Independent Run Could Hurt, Help Democrats Seeking House
Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman's decision to run as an independent against Ned Lamont, Connecticut's new Democratic nominee for Senate, will mean that three marquee House races in the state will have to share top billing in November with a bitter rematch that could divert money and publicity from those critical contests.
That could complicate Democrats' designs to win those races as part of an effort to seize control of the House. But by keeping the state's electorate focused on President Bush and the war in Iraq, the Lamont-Lieberman rematch will keep voters energized, and may ultimately bolster the House challengers, Democrats and some independent analysts said.
"Lieberman will do more for Democratic House candidates by being in the race than by not being in the race," said Ken Dautrich, a professor of public policy at the University of Connecticut. "It's plausible that all three (GOP House incumbents) will fall, and it's more likely if Lieberman is running as an independent."
Democrats need to win 15 seats to gain control of the House, and Connecticut -- with its strong anti-Bush undercurrents -- represents potentially one-fifth of that total. Democrats think they have a good chance of unseating Republican Reps. Nancy L. Johnson, Christopher Shays and Rob Simmons.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/09/AR2006080901774.html