Has any statistician on DU looked at Delaware County Ohio?

Seems Delaware may have something to hide like Warren. Suspiciously high Bush support that is. AND Delawre is attempting to block the recount.

Delaware County has suspicous stats according to Democratic Underground member shaggy briard

he said:

"Warren County is one of only two counties with population over 150,000 that showed more than 70% support for Bush -- turnout It is also the one of two counties in the state with more than 100,000 adults that showed turnout of more than 70% -- if you believe the turnout.
Bush also outperformed his 2000 totals by 37% while Kerry outpolled Gore by 32% -- in fact, this was the largest proportionate increase in Bush votes of any county except Delaware (which was growing much faster in total population)
These numbers are all suspicious"

his spread sheet on Warren County Ohio:
http://www.geocities.com/flfraud04/warrenCty.xls

http://www.socialavenger.com/Ohio-Margin-Diff-ByCounty.xls

My comments regarding the data......

Based on your spreadsheet, Bush + Kerry = 5,455,811.
Connally + Moyer = 4,327,270

I sorted the data by difference (JK - W) and added columns to show the difference in terms of % for both race sets.

For the top 15 in Kerry's favor, 29% of the people didn't bother to vote for the Supreme Court justice.

For the top 15 in Bush's favor, 25% of the people didn't vote for the SC candidates.

Erie was interesting. They had the lowest % difference between total votes cast for both candidate sets....14%. Kerry had a 12% lead over Bush...but Moyer had a 100% lead over Connelly. Apparently Republicans preferred Kerry, there.

But in Kerry's largest district, Cuyoga...32% didn't vote for SC court race? And in Kerry's 2nd largest precinct, Franklin, 36% didn't vote for SC. Either the Democrats don't care about their SC pick or Bush got lot's more Cyber votes..........

<http://www.co.delaware.oh.us/boe/results.htm>

OFFICIAL RESULTS - GENERAL ELECTION 11/2/04
11:00:41 22-Nov-2004
DELAWARE COUNTY, OHIO
general ELECTION
TUESDAY NOVEMBER 2, 2004
Total Pct
Precincts Counted - TOTAL . . . . . 123 100.00
Precincts Counted - COLUMBUS CITY TOTAL . 3 100.00
Precincts Counted - DELAWARE CITY TOTAL . 24 100.00
Precincts Counted - DELAWARE CITY WARD 1 T 7 100.00
Precincts Counted - DELAWARE CITY WARD 2 T 6 100.00
Precincts Counted - DELAWARE CITY WARD 3 T 5 100.00
Precincts Counted - DELAWARE CITY WARD 4 T 6 100.00
Precincts Counted - DUBLIN CITY TOTAL . 4 100.00
Precincts Counted - POWELL CITY TOTAL . 7 100.00
Precincts Counted - WESTERVILLE CITY TOTAL 6 100.00
Precincts Counted - BERKSHIRE TOWNSHIP TOT 3 100.00
Precincts Counted - BERLIN TOWNSHIP TOTAL 6 100.00
Precincts Counted - BROWN TOWNSHIP TOTAL 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - CONCORD TOWNSHIP TOTAL 5 100.00
Precincts Counted - DELAWARE TOWNSHIP TOTA 7 100.00
Precincts Counted - GENOA TOWNSHIP TOTAL 14 100.00
Precincts Counted - HARLEM TOWNSHIP TOTAL 4 100.00
Precincts Counted - KINGSTON TOWNSHIP TOTA 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - LIBERTY TOWNSHIP TOTAL 19 100.00
Precincts Counted - MARLBORO TOWNSHIP TOTA 1 100.00
Precincts Counted - ORANGE TOWNSHIP TOTAL 13 100.00
Precincts Counted - OXFORD TOWNSHIP TOTAL 1 100.00
Precincts Counted - PORTER TOWNSHIP TOTAL 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - RADNOR TOWNSHIP TOTAL 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - SCIOTO TOWNSHIP TOTAL 3 100.00
Precincts Counted - THOMPSON TOWNSHIP TOTA 1 100.00
Precincts Counted - TRENTON TOWNSHIP TOTAL 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - TROY TOWNSHIP TOTAL . 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP TO 4 100.00
Precincts Counted - ASHLEY VILLAGE TOTAL 2 100.00
Precincts Counted - GALENA VILLAGE . . 1 100.00
Precincts Counted - OSTRANDER VILLAGE TOTA 1 100.00
Precincts Counted - SHAWNEE HILLS VILLAGE 1 100.00
Precincts Counted - SUNBURY VILLAGE TOTAL 3 100.00
Registered Voters - TOTAL . . . . . 100,676
Ballots Cast - TOTAL . . . . . . . 81,175 80.63

