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Corzine is being hurt because the Republicans are running on the Democrats being corrupt. Although there was nothing illegal, Corzine gave a former girlfriend who heads one of the big public service unions a huge (about $400,000) gift when he forgave a loan one of his companies gave her to pay off a house she couldn't afford after they broke up.
McGreevey really resigned because he was heavilly involved in a couple pay to play scandals and because he tried to appoint his unqualified lover as the head of NJ's equivilent of homeland security. His emotional speech that he was resigning because he was gay was an attempt to re-write history.
NJ doesn't have a lt gov, so Cody who was the head of the Senate became Governor. He is a really good guy who never expected to be governor. Almost as soon as he became governor, some Republicans started a whisper campaign about his wife, who had suffered from post partum depression. To deal with this private issue, his wife, who looks exactly like what she was, a kindergarten teacher - and a very pretty one, made an excellent ad on post partum - how to recognize it and how to get help. Cody, himself, is seen as a rarity in NJ - an honest politicain.
When Corzine put out feelers that he wanted to run, he got all the support. Cody is not independly wealthy, so he opted not to run. I am phoning in one of the most Republican counties - the number of people who spontaneously lament they can't vote for Cody is amazing. Corzine seens like he will eek out a victory, but Cody (per a Times article) could likely win in a landslide.
Lautenberg may suffer from the perception that it was somewhat unfair (though we loved it) when Torichelli pulled out and was replaced by Lautenberg. (The current Republican candidate for Governor is the loser in that race - which brings it back into view. I think maybe Corzine should have backed out in Cody favor just to see if Forrester's head would explode.) But it may just be NJ disgust with Democratic corruption as exemplified by Torrichelli and McGreevey. The only saving grace is that 2 Republican candidates in the last 6 or so years had to back out for corruption too.
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