There's an upbeat assessment by analysts of Dem chances on CSPAN right now

It's a panel discussion with several political analysts (non-partisan I think) who are predicting a likely Democratic takeover of both the House and Senate when all is said and done.

Or at least a castrated administrative branch due to a regime change in Congress.

it seems like they believe there is a serous gap between polling before the election and what happens on election day.

take no polls seriously, but an average of polls may be indicative of ...well...something..just not what you think it may mean.

My impression was that they were more trying to seperate analyzing large trends from the day-to-day fluctuations. In otehr words, things go in the direction of one party this week, perhaps more in the direction of the otehr party next week. But what really matters is the overall direction in a longer time frame, which has been consistently pointing towards a Democratic victory.

I don't know if you saw the beginning, but the male analyst started out by saying "I want to make clear that I may be proven wrong. But I am very self-confident about my predictions."

He cited his record in 1994, when he predicted early the GOP wave that would sweep over Congress. He said all of the indicators this year point to a similar change towards the Democrats, although probably not as dramatic.