FOR PRESIDENT/VICE PRESIDENT
OTH - MICHAEL BADNARIK/RICHARD V CAMPA 171 0.21
REP - GEORGE W BUSH/DICK CHENEY . . 53,142 66.05
DEM - JOHN F KERRY/JOHN EDWARDS . . 27,048 33.62
NO CANDIDATE FILED
OTH - MICHAEL ANTHONY PEROUTKA/CHUCK B 92 0.11

UNITED STATES SENATOR
DEM - ERIC D FINGERHUT . . . . . 17,902 23.00
REP - GEORGE V VOINOVICH . . . . . 59,921 77.00

REPRESENTATIVE TO CONGRESS
12TH DISTRICT
DEM - EDWARD S BROWN . . . . . . 17,941 23.62
REP - PAT TIBERI . . . . . . . 58,005 76.38

STATE REPRESENTATIVE
2ND DISTRICT
DEM - CATHY BURNER . . . . . . . 22,287 31.14
REP - JON PETERSON . . . . . . . 49,274 68.86

COUNTY COMMISSIONER
FULL TERM COMMENCING 1-2-05
DEM - ROGER M VAN SICKLE . . . . . 26,195 36.87
REP - JAMES DAVID WARD . . . . . 44,847 63.13

COUNTY COMMISSIONER
FULL TERM COMMENCING 1-3-05
REP - GLENN EVANS . . . . . . . 44,660 63.17
DEM - PEGGY MAGUIRE . . . . . . 26,035 36.83

COUNTY AUDITOR
UNEXPIRED TERM ENDING 3-11-07
REP - TODD HANKS . . . . . . . 58,533 100.00

PROSECUTING ATTORNEY
REP - DAVE YOST . . . . . . . . 58,631 100.00

CLERK OF COURT OF COMMON PLEAS
REP - JAN ANTONOPLOS . . . . . . 57,690 100.00

SHERIFF
REP - AL MYERS . . . . . . . . 58,569 100.00

COUNTY RECORDER
REP - ANDREW O BRENNER . . . . . 45,118 65.06
DEM - CAROLYN SLONE . . . . . . 24,233 34.94

COUNTY TREASURER
REP - DALE M WILGUS . . . . . . 58,227 100.00

COUNTY ENGINEER
REP - CHRIS BAUSERMAN . . . . . . 56,932 100.00

COUNTY CORONER
REP - DAVID A RATH . . . . . . . 56,761 100.00

MEMBER OF STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION - 9TH DISTRICT
DAVID DAUBENMIRE . . . . . . . 9,492 19.41
WILLIAM E MOORE . . . . . . . . 11,707 23.94
JENNIFER STEWART . . . . . . . 27,696 56.64

CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT
FULL TERM COMMENCING 1-1-05
C ELLEN CONNALLY . . . . . . . 22,824 37.40
THOMAS J MOYER . . . . . . . . 38,209 62.60

JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT
FULL TERM COMMENCING 1-1-05
NANCY A FUERST . . . . . . . . 21,755 36.90
JUDITH ANN LANZINGER . . . . . . 37,199 63.10

JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT
FULL TERM COMMENCING 1-2-05
PAUL E PFEIFER . . . . . . . . 50,404 100.00

JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT
UNEXPIRED TERM ENDING 12-31-06
TERRENCE O'DONNELL . . . . . . . 37,364 63.63
WILLIAM O'NEILL . . . . . . . . 21,359 36.37

JUDGE OF THE COURT OF APPEALS
5TH DISTRICT - FULL TERM COMMENCING 2-9-05
SHEILA G FARMER . . . . . . . . 48,148 100.00

JUDGE OF THE COURT OF APPEALS
5TH DISTRICT - FULL TERM COMMENCING 2-10-05
JULIE A EDWARDS . . . . . . . . 48,564 100.00

PROPOSED CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT
(INITIATIVE PETITION) MARRIAGE AMENDMENT
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 48,844 62.19
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 29,696 37.81

BIG WALNUT LSD - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE - $13,000,000
1.66 MILLS - 28 YRS - CONSTRUCTION, DISABILITY, LAND
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 4,798 51.80
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 4,465 48.20

DELAWARE CITY SD - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - REPLACEMENT
.3 MILL - 5 YRS - PERMANENT IMPROVEMENTS - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 8,584 57.27
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 6,405 42.73

POWELL CITY - PROPOSED CHARTER AMENDMENTS - ORD#2004-46
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,359 78.19
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 937 21.81

POWELL CITY - PROPOSED INCOME TAX ORDINANCE - 2004-53
S CORPORATIONS
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,751 66.95
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,358 33.05

