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raccoon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:35 AM
Original message
If the US uses nukes against Iran,
Iran won't be the only country affected. Nearby countries could get some of the fallout, depending on which way and how strong the wind is blowing.

Have the neocons thought of that, I wonder?
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
1. Who sez we would nuke Iran?
:shrug:

I know that story's been floating around here, but there's no credibility to it. Do you think we'd get away with it?
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atreides1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:52 AM
Response to Reply #1
11. Yes they would get away with it
Strikes at specific targets using low yield warheads, would be the best way to do it.

Besides who would stop us? The UN, the EU?

As for credibility, remember Bush claimed that there were no war plans for Iraq on his desk, I guess they must have been in a drawer?

Since the invasion of Iraq, I have learned to accept the fact that this administration and its supporters are capable of any abomination, they can now torture, hold indefinitely anyone that Bush
or his lieutenants mark as an "enemy combatant", and cannot be prosecuted for war crimes. They are also trying to make it legal for the NSA to wiretap without warrants anyone they think may be in league with terrorist.

So let's not give them the benefit of the doubt when it comes to something like this, especially after all of the things that BushCo has done since coming into office.

With these people, it's better to hope for the best but expect the worst.
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Solo_in_MD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #1
21. Only the uniformed and the tactically illiterate
Tactical nukes are used for specific kinds of targets, such as large armor formations. Political and moral considerations aside, their use would make no sense since it impacts friendlies as well.

That tactical or even strategic nuclear weapons have been included in the analysis of alternatives is standard procedure. Those evolutions are supposed to look at ALL options.

Given that the the effectiveness of the bunker busters (penetration depth etc) are easily modeled, Iran has been very public about burying their centers beneath their effectiveness. That limits an air power only option. That is the scary part of all of this.
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:42 PM
Response to Reply #21
31. unfortunately, we have a few of those here
:shrug:
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Skinner ADMIN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
2. The US is not going to use Nukes against Iran.
The Bush Administration is evil and stupid... But they aren't going to go there.
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madinmaryland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:44 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. They have talked in the past about using "small"
tactical nuclear weapons. I would not rule it out, though I think it would be highly unlikely they would use them.
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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:48 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. and they have been talking about that for a year now
There is no noise in the news regarding Iran lately. If we were going to attack them, there would be some "event" to trigger it.

And if the Israel/Lebanon/Hezbollah event wasnt enough to trigger an attack, I dont know what would.

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walldude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:56 AM
Response to Reply #8
14. How about a scandal of epic proportions
like the coverup of a child predator in Congress? While I don't see the use of nukes I wouldn't put it past the admin to "Wag the dog".
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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:32 AM
Response to Reply #14
22. you still would need an escalation of events regarding Iran
It would be too transparent right now and has no chance of working.

Iran is a COMPLETELY SILENT issue this week.

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walldude Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:37 AM
Response to Reply #22
23. AP just posted a story that Iran is going ahead
with uranium enrichment, against sanctions by the U.N. This is pretty much all Bush used as an excuse to go into Iraq...

http://www.forbes.com/home/feeds/ap/2006/10/04/ap3066362.html
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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:40 AM
Response to Reply #23
24. but its the same old same old
If Bush was going to invade, he would have used the Israeli/Lebanon conflict last summer as an "excuse".

And Iraq dominated the headlines in the leadup to the war. They are not doing any such media blitz right now.
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madinmaryland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #8
27. Given what has happened over the last 5 years,
I would not be surprised if the admin did create a crisis. I know its a MIHOP situation, but I do have one of these:

:tinfoilhat:
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dkofos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:47 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. Never "misunderestimate" the power of stupidity
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
12. With Kissinger on the loose in the White House
I wouldn't be so sure.

Kissinger is the one who in the 50's wrote a book supporting the idea that limited nuclear war was a good idea.
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raccoon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:57 AM
Response to Reply #2
15. I sure hope not.

Paul Craig Roberts said we'd be a the US would be a pariah nation if that happened.

And he's right.
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mmonk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #2
17. They may use battlefield type tactical nukes as I
believe Herr Rumsfeld requested a study of that. My personal feeling is they will use bunker busters
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atreides1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:04 AM
Response to Reply #2
18. The Bush Administration is evil and stupid
If this is true, then how can you make the statement "But they aren't going to go there.", when we have seen over and over again that this just isn't a fact.

