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Tradesports.com has Kerry 71% likely to win the WH

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Atlanticist Donating Member (125 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 06:10 PM
Original message
Tradesports.com has Kerry 71% likely to win the WH
with Bush only 28% like. An hour ago, Kerry was 46% likely. Huge amounts of money gone across to Kerry in the last 60-90 minutes.

BTW - from Great Britan - Go Kerry - dump the Chimpster!!!
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LisaM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 06:13 PM
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1. Well what's their track record?
Do they usually predict correctly? What did they say in 2000?
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Atlanticist Donating Member (125 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 06:30 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Don't know that they were around in 2000, but they are a bookmaker
not a polling organisation, and their % probability follows the money. So I would guess it's pretty accurate - but we'll see. I've been monitoring it for the last 4 months or so, and tonight's the first time ever that Kerry has cracked 50%.

I don't want to count chickens early, but you guys have to realise that so many Europeans will be celebrating with you tonight if what looks like happening now comes to fruition. Please let's have a valedictory interview with the Chuckle Brothers - Cheney and Ashkkkroft!!! I'd love to see that.

Go Kerry.
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