POLLS, POLLS POLLS POLLS: Showing Dems winning 11 SPECIFIC house seats!

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/latestpolls/

This shows Dem candidates leading in the following House races:

Arizona 8
Colorado 7
Indiana 9
Ohio 18
Indiana 2
Pennsylvania 6
North Carolina 11
Illinois 6
Connecticut 4
Virginia 2
New Mexico 1

Now, that's 11 seats the Dems are leading in. The dems are tied or are only 2-3 behind in the following districts:
Minnesota 6 (Open seat, automatic advantage for Dems if voters are choose a generic candidate)
Connecticut 2
Connecticut 5




Previous polls have shown Dems leading in the following additional races:
Kentucky 4 (this seat was formerly Democratic in 2004, this poll claims the Rep is ahead by 13 points, which is an impossibility, given previous shows showing Dems leading comfortablly and the fact that such a margin would be a 4-point increase from the GOP victory in 2004)
Iowa 1 (Another fluke, last polls showed Dems leading in this district and it was won by a small margin)
Pennsylvania 8
Pennsylvania 10
Pennsylvania 7
Tx 22
Florida 16
Washington 8


Now, what is especially important here is to notice that first:
1.) Bob Ney won with 66% of the vote in his district (Ohio-18), and yet a Dem leads in that race comfortably
2.) The seat held by (R) Rob Portman that went 72% for the GOP in 04 and only 51% in 05 shows the Dem either leading or tied with Mean Jean Schmidt
3.) We all know Ohio Republicans are facing a toxic atmosphere because of the combined unpopularity of George W. Bush and Bob Taft, the most unpopular governor in Ohio history and in the country
4.) We know that a strong progressive like Sherrod Brown is whipping Mike DeWine's ass for the Senate, and that (R) Ken Blackwell is getting utterly crushed by (D) Ted Strickland for the governor's race

If you take these four facts into account, I think it's no longer just fanciful wishing to say that Ohio is about to turn over on itself. Of the 18 House Seats, 12 (2/3rds) are controlled by the GOP. I am personally predicting that Dems may very well win more than the 2 seats people have been predicting, and may pick up as many as 5 house seats. If they do, the GOP is toast. If they can't hold onto house seats where their previous margin of victory was 66%-72%, how do they expect to hold onto OH-1, OH-3 or OH-4? If they can't hold onto OH-2 or OH-18, they can't hold onto any of them for sure. Dems will win big in Ohio. Not 1 pickup, not 2, not 3. 4 or 5 in the least.

Let's hope we have enough non-Diebold districts in there!!

Other polls have the race a dead heat.

I haven't seen a single Wilson yard sign in my part of town, but Madrid signs have sprouted up like mushrooms after a rain.

But, I'm keeping my eye on them.

We need some more Madrid signs over on the NE side.

Stupid/Corrupt 04 signs two years ago, but they've even scraped the stickers off their cars. Katrina woke a lot of folks up around here.

Also, thanks for the link.

:)

:shrug:

before they hatch, or for that matter the scrambled eggs

are already claiming this was a set up by the Dems.