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zonkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 02:50 AM
Original message
If Iran backs up rhetoric and gets militarily involved, won't Israel just
Edited on Sun Jul-16-06 02:54 AM by zonkers
destroy their oil wells (which could be offline for months and months) Economically, how could Iran risk that? (This post edited for clarity)
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Erika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 02:53 AM
Response to Original message
1. Why would Iran get involved? n/t
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zonkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 02:57 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. "Iran Warns Israel Over Syria Attack"
Edited on Sun Jul-16-06 02:58 AM by zonkers
TEHRAN, July 14 (UPI) -- Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has warned his country will deal "a painful response" to Israel if it attacks Arab ally Syria.

"If the entity (Israel) which occupies Jerusalem commits a foolish act and carries out an aggression against Syria it will be tantamount to aggression against the Islamic world and will be confronted with a painful response," Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying by the Iranian News Agency, IRNA.

The agency said Ahmadinejad conferred on the telephone with Syrian counterpart Bashar Assad "to review the latest developments in the aggressions of the Zionist entity against Lebanon and Gaza."

http://www.upi.com/InternationalIntelligence/view.php?StoryID=20060714-095524-4887r
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Erika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:00 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. It's truly a mess
And W is running around like a chicken with his head cut off, while enjoying max comforts.
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 02:58 AM
Response to Original message
3. Israel would likely not do that. Why? Talk to Russia and China
Edited on Sun Jul-16-06 03:03 AM by Selatius
China and Russia have invested billions in those oil fields. They will simply not stand idly by as Israel destroys years of work, and Iran is also a client-state of Russia as far as second-hand military hardware goes. Israel would have to deal with both Russia and China.

Likewise, I don't think Iran will go so far, either.
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Erika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:03 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. Wouldn't it be nice to have a U.S. president that would call the
shots and get things on even keel?

Instead of the ineffective idiot we have?
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:05 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. If we won't do it, Hu Jintao or Putin could force us to do it in the end
This is petro-politics we're dealing with now if we're going to entertain this notion. This is no longer about just Hezbollah. If people on both sides want to get really stupid, then a lot more is going to be at stake than just some conflict between Iran and Israel.
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zonkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:17 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. The administration seems to be floundering regarding these recent events.
A wait and see attitude does not cut it. I think the ineptitude of this Administration will never be more apparent than in the next month or so. I wonder if Kerry has released any statements on all this... or any other 08' contender for that matter, besides Feingold.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:03 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
Erika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:06 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Let them blame away
Edited on Sun Jul-16-06 03:10 AM by Erika
We certainly aren't able to take on another front. W squandered our power with Afghanistan and Iraq.
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Selatius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:06 AM
Response to Reply #7
11. If Bush wants to molest Iran, he's free to try it, but if anybody...
has a dog in that fight, it's most definitely Russia and China. Would you be surprised if war breaks out and you see Russia and China selling Iran weapons to use against US forces?
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laheina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 04:00 AM
Response to Reply #7
15. Yup.
And if * can get Israel to attack Syria, then the WH has gotten two birds with one stone.

And welcome to DU! :hi:
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zonkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:07 AM
Response to Reply #3
12. Not likely, you are right. But if Israel attacks Syria and Iran does
back up its rhetoric with a retalitory act, I believe Israel will strike back... just maybe not at petro production targets. This situation is way out of hand.
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LiberalPartisan Donating Member (844 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:00 AM
Response to Original message
5. Iran is involved
Hezbollah is an Iranian proxy. And Iran provided the new, longer range rockets. Iran is invloved and hence Iran is a legitimate target for Israel should she choose to act against her.
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Erika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:04 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. So why did W warn Syria? n/t
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Laotra Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 04:26 AM
Response to Reply #5
16. To paraphrase
"Israel is US proxy. US is involved and hence legimate target." So according to your logic any and all attacks against US by victims and enemies of Israel are justified, including 9/11.

In reality Hezbollah is not proxy but a domestic and fiercly independent mass movement of Shia with friendly ties to Iran.

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HuffleClaw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 03:13 AM
Response to Original message
13. israel doesn't have the capability to do that much really
and iran, unlike iraq, is VERY well-prepared for aerial assault. bush is desperately hoping for an excuse to strike iran to be sure, but they don't really comprehend the consequences.
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Toots Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 07:42 AM
Response to Original message
17. Iran does have quite a bit of defensive armament
From Russia and China and quite modern. It won't be as easy to bomb unscathed as it was in Iraq where they had nothing at all. Plus they have the capability to completely halt all shipping in the area and cause severe damage to American interests.
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radfringe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-16-06 07:47 AM
Response to Original message
18. been saying this for months
Israel bombs Iran, Iran responds and then we have to jump in to defend Israel

my partner doesn't think we will jump into the middle of this because our military is tied up in Iraq

my thoughts - since when does logic, common sense and competence apply to this mis-administration?
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