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Rasmussen Poll - Kerry Beats Bush!!

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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 12:30 AM
Original message
Rasmussen Poll - Kerry Beats Bush!!
48% - 41% That's the good news. The bad news, where'd 1% of Kerry's vote go? And who are the everlovin' hell are the 10% that are STILL undecided!!!!! :banghead:


http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/11917
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JI7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
1. margin of error probably
remember, even Carter won against Ford with just 50 percent while Ford got 48 percent. and look back to Clinton's numbers also.

Dems have been having this problem for a while. it's a deeper problem of the party rather than a candidate.

the fact Kerry being a Libera Senator from that Kennedy state of Mass and having an anti war past came so close to beating a war time incumbant pres says a lot about what a great candidate he was. it started to move close after the debates when people actually got to see him and he was even ahead at points. the bin Laden tape did hurt though.
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karynnj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 06:03 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Also 11% chose neither candidate
Edited on Wed May-17-06 06:45 AM by karynnj
In a real upcoming election, these would relect those intending to vote 3rd party, still undecided or those who intend not to vote. We don't know how these are divided. I assume some are our buddies on DU who don't want to say Kerry. There's no election coming and they don't want him. Bush won the election and can't run again, so if they would still vote Bush they would say so. So, lets assume they all won't vote or that they will either not vote or vote third party.

If we count them all as not voting - of the 89% who actually would vote - Kerry gets 54%, Bush 46% - this is a land slide. Assume 6% vote third party, and 5% don't vote. It would be Kerry 51 %, Bush 43%, and 6% third party. Still a major landslide. (Numbers from correcting for only 95% voting)
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 07:14 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. It would be nice to know
It is good that the core Dem support is pretty strong, 48%, 49%, that's the same as 2004 and very good. But it would seem to me we still haven't convinced any of those people to vote for a Dem President or they would have said Kerry. They're susceptible to the liberal label, the smear campaigns, the bandwagon affect. I am wondering if they will be just as susceptible to that kind of campaign in 2008, no matter who the candidates are.
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JohnKleeb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #1
7. Yeah very true
The armchair QBs on the board act like Bush was so easy to beat. They conviently forgot just how hard it is to beat war time incumbent presidents no matter who they are. Meh I don't care really what they think because they're as ignorant of how things work as the so called sheepie they diss.
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Vektor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 12:43 AM
Response to Original message
2. I sincerely doubt Bush had 41%.
DEFINITELY not now. Rasmussen is very right wing friendly, and are well known to inflate in favor of Bush.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 01:36 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Well that could explain the 10%
I swear I better not ever meet up with one of them, especially not in a dark alley. It's stunning to me that anybody could seriously NOT KNOW whether they would vote for Bush or Kerry. Just really...

:banghead:
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-17-06 07:28 AM
Response to Original message
6. OK!
I give Kerry back his one percent, exclude Diebold glitches and voter suppression, and divide the undecideds in two: Kerry get 54% or 65 million votes to Bush's 45% (he loses the 1% third party votes) or 54 million votes. Kerry wins by a landslide. This is what 2004 would have looked like without fraud and complicity.

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