They went for torture, they are going for warrant less wiretaps, they got immunity from prosecution for war crimes, at least under US law, and they had their Patriot Act I & II passed.

Percentage wise all of the places they weren't suppose to go to, they did.

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raccoon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-05-06 07:54 AM
Response to Reply #2
35. I hope to God you're right, Skinner,
but just thought I'd point this out about the fallout.

I bet a lot of people don't realize that fallout can end up in other places besides where one intended it to go. That's why I posted this.
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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:37 AM
Response to Original message
3. Iran is Chinas main oil source
Although they are working with Chavez to get more.
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atreides1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:37 AM
Response to Original message
4. The question should be
Do the neocons really care? The answer of course is, no they don't!
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philb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:43 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Good Grief!!!!!!!!!!
n/t
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Double T Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:50 AM
Response to Original message
9. 'WE' would be the world's biggest HYPOCRITES if 'we' used.........
nukes against Iran or any other nation. The neocon target practice with their latest weaponry MUST END.
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Swede Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:51 AM
Response to Original message
10. Radioactive oil is useless.
Just sayin'
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:54 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. The oil is deep underground
it wouldn't be effected.

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Swede Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:00 PM
Response to Reply #13
25. Really? Radioactive fallout lasts for thousands of years.
Rain transports it down to the oil. No one would want to work in a nuclear wasteland. Not good,if you want the oil.
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:03 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. Well, I grew up in the 50's and 60's
Edited on Wed Oct-04-06 12:03 PM by DoYouEverWonder
when they were still doing above ground nuclear testing and most of my generation has managed to survive so far, despite all the radiated cow's milk that we ended up drinking. I'm sure my car won't care much either.



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Swede Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #26
30. Well,good luck with that.
The cast of the movie "The Conquerer" filmed on the site of a nuclear test,didn't fair to well.


http://www.contentmart.com/ContentMart/content.asp?LinkID=32940&CatID=199&content=1
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raccoon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-05-06 07:51 AM
Response to Reply #30
34. Good article. See also,
The Day We Bombed Utah
by John G. Fuller

Publisher: Signet; Reprint edition (March 10, 1985)
Language: English
ISBN: 0451134826

“…This book was a thin wedge which finally opened the US Government's files on Atomic Testing and the low-level and high-level fall-out we all live with. Particularly liked the way the book begins with an ordinary day or what had become an ordinary event --- the explosion of a nuclear bomb in Nevada.”

http://www.amazon.com/Day-We-Bombed-Utah/dp/0451134826/sr=8-1/qid=1160052419/ref=pd_bbs_1/002-7848489-3788047?ie=UTF8&s=books


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SOS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:12 PM
Response to Reply #13
28. Both Saudi Arabia and Iran
have "doomsday" plans. In the event of imminent defeat they will destroy their oil fields with explosives, including a radioactive element.

"Saudi Arabia, bracing for the possibility of an attack either by an outside power or restive Shiite residents, implemented an intricate doomsday plan in the 1980s giving officials the power to blow up their own oil wells, according to a new book by journalist Gerald Posner. In the event of an attack, says Posner, the Saudis would trigger a series of "dirty bomb" explosions designed to destroy use of the kingdom's oil supplies for decades. Posner's account, related in his new book, Secrets of the Kingdom (Random House) is based on both Israeli and American intelligence."

Iran has done the same, according to Iranian Defense Minister interviewed in Saudi newspaper.

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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #28
29. Didn't Saddam try something similar
They had his oilfields back on line in about two years. I'm sure BushCo has preprinted contracts for the repair work.

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SOS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:56 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. Yes,
but the Saudi plan includes a radioactive element which would make the oil itself useless.
While Iran has said it would destroy their own oil fields, they have not mentioned a radioactive element.
It seems likely that they would destroy the fields in the same manner as Saudi Arabia.
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DoYouEverWonder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #32
33. I didn't know the Saudis
had a radioactive element? At least not yet.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
16. Protecting one's self against fallout isn't really that difficult
Edited on Wed Oct-04-06 10:59 AM by slackmaster
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MisterHowdy Donating Member (295 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:08 AM
Response to Original message
19. Use nukes in Iran?
I can't see them doing that.
That's pretty extreme even for their standards.

If they did, however, I think hate for the US would increase 10 fold and most other countries would probably take Iran's side.
Very very bad.
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bif Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-04-06 11:10 AM
Response to Original message
20. World War Three, baby!
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