ASHLEY VILLAGE - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - ADDITIONAL
1 MILL - 5 YRS - PARKS AND RECREATION - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 268 51.44
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 253 48.56

BERLIN TOWNSHIP - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - REPLACEMENT
2.5 MILLS - 3 YRS - FIRE PROTECTION - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 1,811 65.93
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 936 34.07

CONCORD TOWNSHIP - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - REPLACEMENT
2.9 MILLS - 5 YRS - FIRE PROTECTION - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 2,779 69.18
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 1,238 30.82

OXFORD TOWNSHIP - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - REPLACEMENT
0.6 MILL - 5 YRS - CURRENT EXPENSES - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 314 67.09
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 154 32.91

SCIOTO TOWNSHIP - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - REPLACEMENT
3.25 MILLS - 2 YRS - FIRE PROTECTION - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 976 63.96
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 550 36.04

COLUMBUS A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - 10 AM
SUNDAY SALES - KROGER - 1177 POLARIS PKWY - COLUMBUS
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 806 76.69
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 23.31

COLUMBUS A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - 10 AM
SUNDAY SALES - RED LOBSTER - 1270 POLARIS PKWY - COLS
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 807 77.45
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 235 22.55

COLUMBUS A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - 10 AM
SUNDAY SALES - OLIVE GARDEN - 1250 POLARIS PKWY - COLS
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 805 79.15
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 212 20.85

COLUMBUS A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - 10 AM
SUNDAY SALES - SMOKEY BONES - 1481 POLARIS PKWY - COLS
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 791 77.63
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 228 22.37

DELAWARE CITY - 1-A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - KROGER - 801 N. HOUK RD - DELAWARE
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 695 75.96
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 24.04

DELAWARE CITY - 2-A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
SUNDAY - ELKS #76 - CARSON FARM BLVD. & US 36
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 605 61.05
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 386 38.95

DELAWARE CITY - 3-A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - KROGER - 159 S. SANDUSKY - DELAWARE
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 185 59.11
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 40.89

DELAWARE CITY - 3-E - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - KROGER - 1840 COLUMBUS PIKE - DELAWARE
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 565 72.44
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 215 27.56

DELAWARE CITY - 4-B - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - EL ACAPULCO - 26 N. SANDUSKY - DELAWARE
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 519 79.48
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 20.52

DELAWARE CITY - 4-B - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
1 PM - SUNDAY - OLD BAG OF NAILS - 66 N SANDUSKY - DEL
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 524 80.74
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 19.26

WESTERVILLE CITY A - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
1 PM - SUNDAY - MEIJERS - 100 POLARIS PKWY - WESTERVILLE
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 702 74.68
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 238 25.32

SUNBURY C - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - WEEKLY
FRAT ORDER OF EAGLES - 230 N. COLUMBUS ST - SUNBURY
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 270 55.90
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 213 44.10

SUNBURY C - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - SUNDAY-
FRAT ORDER OF EAGLES - 230 N. COLUMBUS ST - SUNBURY
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 48.55
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 248 51.45

BERKSHIRE B - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - WEEKL
BERKSHIRE PARTY HOUSE - 1848 ALEXANDER RD - GALENA
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 458 61.81
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 38.19

BERKSHIRE B - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION -SUNDAY
BERKSHIRE PARTY HOUSE - 1848 ALEXANDER RD - GALENA
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 386 52.59
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 348 47.41

GENOA D - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - KROGER - 7345 SR 3 - WESTERVILLE
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 531 70.89
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 218 29.11

LIBERTY K - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - KROGER - 3975 POWELL RD - POWELL
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 485 78.35
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 21.65

LIBERTY K - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
1 PM - SUNDAY - APPLEBEE'S - 9762 SAWMILL PKWY - POWELL
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 479 78.14
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 21.86

ORANGE G - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION
10 AM - SUNDAY - GIANT EAGLE - 55 MEADOW PK AVE - LC
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 407 70.42
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 171 29.58

ORANGE G - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - WEEKLY
KENNEDY'S ON THE QUAYS - 1311 CAMERON AVE - LEWIS CENTER
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 425 75.22
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 140 24.78

ORANGE G - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - SUNDAY
KENNEDY'S ON THE QUAYS - 1311 CAMERON AVE - LEWIS CENTER
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 403 71.58
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 160 28.42

OSTRANDER - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION - SUNDAY
PIT CREW CARRY OUT - 6 N. MAIN ST - OSTRANDER
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 64.63
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 35.37

TRENTON B - LOCAL OPTION - PARTICULAR LOCATION -WEEKLY
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE GOLF CLUB - 650 N. CR 605 - SUNBURY
YES . . . . . . . . . . . . 336 52.75
NO . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 47.25

