
:kick:
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Hobbes199 Donating Member (430 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-27-04 06:36 PM
Response to Original message
14. Congrats!
And thanks for all the hard work.
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illuminaughty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-28-04 02:55 AM
Response to Original message
15. Big kick for 10,000
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mom cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-30-04 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. Kick the MAIN POST. Replies to the internal link do not advance
the original post. Thanks.
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