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Will * get to fill a third SCOTUS vacancy?

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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:15 AM
Original message
Will * get to fill a third SCOTUS vacancy?
Roberts and Alito will not be replacing a liberal judge, so it isn't really, really bad yet. But Stevens is 85 and Ginsburg has had cancer. Off hand, I don't know the health conditions of the others.

Ginsburg can probably hang in there, but Stevens at 85 is downright iffy.

What is the health of the others?

What do you think the chances are of * getting still another seat to fill?
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BillZBubb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:16 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think it's better than 50-50 that the Chimp gets another one.
Stevens will try to hold on, but that will be tough.
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dogday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
2. I freaking hope the hell not
It would be the end of the world as we know it.
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MrModerate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
3. I see two seats coming open . . .
But it's going to get harder and harder to get his Borklings and Scalitos in there.
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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:38 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Any ideas on which two? NT
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MrModerate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 12:17 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. I was agreeing with your cite of Ginsburg and Stevens . . .
Edited on Fri Jan-13-06 12:18 PM by MrModerate
Although Ginsburg would probably prefer to die than let Schimpanski fill her seat; Stevens may have no choice in the matter.
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The Whiskey Priest Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:19 AM
Response to Original message
4. Who knows....
Edited on Fri Jan-13-06 11:20 AM by The Whiskey Priest
If the Pat Robertson prays hard enough to bust a blood vessel and suffer a stroke...hey, that wouldn't be a bad deal.
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Lyle Donating Member (190 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
5. Dunno...
...but you can bet he will get a third TERM as prez...
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:38 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. How?
:shrug:
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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 03:16 PM
Response to Reply #5
19. Knee-jerk cynicism is NOT a substitute for rational thought. NT
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Burning Water Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:38 AM
Response to Original message
6. 50-50
It depends if any of the justices want to relax a little before they die.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 11:43 AM
Response to Original message
8. Very possible
after all the real liberal judge on the court, Justice Stevens is 85--while he is in good health, we can't expect him to wait forever for a Democratic president.
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...of J.Temperance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 12:21 PM
Response to Original message
10. The nation had better hope not...this would be seriously scary
I hope that Justice Stevens and Justice Ginsburg can stay until 2009...because the next vacancy...that's going to be the vacancy that gives the Dominionist freaks their wet dream vote.

:scared:
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Broke In Jersey Donating Member (247 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
11. No chance
Stevens has been interviewing for intern positions for the next 2 court sessions (years) so it does not seem he will leave. Ginsburg seems to be healthy enough to last a few more years. But the next president will probably choose at least 2 and maybe 3 in the first term alone.
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Innocent Smith Donating Member (466 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:26 PM
Response to Original message
12. probably slightly greater than 50% chance for one
It really is a crap shoot because people's health can be so unpredictable. I could see him getting zero, one, or two more shots at filling a seat.

If it gets too far into the 2008 presidential campaign then would be quite a fight to delay filling the seat until the new President was seated.
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theboss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:42 PM
Response to Original message
14. I wouldn't be shocked
And as much as some here hated her, O'Connor was certainly a swing vote...and more or less saved abortion rights in Casey. Aliton is almost certainly going to change the nature of the court.
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rucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:43 PM
Response to Original message
15. Anybody know how to re-animate a corpse? n/t
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yourout Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
16. If he does I hope it's Scalia or Thomas.
Long odds I know but here's hoping.
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MiniMe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:52 PM
Response to Original message
17. I really think that Sandra Day O'Conner waited to announce until.....
after the election because she didn't want chimpy filling her seat. But she couldn't wait another 4 years due to her husband's health.
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hang a left Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 01:56 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. O"Conner has publicly stated that she would wait for a Rep admin
to retire. The only reason she did not retire during *'s first term is because of the hell that would be raised as a result of * v Gore.
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kwolf68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
20. Could 2008 be any more important

It is possible that we will lose two Liberal judges...TWO....

TWO....If a George Allen or someone wins in 2008, then the Court will most likely become 7-2 Conservanut. 7-2....we think 5-4 is the abyss....7-2 is something I cant fathom.

we have to start making headway this year...2006 elections the Democrats need to start developing some momeuntum. We can't allow the Repukes to shoot themselves in the foot...We must get our shit in gear.

7-2 is the end of the world as we know it (and I dont feel fine)
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hookinmouth Donating Member (7 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #20
21. amen!
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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 04:39 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. If they still have the POTUS and a congressional majority...
...in 2009, then the Democratic Party might as well disband.
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cascadiance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 05:59 PM
Response to Reply #22
25. I think that's when Canada's population suddenly gets bigger!
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lies and propaganda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 05:05 PM
Response to Original message
23. it makes me sick that an 85 year old
gets to decide anything that affects me.
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Nye Bevan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Actually I wish there were 9 of Stevens on the court

It's Scalia and Thomas that make *me* sick.
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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #23
26. Age discrimination? Or do you get sick that anybody but you decides...
...anything that effects you?
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BlueStater Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 08:06 PM
Response to Original message
27. Stevens will hold on at least until the end of the Chimp era...
...which should hopefully be occuring very, VERY soon.
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Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-14-06 07:49 AM
Response to Reply #27
29. Sorry, I see NO realistic hope of removal by impeachment. NT
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DemGirl7 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-13-06 08:39 PM
Response to Original message
28. Sadly I think * will probably have to fill another SCOTUS vacancy
if not 2 more. I've heard rumors on TV about Stevens retiring at the end of this year's term, I've also heard rumors of a possible Kennedy or Souter retirement. I don't know, but I tell you that if * gets to appoint another nominee, especially one of the liberal/moderate judges, we are going to be royally screwed, not like that really matters now.
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ComerPerro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-14-06 07:52 AM
Response to Original message
30. If those two seats come open, the GOP will be in power indefinately
George W Bush: President for life.
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cornermouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-14-06 08:07 AM
Response to Original message
31. You have to keep in mind the fact that if Alito does get on the
court, the court will already have moved to the right. The fact that Stevens or whoever they were talking about this morning will now be considered the "swing vote" is simply a way to measure our continued loss. The court will become another tool of the far right. I wouldn't look for much true justice to handed down if that happens.
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