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #4 -
SAFTEY AND HEALTH
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,176 58.77
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 825 41.23

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #5 -
REFUSE COLLECTION
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,092 57.59
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 804 42.41

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #6 -
ELECTRICITY
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,160 59.40
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 793 40.60

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #7 -
STREETS AND HIGHWAYS
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,385 71.80
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 544 28.20

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #8 -
SANITARY SEWERS
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,154 60.20
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 763 39.80

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #9 -
WATER
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,156 61.42
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 726 38.58

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #10-
STORM SEWERS
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,126 59.42
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 769 40.58

COLUMBUS CITY - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE #11-
RECREATION AND PARKS
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 1,448 74.60
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 493 25.40

CITY OF COLUMBUS - REFERENDUM ON ORDINANCE # 1095-2004
SMOKE FREE INDOOR ACT OF 2004 #12
FOR THE ORDINANCE . . . . . . . 1,457 68.73
AGAINST THE ORDINANCE . . . . . . 663 31.27

DUBLIN CITY SD - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE & TAX LEVY
$48,827,623 - 1.82 MILLS - 15 YRS - TX .79 MILLS CONTINU
FOR THE BOND ISSUE & LEVY . . . . 2,217 53.28
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE & LEVY . . . 1,944 46.72

WESTERVILLE CITY SD - PROPOSED TAX LEVY - REPLACEMENT
2.7 MILLS - 5 YRS - PERMANENT IMPROVEMENTS - TAX YR 2004
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 6,840 57.02
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 5,155 42.98

HIGHLAND COMMUNITY JOINT RECREATION DISTRICT - .3 MILL
5 YRS - TAX YR 2005 - MAINTAINENCE AND IMPROVEMENTS
FOR THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . . 50 31.65
AGAINST THE TAX LEVY . . . . . . 108 68.35

JOHNSTOWN MONROE LSD - PROPOSED BOND ISSUE - $27,000,000
1.35 MILLS - 28 YRS - NEW HS/ RENOVATIONS - TX YR 2004
FOR THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . . . 9 33.33
AGAINST THE BOND ISSUE . . . . . 18 66.67

CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT
FULL TERM COMMENCING 1-1-05
C ELLEN CONNALLY . . . . . . . 22,824 37.40
THOMAS J MOYER . . . . . . . . 38,209 62.60


Connaly did not get more votes than Kerry in this county, unlike some other suspicous repub counties where she outpolled Kerry even though she was unknown, underfunded and a dem.

2000
Bush 36,639 66.1%
Gore 17,134 30.9%
Nader 1,212 2.2%
Other 418 0.8%

2004
Busb 52,237 66.1%
Kerry 26,491 26,491
Other 252 0.3%

66.1% but still not as high as Warren's 71%

And the majority of the votes went to *. What about the overwhelming amount of new democrat voter registrations compared to rethug registrations? It just doesn't make sense that * would get more votes.

It's a college town that I know well. I can't imagine it going for Bush.

Delaware is hardly a college town despite the fact that one is at its core. I think this derives from the fact that the college students and faculty make up such a small portion of the town's residents. There is a significant amount of animosity between the college students and the "townies". I don't think that many of the town's residents appreciate the prosperity and culture that the college brings to their town. Given the large portion of east coasters attending there, I think it's a microcosm for middle America's perception of east coast people as intellectual elitists. Hence, Delaware and Delaware county is staunchly Republican.

Is that such a large county can maintain such high rates of turnout and that such a large county can remain as loyal to b*
Nearly all of the states and counties where b* racked up such large leads were very small. As counties grow -- especially so rapidly, it seems to be stretching credulity to assume that such a high proportion of residents can get and stay registered and that at least some diversity doesn't creep in.
For example, I live in a small county in NY that is rapidly growing -- fastest in the state. It has been for 150 years a hereditary Repug fiefdom for the Fish family. In the past 5 years, as it has grown, it has come to look more like the state and is now a majority democrat.
My suspicion here and in Warren is that someone helped the dead and the moved to vote.:wtf:

I lived in Westerville which is on the Delaware/Franklin county line for 20 years.

The southern half of Delaware county is the very "well to do" new housing for professionals, and very expensive new housing developments. The norther half is still mostly the traditionally re-pug farmers. There are a few "sane" people, about what the numbers show.

I drove past one of the poling places, a church in the southern part of the county at just before 7am, and the fairly large parking lot was jammed full, and cars backed up onto the street waiting to get in. So yes it was a big turnout.


I do not doubt the numbers in general, but I also would not be surprised if the Bush numbers weren't "helped" by a couple of % points looking at the other races.