So I think this is how the BCS Conference races stand at the moment, for anyone interested in what's at stake this week and next ...
ACCClemson has won the Atlantic Division.
The winner of Saturday’s game between Virginia and Virginia Tech wins the Coastal Division.
Big 10Michigan State has won the Legends Division.
The winner of the Wisconsin-Penn State game wins the Leaders Division
Big 12If Iowa State beats Oklahoma Saturday, Oklahoma State wins the conference title.
If Oklahoma wins Saturday, next week’s Bedlam Game between OU and OSU is for the conference title.
Pac 12If Oregon beats Oregon State, they win the North Division. If they lose to OSU, then Stanford wins the North Division.
USC has won the South Division, but is ineligible for the Conference Championship Game, so either UCLA, Utah, or Arizona State will play in the championship game.
UCLA goes with either a win against USC on Saturday or a Utah loss to Colorado on Friday.
Utah goes if they win, UCLA loses, and Arizona State loses to California on Friday.
Arizona State goes if they win, Utah wins, and UCLA loses.
SECGeorgia has won the East Division.
LSU wins the West Division if they beat Arkansas on Friday.
Arkansas wins the West if they beat LSU on Friday and Alabama loses to Auburn on Saturday.
If Arkansas and Alabama both then Arkansas, LSU, and Alabama will be tied for the lead, and the BCS rankings would determine who goes to the championship.
In the case of a three-way tie, the SEC removes the lowest-ranked team from consideration and then uses the head-to-head result to determine the winner. Presumably Arkansas will jump LSU if they win, so it will depend on who is ranked higher between LSU and Alabama. If Arkansas and Alabama are the top two, then Alabama goes; if Arkansas and LSU are the top two, then Arkansas goes.
Big EastWith Louisville’s win earlier today, there are still five teams that could win the Big East Championship, and it could result in a two-way, three-way, or four-way tie.
Scenarios in which Louisville wins
Outright: Rutgers loses to UConn, Cincinnati loses one of their remaining games, and the winner of Saturday's Pitt/WVU loses next week.
In a tie with Rutgers: Rutgers beats UConn, Cincinnati loses one of their remaining games, and the winner of Pitt/WVU loses the following week.
In a tie with West Virginia: Rutgers loses to UConn, Cincinnati loses one of their remaining games, and WVU wins out.
In a three-way tie with Rutgers and West Virginia: Rutgers beats UConn, Cincinnati loses to either Syracuse or UConn (or both) and WVU beats Pitt and South Florida
In a four-way tie with Rutgers, Cincinnati, and West Virginia: Rutgers beats UConn, Cincinnati beats Syracuse and UConn, West Virginia beats Pitt and South Florida.
Scenarios in which Rutgers wins
Rutgers definitely wins:
In a four-way tie with Louisville, Cincinnati, and Pitt: Rutgers beats UConn, Cincinnati wins out, Pitt beats both WVU and Syracuse.
Rutgers likely wins (based on being the highest-ranked team):
In a three-way tie with Louisville and Cincinnati: Rutgers beats UConn, Cincinnati wins out, and the winner of the Pitt/WVU game loses the next week. (This would create a 3-way tie between Louisville, Rutgers, and Cincinnati, and all would be 1-1 in the round robin. None of these teams is ranked in any of the major polls, but Rutgers is the closest.)
In a three-way tie with Louisville and Pitt: Rutgers beats UConn, Cincinnati loses one or both, and Pitt beats both WVU and Syracuse. (Again, a 3-way tie with all teams being 1-1 in the round robin. None of these teams is ranked in any of the major polls, but Rutgers is the closest.)
Scenarios in which Cincinnati wins
In a three-way tie with Louisville and Pitt (Cincinnati already beat both): Cincinnati wins out. Rutgers loses to UConn. Pitt beats WVU and Syracuse.
In a tie with Louisville: Cincinnati wins out, Rutgers loses to UConn, and whoever wins the Pitt/WVU game loses the following week.
Scenario in which Pitt wins
In a tie with Louisville: Rutgers loses to UConn, Cincinnati loses at least one to Syracuse or UConn, and Pitt beats both WVU and Syracuse.
Scenario in which West Virginia (probably) wins:
In a three-way tie with Louisville and Cincinnati: Rutgers loses, Cincinnati wins out, and WVU beats Pitt and South Florida. (This would create a 3-way tie between Louisville, Cincinnati, and West Virginia, and all would be 1-1 in the round robin. West Virginia would likely be the highest ranked team in this scenario.)
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