Rasmussen: * approval rating at 39%. WTF???

Sunday May 14, 2006--Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Americans Approve of the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President and 60% Disapprove.

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Just 30% of Americans give the President Good or Excellent marks for handling the situation in Iraq. That's down from 32% a month ago and 35% two months ago. While the President's numbers have declined, pessimism about the overall War on Terror has eased a bit over the past month.

<---snip--->

Link: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Bush_Job_Approval.htm

:wtf:

approval. They are usually off by about 10 points.

It was 40 the other day. Couldn't be more to the right either. 39 from them is great!

Just assume that Razzie is always going to be 5-9 points higher than the real polls, and that includes Fox, whose polls are actually much like all of the other polls.

It's just the way things are and I would not worry about it.

here is a link to my post a while back...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=364&topic_id=1057107

President Bush Job Approval


Saturday April 29, 2006--Public approval of President George W. Bush continues to decline. Today, for the third time in two weeks, the President's Job Approval Rating has fallen to the lowest level ever measured by Rasmussen Reports.

Just 37% of Americans now give the President their Approval, only 16% Strongly Approve. Even among Republicans, approval has tumbled and is currently measured at 66%. For most of his first term, Bush earned Approval Ratings in the high 80s from Republicans.

At the other end of the spectrum, 62% Disapprove including 45% who Strongly Disapprove. Those figures are also the bleakest for President Bush ever recorded by Rasmussen Reports.

Beginning tomorrow (Sunday), our Job Approval updates will be based upon data using a slight modification to our weighting process. We will adjust our partisan weighting targets once each month based upon survey data collected over the preceding three months. This will maintain the stability needed to follow trends while adjusting periodically for any substantive shifts in partisan affiliation. Recently, we released a summary of our data on partisan shifts over the past couple of years.


Bush Job Approval

Strongly Approve 16%
Somewhat Approve 21%
Somewhat Disapprove 16%
Strongly Disapprov 45%



So after they made their changes... * went up to 43% I believe, a 6% increase. So if he is at 39% now, it probably would have been more like 33% they way they used to do it. And that way was always more favorable to him anyway.

His numbers are going down everywhere...

confidently ignored.

most accurate in the 2004 election?:shrug:

Rasmussen most accurately measured the amount of vote fraud in the 2004 election

The idea is that there's fluid movement of people from Dem to Ind and back, and from GOP to Ind and back. In 2004, they captured that fluidity when they had Bush high and didn't correct for party affiliation. Now that it looks bad, they correct for affiliation, where self-identified GOP voters are declining and Dem increasing.

...that's just what Diebold and the GOP say about the actual votes cast...

Hey, someone has to have the highest numbers of anyone...

Rasmussen’s polling methodology clearly states that random voters are polled and the raw data fed into Diebold machines for further analysis. The results they publish are ADA (After Diebold Adjustment) numbers