TPM Election Central: GOP Pollster has "given up" on 2006

Coexist

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Wed Oct-25-06 10:58 AM
Original message

TPM Election Central: GOP Pollster has "given up" on 2006

Read all about it!

Republican pollster Frank Luntz, speaking in today's Washington Post:

"They honestly need a baseball bat against the head," said Republican pollster Frank Luntz..."I've given up on 2006. They've already made so many mistakes, there's no way they can fix it in two weeks."

Here's why this is interesting: Frank Luntz was the key pollster behind Newt Gingrich's contract with America, which helped the GOP takeover Congress in 1994.

WaPo article here.

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Avalux

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Wed Oct-25-06 10:59 AM
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1. Now I'm really confused.

The Decider just told us the grassroots Republicans are out in full force, incredibly excited about the election. He can feel the energy. So who am I supposed to believe? :rofl:

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helderheid

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Wed Oct-25-06 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #1

2. Diebold! Well, actually the exit polls are more reliable!

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Coexist

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Wed Oct-25-06 11:01 AM
Response to Reply #1

3. tough call!

I may need to sleep on that question.
:patriot:

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Clark2008

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Wed Oct-25-06 11:02 AM
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4. Wait - I thought the lastest polls showed the Republicans

"advancing" in the key states of Missouri, Tennessee and oh... somewhere else.

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longship

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Wed Oct-25-06 11:50 AM
Response to Reply #4

5. Maybe true, however...

Edited on Wed Oct-25-06 11:52 AM by longship

There are just too damned many races going the other way. Hell, even Jean Schmidt's normally safe Repuke district is in big trouble. Likewise, KS-2 is now close to a toss-up. There are House districts all over the place which are competitive. The prognosticators are having problems counting them all because they are all moving in the Dems' direction here at the eleventh hour as undecideds are committing to Democrats.

So, the couple of statewide Senate races tightening up aren't an indication of any nationwide trend. If one thinks about this a little bit, these Senate races only indicate the difficulties in mounting a statewide Senate campaign and are completely normal.

The GOP is bleeding to death in the House races. There are too many of them. Even the large GOP coffers isn't enough to defend against all those competitive races. That's why they are having to now pull out of many races. I smell a rout coming on the seventh. Dems take the House easily and the Senate will be close, with the advantage to the Dems.

Hell, even the AZ-Sen race is tightening now. If Kyl is running into trouble we could see seven new Senate seats.

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